--------------------------------------------------------------------------- TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION (NORTH ATLANTIC AREA) MESSAGES T1T2: AX A1A2: NT Date: 2026-04-09 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Message File: T_AXNT20KNHC090526_C_KWBC_20260409052639_38666572-819-TWDAT.txt ****0000007185**** AXNT20 KNHC 090526 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 0615 UTC Thu Apr 09 2026 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0515 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... Western Atlantic Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between a slow-moving cold front that extends from near Bermuda to weak low pressure of 1015 mb near 30N69W, and from the low to 25N74W and strong high pressure of 1037 mb centered well north of the area near Massachusetts is continuing to allow for gale-force winds along with rough to very rough seas peaking up to around 18 ft (5 m) over the waters north and northeast of the Bahamas and east to a line from near 31N67W to 28N71W to 27N77W. These wind and seas conditions will diminish through Fri, with seas lowering to below 12 ft (4 m) as the front slowly moves eastward and weakens. East Atlantic Large Swell: Long-period north swell at 13-15 seconds continues propagating southward across portions of the far eastern Atlantic leading to seas of 11 to 13 ft east of about 40W. Rough seas cover a much expansive area north of 08N and east of 55W. This swell event will decay slowly, and seas of 12 ft or greater will reach as far south as 15N by early Thu. Seas are expected to lower below 12 ft late Thu night, although rough seas will likely persist into the weekend. Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center at website: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details on both the Western Atlantic Gale Warning and the significant swell event in the East Atlantic. Gale Warning E of 35W: A Gale Warning remains in effect for the Meteo-France marine zone of Madeira through 09/06Z. Along with the gale winds, very rough seas in northwest to north swell are also reaching the islands. For more details, refer to the Meteo- France High Seas Forecast listed on their website https://wwmiws.wmo.int ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic near 10N14W and extends southwestward to 03N22W, where it transitions to the ITCZ to 01S30W and to near the coast of Brazil at 02S43W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is within 120 nm north of the ITCZ between 38W-43.5W and within 60 nm north of the ITCZ between 33W and 36W. Scattered moderate convection is from 02N to 04N between 18W-24W. ...GULF OF AMERICA... A weak trough, previously the old stationary frontal boundary, extends across the Straits of Florida to the far south-central Gulf near 23N88.5W. Scattered to locally broken low and isolated showers are near the trough. Scattered moderate convection is confined to the southwest Gulf south of 22N west 95W to inland Mexico, and over the far west- central Gulf from 24N to 25.5N west of 96W. Latest Ascat satellite data show fresh to strong northeast winds over the eastern Gulf where a tight pressure gradient exists between strong high pressure over the northeast U.S. and the troughing over the southeastern Gulf. Rough seas are being produced by these winds. Light to gentle northeast to east winds and mostly moderate seas are noted elsewhere, with the exception of moderate to locally fresh east winds offshore Louisiana to near 27N. For the forecast, the aforementioned trough will drift slowly eastward and out of the basin through Thu. High pressure building over the eastern U.S. will support strong northeast winds and rough seas across the northeast Gulf through Thu night. This pattern will maintain moderate to fresh east to southeast winds and moderate seas across the basin, except for occasional strong east winds off western Cuba through early next week. ...CARIBBEAN SEA... Scattered showers and thunderstorms aided by a mid-level shortwave trough are noted north of 20N and between 81W and just east of the northeast part of the Yucatan Peninsula. This activity also extends northeastward to inland west-central Cuba. Low-topped trade wind isolated showers are noted elsewhere. Winds are strongest, up to 25 kt, over the usual locations, the south- central portion of the area off the coasts of Colombia and Venezuela, where the pressure gradient is tight between low pressure over Colombia and strong high pressure that is just offshore New England. These winds are resulting in seas of up to around 8 ft over these waters. Latest Ascat satellite data indicates mostly light and variable winds over the western part of the basin. For the forecast, strong high pressure building southward from the western Atlantic will tighten the pressure gradient and increase winds over the basin, leading to strong winds over the south- central Caribbean through the weekend. By early next week, fresh to strong northeast winds along with building seas will materialize south of Cuba and in the Windward Passage. ...ATLANTIC OCEAN... A Gale Warning is in effect for the portions of the western Atlantic. Meteo-France also has a Gale Warning in effect for the forecast zone of Madeira. Please refer to the Special Features section above for details on these hazardous weather events. The remainder of the basin is dominated by strong surface high pressure of 1039 mb centered to the southwest of the Azores near 37N36W. Its associated broad ridging reaches southward encompassing the area north of about 10N and between 16W and 68W. The related anticyclonic wind flow is transporting patches of low-level moisture in the form broken to scattered low-level clouds westward to near 55W. Isolated showers are possible with these clouds. Mostly moderate to fresh winds are evident in the basin, except for a swath of fresh northeast winds over the far eastern part of the basin north of about 15N and east 30W, where significant northerly swell is leading to very rough seas. Details on the swell and its forecast propagation can be found in the Special Features section above. Moderate seas dominate the remainder of the Atlantic basin. A gale low located northeast of the Madeira Islands near 34N13W with a pressure of 1009 mb is forecast to move south- southeastward toward the far northeast part of the discussion area this morning. Scattered showers, under cold-air instability, are presently occurring over the SE semicircle of the low reaching to near 31N between 12W and 15W. For the forecast west of 55W, please refer to the Special Features Western Atlantic Gale Warning section for forecast details related to the marine conditions related to the slow moving cold front mentioned in that section. $$ Aguirre ########################### END OF MESSAGE SET ############################ --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Message File: T_AXNT20KNHC090607_C_KWBC_20260409060839_38666572-821-TWDAT.txt ****0000007195**** AXNT20 KNHC 090607 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 0615 UTC Thu Apr 09 2026 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0545 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... Western Atlantic Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between a slow-moving cold front that extends from near Bermuda to weak low pressure of 1015 mb near 30N69W, and from the low to 25N74W and strong high pressure of 1037 mb centered well north of the area just east of the New England coast is continuing to allow for gale-force winds along with rough to very rough seas peaking up to around 18 ft (5 m) over the waters north and northeast of the Bahamas and east to a line from near 31N67W to 28N71W to 27N77W. These wind and seas conditions will diminish through Fri, with seas lowering to below 12 ft (4 m) as the front slowly moves eastward and weakens. East Atlantic Large Swell: Long-period north swell at 13-15 seconds continues propagating southward across portions of the far eastern Atlantic leading to seas of 11 to 13 ft east of about 40W. Rough seas cover a much expansive area north of 08N and east of 55W. This swell event will decay slowly, and seas of 12 ft or greater will reach as far south as 15N early today. Seas are expected to lower below 12 ft late Thu night, although rough seas will likely persist into the weekend. Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center at website: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details on both the Western Atlantic Gale Warning and the significant swell event in the East Atlantic. Gale Warning E of 35W: A Gale Warning remains in effect for the Meteo-France marine zone of Madeira through 09/06Z. Along with the gale winds, very rough seas in northwest to north swell are also reaching the islands. For more details, refer to the Meteo- France High Seas Forecast listed on their website https://wwmiws.wmo.int ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic near 10N14W and extends southwestward to 03N22W, where it transitions to the ITCZ to 01S30W and to near the coast of Brazil at 02S43W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is within 120 nm north of the ITCZ between 38W-43.5W and within 60 nm north of the ITCZ between 33W and 36W. Scattered moderate convection is from 02N to 04N between 18W-24W. ...GULF OF AMERICA... A weak trough, previously the old stationary frontal boundary, extends across the Straits of Florida to the far south-central Gulf near 23N88.5W. Scattered to locally broken low and isolated showers are near the trough. Scattered moderate convection is confined to the southwest Gulf south of 22N west 95W to inland Mexico, and over the far west-central Gulf from 24N to 25.5N west of 96W. Latest Ascat satellite data show fresh to strong northeast winds over the eastern Gulf where a tight pressure gradient exists between strong high pressure over the northeast U.S. and the troughing over the southeastern Gulf. Rough seas are being produced by these winds. Light to gentle northeast to east winds and mostly moderate seas are noted elsewhere, with the exception of moderate to locally fresh east winds offshore Louisiana to near 27N. For the forecast, the aforementioned trough will drift slowly eastward and out of the basin today. High pressure building over the eastern U.S. will support strong northeast winds and rough seas across the northeast Gulf through tonight. This pattern will maintain moderate to fresh east to southeast winds and moderate seas across the basin, except for occasional strong east winds off western Cuba through early next week. ...CARIBBEAN SEA... Scattered showers and thunderstorms aided by a mid-level shortwave trough are noted north of 20N and between 81W and just east of the northeast part of the Yucatan Peninsula. This activity also extends northeastward to inland west-central Cuba. Low-topped trade wind isolated showers are noted elsewhere. Winds are strongest, up to 25 kt, over the usual locations, the south- central portion of the area off the coasts of Colombia and Venezuela, where the pressure gradient is tight between low pressure over Colombia and strong high pressure that is just offshore New England. These winds are resulting in seas of up to around 8 ft over these waters. Latest Ascat satellite data indicates mostly light and variable winds over the western part of the basin. For the forecast, strong high pressure building southward from the western Atlantic will tighten the pressure gradient and increase winds over the basin, leading to strong winds over the south-central Caribbean through the weekend. By early next week, fresh to strong northeast winds along with building seas will materialize south of Cuba and in the Windward Passage. ...ATLANTIC OCEAN... A Gale Warning is in effect for the portions of the western Atlantic. Meteo-France also has a Gale Warning in effect for the forecast zone of Madeira. Please refer to the Special Features section above for details on these hazardous weather events. The remainder of the basin is dominated by strong surface high pressure of 1039 mb centered to the southwest of the Azores near 37N36W. Its associated broad ridging reaches southward encompassing the area north of about 10N and between 16W and 68W. The related anticyclonic wind flow is transporting patches of low-level moisture in the form broken to scattered low-level clouds westward to near 55W. Isolated showers are possible with these clouds. Mostly moderate to fresh winds are evident in the basin, except for a swath of fresh northeast winds over the far eastern part of the basin north of about 15N and east 30W, where significant northerly swell is leading to very rough seas. Details on the swell and its forecast propagation can be found in the Special Features section above. Moderate seas dominate the remainder of the Atlantic basin. A gale low located northeast of the Madeira Islands near 34N13W with a pressure of 1009 mb is forecast to move south- southeastward toward the far northeast part of the discussion area this morning. Scattered showers, under cold-air instability, are presently occurring over the SE semicircle of the low reaching to near 31N between 12W and 15W. For the forecast west of 55W, please refer to the Special Features Western Atlantic Gale Warning section for forecast details related to the marine conditions related to the slow moving cold front mentioned in that section. $$ Aguirre ########################### END OF MESSAGE SET ############################ --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Message File: T_AXNT20KNHC090908CCA_C_KWBC_20260409090834_9109880-846-TWDAT.txt ****0000007253**** AXNT20 KNHC 090908 CCA TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion...Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 0615 UTC Thu Apr 09 2026 Corrected 1st Special Feature section Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0545 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... Western Atlantic Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between a slow-moving cold front that extends from near Bermuda to weak low pressure of 1015 mb near 30N69W, and from the low to 25N74W and strong high pressure of 1037 mb centered well north of the area just east of the New England coast is continuing to allow for gale-force winds along with rough to very rough seas peaking up to around 18 ft (5 m) over the waters north and northeast of the Bahamas and east to a line from near 31N67W to 28N71W to 27N77W. These wind and sea conditions will diminish through Fri, with seas lowering to below 12 ft (4 m) as the front slowly moves eastward and weakens. East Atlantic Large Swell: Long-period north swell at 13-15 seconds continues propagating southward across portions of the far eastern Atlantic leading to seas of 11 to 13 ft east of about 40W. Rough seas cover a much expansive area north of 08N and east of 55W. This swell event will decay slowly, and seas of 12 ft or greater will reach as far south as 15N early today. Seas are expected to lower below 12 ft late Thu night, although rough seas will likely persist into the weekend. Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center at website: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details on both the Western Atlantic Gale Warning and the significant swell event in the East Atlantic. Gale Warning E of 35W: A Gale Warning remains in effect for the Meteo-France marine zone of Madeira through 09/06Z. Along with the gale winds, very rough seas in northwest to north swell are also reaching the islands. For more details, refer to the Meteo- France High Seas Forecast listed on their website https://wwmiws.wmo.int ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic near 10N14W and extends southwestward to 03N22W, where it transitions to the ITCZ to 01S30W and to near the coast of Brazil at 02S43W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is within 120 nm north of the ITCZ between 38W-43.5W and within 60 nm north of the ITCZ between 33W and 36W. Scattered moderate convection is from 02N to 04N between 18W-24W. ...GULF OF AMERICA... A weak trough, previously the old stationary frontal boundary, extends across the Straits of Florida to the far south-central Gulf near 23N88.5W. Scattered to locally broken low and isolated showers are near the trough. Scattered moderate convection is confined to the southwest Gulf south of 22N west 95W to inland Mexico, and over the far west-central Gulf from 24N to 25.5N west of 96W. Latest Ascat satellite data show fresh to strong northeast winds over the eastern Gulf where a tight pressure gradient exists between strong high pressure over the northeast U.S. and the troughing over the southeastern Gulf. Rough seas are being produced by these winds. Light to gentle northeast to east winds and mostly moderate seas are noted elsewhere, with the exception of moderate to locally fresh east winds offshore Louisiana to near 27N. For the forecast, the aforementioned trough will drift slowly eastward and out of the basin today. High pressure building over the eastern U.S. will support strong northeast winds and rough seas across the northeast Gulf through tonight. This pattern will maintain moderate to fresh east to southeast winds and moderate seas across the basin, except for occasional strong east winds off western Cuba through early next week. ...CARIBBEAN SEA... Scattered showers and thunderstorms aided by a mid-level shortwave trough are noted north of 20N and between 81W and just east of the northeast part of the Yucatan Peninsula. This activity also extends northeastward to inland west-central Cuba. Low-topped trade wind isolated showers are noted elsewhere. Winds are strongest, up to 25 kt, over the usual locations, the south- central portion of the area off the coasts of Colombia and Venezuela, where the pressure gradient is tight between low pressure over Colombia and strong high pressure that is just offshore New England. These winds are resulting in seas of up to around 8 ft over these waters. Latest Ascat satellite data indicates mostly light and variable winds over the western part of the basin. For the forecast, strong high pressure building southward from the western Atlantic will tighten the pressure gradient and increase winds over the basin, leading to strong winds over the south-central Caribbean through the weekend. By early next week, fresh to strong northeast winds along with building seas will materialize south of Cuba and in the Windward Passage. ...ATLANTIC OCEAN... A Gale Warning is in effect for the portions of the western Atlantic. Meteo-France also has a Gale Warning in effect for the forecast zone of Madeira. Please refer to the Special Features section above for details on these hazardous weather events. The remainder of the basin is dominated by strong surface high pressure of 1039 mb centered to the southwest of the Azores near 37N36W. Its associated broad ridging reaches southward encompassing the area north of about 10N and between 16W and 68W. The related anticyclonic wind flow is transporting patches of low-level moisture in the form broken to scattered low-level clouds westward to near 55W. Isolated showers are possible with these clouds. Mostly moderate to fresh winds are evident in the basin, except for a swath of fresh northeast winds over the far eastern part of the basin north of about 15N and east 30W, where significant northerly swell is leading to very rough seas. Details on the swell and its forecast propagation can be found in the Special Features section above. Moderate seas dominate the remainder of the Atlantic basin. A gale low located northeast of the Madeira Islands near 34N13W with a pressure of 1009 mb is forecast to move south- southeastward toward the far northeast part of the discussion area this morning. Scattered showers, under cold-air instability, are presently occurring over the SE semicircle of the low reaching to near 31N between 12W and 15W. For the forecast west of 55W, please refer to the Special Features Western Atlantic Gale Warning section for forecast details related to the marine conditions related to the slow moving cold front mentioned in that section. $$ Aguirre ########################### END OF MESSAGE SET ############################ --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Message File: T_AXNT20KNHC090910AAA_C_KWBC_20260409091034_9109880-847-TWDAT.txt ****0000007016**** AXNT20 KNHC 090910 AAA TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion...Updated NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 0910 UTC Thu Apr 09 2026 Updated Special Features section Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0545 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... Western Atlantic Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between a slow-moving cold front that extends from near Bermuda to weak low pressure of 1015 mb near 30N69W, and from the low to 25N74W and strong high pressure of 1037 mb centered well north of the area just east of the New England coast is continuing to allow for gale-force winds along with rough to very rough seas peaking up to around 18 ft (5 m) over the waters north and northeast of the Bahamas and east to a line from near 31N67W to 28N71W to 27N77W. These wind and seas conditions will diminish through Fri, with seas lowering to below 12 ft (4 m) as the front slowly moves eastward and weakens. East Atlantic Large Swell: Long-period north swell at 13-15 seconds continues propagating southward across portions of the far eastern Atlantic leading to seas of 11 to 13 ft east of about 40W. Rough seas cover a much expansive area north of 08N and east of 55W. This swell event will decay slowly, and seas of 12 ft or greater will reach as far south as 15N early today. Seas are expected to lower below 12 ft late Thu night, although rough seas will likely persist into the weekend. Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center at website: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details on both the Western Atlantic Gale Warning and the significant swell event in the East Atlantic. For more details, refer to the Meteo- France High Seas Forecast listed on their website https://wwmiws.wmo.int ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic near 10N14W and extends southwestward to 03N22W, where it transitions to the ITCZ to 01S30W and to near the coast of Brazil at 02S43W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is within 120 nm north of the ITCZ between 38W-43.5W and within 60 nm north of the ITCZ between 33W and 36W. Scattered moderate convection is from 02N to 04N between 18W-24W. ...GULF OF AMERICA... A weak trough, previously the old stationary frontal boundary, extends across the Straits of Florida to the far south-central Gulf near 23N88.5W. Scattered to locally broken low and isolated showers are near the trough. Scattered moderate convection is confined to the southwest Gulf south of 22N west 95W to inland Mexico, and over the far west-central Gulf from 24N to 25.5N west of 96W. Latest Ascat satellite data show fresh to strong northeast winds over the eastern Gulf where a tight pressure gradient exists between strong high pressure over the northeast U.S. and the troughing over the southeastern Gulf. Rough seas are being produced by these winds. Light to gentle northeast to east winds and mostly moderate seas are noted elsewhere, with the exception of moderate to locally fresh east winds offshore Louisiana to near 27N. For the forecast, the aforementioned trough will drift slowly eastward and out of the basin today. High pressure building over the eastern U.S. will support strong northeast winds and rough seas across the northeast Gulf through tonight. This pattern will maintain moderate to fresh east to southeast winds and moderate seas across the basin, except for occasional strong east winds off western Cuba through early next week. ...CARIBBEAN SEA... Scattered showers and thunderstorms aided by a mid-level shortwave trough are noted north of 20N and between 81W and just east of the northeast part of the Yucatan Peninsula. This activity also extends northeastward to inland west-central Cuba. Low-topped trade wind isolated showers are noted elsewhere. Winds are strongest, up to 25 kt, over the usual locations, the south- central portion of the area off the coasts of Colombia and Venezuela, where the pressure gradient is tight between low pressure over Colombia and strong high pressure that is just offshore New England. These winds are resulting in seas of up to around 8 ft over these waters. Latest Ascat satellite data indicates mostly light and variable winds over the western part of the basin. For the forecast, strong high pressure building southward from the western Atlantic will tighten the pressure gradient and increase winds over the basin, leading to strong winds over the south-central Caribbean through the weekend. By early next week, fresh to strong northeast winds along with building seas will materialize south of Cuba and in the Windward Passage. ...ATLANTIC OCEAN... A Gale Warning is in effect for the portions of the western Atlantic. Meteo-France also has a Gale Warning in effect for the forecast zone of Madeira. Please refer to the Special Features section above for details on these hazardous weather events. The remainder of the basin is dominated by strong surface high pressure of 1039 mb centered to the southwest of the Azores near 37N36W. Its associated broad ridging reaches southward encompassing the area north of about 10N and between 16W and 68W. The related anticyclonic wind flow is transporting patches of low-level moisture in the form broken to scattered low-level clouds westward to near 55W. Isolated showers are possible with these clouds. Mostly moderate to fresh winds are evident in the basin, except for a swath of fresh northeast winds over the far eastern part of the basin north of about 15N and east 30W, where significant northerly swell is leading to very rough seas. Details on the swell and its forecast propagation can be found in the Special Features section above. Moderate seas dominate the remainder of the Atlantic basin. A gale low located northeast of the Madeira Islands near 34N13W with a pressure of 1009 mb is forecast to move south-southeastward toward the far northeast part of the discussion area this morning. Scattered showers, under cold-air instability, are presently occurring over the SE semicircle of the low reaching to near 31N between 12W and 15W. For the forecast west of 55W, please refer to the Special Features Western Atlantic Gale Warning section for forecast details related to the marine conditions related to the slow moving cold front mentioned in that section. $$ Aguirre --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Message File: T_AXNT20KNHC090913AAA_C_KWBC_20260409091340_38666572-828-TWDAT.txt ****0000007014**** AXNT20 KNHC 090913 AAA TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion...Updated NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 0910 UTC Thu Apr 09 2026 Updated Special Features section Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0545 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... Western Atlantic Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between a slow-moving cold front that extends from near Bermuda to weak low pressure of 1015 mb near 30N69W, and from the low to 25N74W and strong high pressure of 1037 mb centered well north of the area just east of the New England coast is continuing to allow for gale-force winds along with rough to very rough seas peaking up to around 18 ft (5 m) over the waters north and northeast of the Bahamas and east to a line from near 31N67W to 28N71W to 27N77W. These wind and seas conditions will diminish through Fri, with seas lowering to below 12 ft (4 m) as the front slowly moves eastward and weakens. East Atlantic Large Swell: Long-period north swell at 13-15 seconds continues propagating southward across portions of the far eastern Atlantic leading to seas of 11 to 13 ft east of about 40W. Rough seas cover a much expansive area north of 08N and east of 55W. This swell event will decay slowly, and seas of 12 ft or greater will reach as far south as 15N early today. Seas are expected to lower below 12 ft late tonight, although rough seas will likely persist into the weekend. Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center at website: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details on both the Western Atlantic Gale Warning and the significant swell event in the East Atlantic. For more details, refer to the Meteo- France High Seas Forecast listed on their website https://wwmiws.wmo.int ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic near 10N14W and extends southwestward to 03N22W, where it transitions to the ITCZ to 01S30W and to near the coast of Brazil at 02S43W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is within 120 nm north of the ITCZ between 38W-43.5W and within 60 nm north of the ITCZ between 33W and 36W. Scattered moderate convection is from 02N to 04N between 18W-24W. ...GULF OF AMERICA... A weak trough, previously the old stationary frontal boundary, extends across the Straits of Florida to the far south-central Gulf near 23N88.5W. Scattered to locally broken low and isolated showers are near the trough. Scattered moderate convection is confined to the southwest Gulf south of 22N west 95W to inland Mexico, and over the far west-central Gulf from 24N to 25.5N west of 96W. Latest Ascat satellite data show fresh to strong northeast winds over the eastern Gulf where a tight pressure gradient exists between strong high pressure over the northeast U.S. and the troughing over the southeastern Gulf. Rough seas are being produced by these winds. Light to gentle northeast to east winds and mostly moderate seas are noted elsewhere, with the exception of moderate to locally fresh east winds offshore Louisiana to near 27N. For the forecast, the aforementioned trough will drift slowly eastward and out of the basin today. High pressure building over the eastern U.S. will support strong northeast winds and rough seas across the northeast Gulf through tonight. This pattern will maintain moderate to fresh east to southeast winds and moderate seas across the basin, except for occasional strong east winds off western Cuba through early next week. ...CARIBBEAN SEA... Scattered showers and thunderstorms aided by a mid-level shortwave trough are noted north of 20N and between 81W and just east of the northeast part of the Yucatan Peninsula. This activity also extends northeastward to inland west-central Cuba. Low-topped trade wind isolated showers are noted elsewhere. Winds are strongest, up to 25 kt, over the usual locations, the south- central portion of the area off the coasts of Colombia and Venezuela, where the pressure gradient is tight between low pressure over Colombia and strong high pressure that is just offshore New England. These winds are resulting in seas of up to around 8 ft over these waters. Latest Ascat satellite data indicates mostly light and variable winds over the western part of the basin. For the forecast, strong high pressure building southward from the western Atlantic will tighten the pressure gradient and increase winds over the basin, leading to strong winds over the south-central Caribbean through the weekend. By early next week, fresh to strong northeast winds along with building seas will materialize south of Cuba and in the Windward Passage. ...ATLANTIC OCEAN... A Gale Warning is in effect for the portions of the western Atlantic. Meteo-France also has a Gale Warning in effect for the forecast zone of Madeira. Please refer to the Special Features section above for details on these hazardous weather events. The remainder of the basin is dominated by strong surface high pressure of 1039 mb centered to the southwest of the Azores near 37N36W. Its associated broad ridging reaches southward encompassing the area north of about 10N and between 16W and 68W. The related anticyclonic wind flow is transporting patches of low-level moisture in the form broken to scattered low-level clouds westward to near 55W. Isolated showers are possible with these clouds. Mostly moderate to fresh winds are evident in the basin, except for a swath of fresh northeast winds over the far eastern part of the basin north of about 15N and east 30W, where significant northerly swell is leading to very rough seas. Details on the swell and its forecast propagation can be found in the Special Features section above. Moderate seas dominate the remainder of the Atlantic basin. A gale low located northeast of the Madeira Islands near 34N13W with a pressure of 1009 mb is forecast to move south-southeastward toward the far northeast part of the discussion area this morning. Scattered showers, under cold-air instability, are presently occurring over the SE semicircle of the low reaching to near 31N between 12W and 15W. For the forecast west of 55W, please refer to the Special Features Western Atlantic Gale Warning section for forecast details related to the marine conditions related to the slow moving cold front mentioned in that section. $$ Aguirre ########################### END OF MESSAGE SET ############################ --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Message File: T_AXNT20KNHC090913AAA_C_KWBC_20260409091434_9109880-848-TWDAT.txt ****0000007014**** AXNT20 KNHC 090913 AAA TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion...Updated NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 0913 UTC Thu Apr 09 2026 Updated Special Features section Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0545 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... Western Atlantic Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between a slow-moving cold front that extends from near Bermuda to weak low pressure of 1015 mb near 30N69W, and from the low to 25N74W and strong high pressure of 1037 mb centered well north of the area just east of the New England coast is continuing to allow for gale-force winds along with rough to very rough seas peaking up to around 18 ft (5 m) over the waters north and northeast of the Bahamas and east to a line from near 31N67W to 28N71W to 27N77W. These wind and seas conditions will diminish through Fri, with seas lowering to below 12 ft (4 m) as the front slowly moves eastward and weakens. East Atlantic Large Swell: Long-period north swell at 13-15 seconds continues propagating southward across portions of the far eastern Atlantic leading to seas of 11 to 13 ft east of about 40W. Rough seas cover a much expansive area north of 08N and east of 55W. This swell event will decay slowly, and seas of 12 ft or greater will reach as far south as 15N early today. Seas are expected to lower below 12 ft late tonight, although rough seas will likely persist into the weekend. Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center at website: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details on both the Western Atlantic Gale Warning and the significant swell event in the East Atlantic. For more details, refer to the Meteo- France High Seas Forecast listed on their website https://wwmiws.wmo.int ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic near 10N14W and extends southwestward to 03N22W, where it transitions to the ITCZ to 01S30W and to near the coast of Brazil at 02S43W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is within 120 nm north of the ITCZ between 38W-43.5W and within 60 nm north of the ITCZ between 33W and 36W. Scattered moderate convection is from 02N to 04N between 18W-24W. ...GULF OF AMERICA... A weak trough, previously the old stationary frontal boundary, extends across the Straits of Florida to the far south-central Gulf near 23N88.5W. Scattered to locally broken low and isolated showers are near the trough. Scattered moderate convection is confined to the southwest Gulf south of 22N west 95W to inland Mexico, and over the far west-central Gulf from 24N to 25.5N west of 96W. Latest Ascat satellite data show fresh to strong northeast winds over the eastern Gulf where a tight pressure gradient exists between strong high pressure over the northeast U.S. and the troughing over the southeastern Gulf. Rough seas are being produced by these winds. Light to gentle northeast to east winds and mostly moderate seas are noted elsewhere, with the exception of moderate to locally fresh east winds offshore Louisiana to near 27N. For the forecast, the aforementioned trough will drift slowly eastward and out of the basin today. High pressure building over the eastern U.S. will support strong northeast winds and rough seas across the northeast Gulf through tonight. This pattern will maintain moderate to fresh east to southeast winds and moderate seas across the basin, except for occasional strong east winds off western Cuba through early next week. ...CARIBBEAN SEA... Scattered showers and thunderstorms aided by a mid-level shortwave trough are noted north of 20N and between 81W and just east of the northeast part of the Yucatan Peninsula. This activity also extends northeastward to inland west-central Cuba. Low-topped trade wind isolated showers are noted elsewhere. Winds are strongest, up to 25 kt, over the usual locations, the south- central portion of the area off the coasts of Colombia and Venezuela, where the pressure gradient is tight between low pressure over Colombia and strong high pressure that is just offshore New England. These winds are resulting in seas of up to around 8 ft over these waters. Latest Ascat satellite data indicates mostly light and variable winds over the western part of the basin. For the forecast, strong high pressure building southward from the western Atlantic will tighten the pressure gradient and increase winds over the basin, leading to strong winds over the south-central Caribbean through the weekend. By early next week, fresh to strong northeast winds along with building seas will materialize south of Cuba and in the Windward Passage. ...ATLANTIC OCEAN... A Gale Warning is in effect for the portions of the western Atlantic. Meteo-France also has a Gale Warning in effect for the forecast zone of Madeira. Please refer to the Special Features section above for details on these hazardous weather events. The remainder of the basin is dominated by strong surface high pressure of 1039 mb centered to the southwest of the Azores near 37N36W. Its associated broad ridging reaches southward encompassing the area north of about 10N and between 16W and 68W. The related anticyclonic wind flow is transporting patches of low-level moisture in the form broken to scattered low-level clouds westward to near 55W. Isolated showers are possible with these clouds. Mostly moderate to fresh winds are evident in the basin, except for a swath of fresh northeast winds over the far eastern part of the basin north of about 15N and east 30W, where significant northerly swell is leading to very rough seas. Details on the swell and its forecast propagation can be found in the Special Features section above. Moderate seas dominate the remainder of the Atlantic basin. A gale low located northeast of the Madeira Islands near 34N13W with a pressure of 1009 mb is forecast to move south-southeastward toward the far northeast part of the discussion area this morning. Scattered showers, under cold-air instability, are presently occurring over the SE semicircle of the low reaching to near 31N between 12W and 15W. For the forecast west of 55W, please refer to the Special Features Western Atlantic Gale Warning section for forecast details related to the marine conditions related to the slow moving cold front mentioned in that section. $$ Aguirre ########################### END OF MESSAGE SET ############################ --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Message File: T_AXNT20KNHC091019_C_KWBC_20260409101941_38666572-830-TWDAT.txt ****0000005943**** AXNT20 KNHC 091019 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1215 UTC Thu Apr 9 2026 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0900 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURE... East Atlantic Significant Swell: Long-period north swell at 13-15 seconds continues propagating southward across portions of the far eastern Atlantic leading to seas of 11 to 13 ft east of about 40W from 15N to 25N. Rough seas cover a much more expansive area, nearly all waters E of 50W. This northerly swell is gradually decaying, and should fall below 12 ft tonight. Rough seas, however, will prevail over much of the eastern Atlantic through Sat. West Atlantic Significant Swell: Earlier NE Gales in the Atlantic offshore Florida and NE and N of the Bahamas generated very rough seas and decaying swell from these gradually diminishing winds will continue to cause seas in excess of 12 ft today N and W of a frontal boundary that will reside from roughly 31N65W to 25N75W. Seas should fall below 12 ft tonight, with rough seas continuing into the weekend as fresh to strong NE winds continue. Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center at website: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details on both areas of significant swell. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic near 10N14W and extends southwestward to 03N22W, where it transitions to the ITCZ and continues to 00N30W. Scattered moderate convection is from 02N to 04N between 18W-24W. ...GULF OF AMERICA... As the trough over the SE basin as dissipated overnight, convection has ended, leaving the basin dominated by high pressure building southward toward the region from the NE U.S. Fresh to strong NE to E winds are over the NE Gulf, along with rough seas. Elsewhere, mainly gentle NE to E winds and moderate seas dominate. For the forecast, high pressure building over the eastern U.S. will support strong NE winds and rough seas across the northeast Gulf through tonight. This pattern will maintain moderate to fresh E to SE winds and moderate seas elsewhere across basin through early next week, except for occasional strong E winds off western Cuba. ...CARIBBEAN SEA... Earlier convection offshore the Yucatan Peninsula dissipated early this morning, leaving the Caribbean void of any showers and thunderstorms. Trade winds dominate due to the pressure gradient between subtropical ridging to the northern and lower pressure along the Equator. Fresh to strong E winds dominate the SE and south-central basin, with moderate to fresh E winds impacting the remaining waters, except for the NW where light to gentle winds prevail. Seas are 6 to 8 ft in the south-central basin, moderate elsewhere, except slight in the northwest Caribbean. For the forecast, strong high pressure building southward from the western Atlantic will tighten the pressure gradient and increase winds over the basin, leading to strong winds over the south- central Caribbean through the weekend. By the start of next week, fresh to strong NE winds and building seas will commence S of Cuba and in the Windward Passage. ...ATLANTIC OCEAN... Refer to the Special Features section above for information on Significant northerly swell leading to very rough seas over portions of the eastern Atlantic as well as Significant Swell generated by earlier gales offshore Florida in the western Atlantic. Gale-force winds W of a stalling cold front in the western Atlantic have ended early this morning, but strong NE winds up to 30 kt continue to the W of the boundary that extends from about 31N67W to a 1015 mb low pressure center near 29N70W to just E of the Bahamas. The front then devolves into a surface trough that continues into the Florida Straits. This trough is inducing scattered moderate convection over the Bahamas. Very rough seas prevail where the strong winds are ongoing, with seas of up to 15 ft offshore NE Florida. Ahead of this feature, a mid-level trough oriented along 65W N of 22N is producing scattered moderate convection within 90 nm on either side of its axis. For most of the rest of the basin, strong surface high pressure of 1029 mb centered SW of the Azores near 37N36W dominates. Its associated broad ridging reaches southward encompassing the area north of about 10N and between 16W and 68W. This is leading to widespread fresh east winds, with a zone of strong winds from 17N to 25N between 25W and 45W. Much of the waters are being impacted by northerly swell, as discussed in the Special Features section above, but areas W of 50W, and E of the impacts of the aforementioned frontal boundary, have generally moderate seas. In the far eastern Atlantic, low pressure NE of Madeira is no longer inducing gales, but is producing strong N winds N of the Canary Islands and E of 25W, along with very rough seas. For the forecast west of 55W, strong NE to E winds and very rough seas will prevail into tonight N and W of the nearly stationary front. Conditions will gradually improve Fri as the front drifts eastward and weakens, but large NE swell will maintain rough seas between Bermuda and the Bahamas into the start of next week. Looking ahead, a cold front will move south of Bermuda, mainly east of 70W, Sun night, and stall along roughly 27N through Mon. $$ Konarik ########################### END OF MESSAGE SET ############################ --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Message File: T_AXNT20KNHC091051_C_KWBC_20260409105141_38666572-832-TWDAT.txt ****0000005943**** AXNT20 KNHC 091051 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1215 UTC Thu Apr 9 2026 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1000 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURE... East Atlantic Significant Swell: Long-period north swell at 13-15 seconds continues propagating southward across portions of the far eastern Atlantic leading to seas of 11 to 13 ft east of about 40W from 15N to 25N. Rough seas cover a much more expansive area, nearly all waters E of 50W. This northerly swell is gradually decaying, and should fall below 12 ft tonight. Rough seas, however, will prevail over much of the eastern Atlantic through Sat. West Atlantic Significant Swell: Earlier NE Gales in the Atlantic offshore Florida and NE and N of the Bahamas generated very rough seas and decaying swell from these gradually diminishing winds will continue to cause seas in excess of 12 ft today N and W of a frontal boundary that will reside from roughly 31N65W to 25N75W. Seas should fall below 12 ft tonight, with rough seas continuing into the weekend as fresh to strong NE winds continue. Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center at website: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details on both areas of significant swell. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic near 10N14W and extends southwestward to 03N22W, where it transitions to the ITCZ and continues to 00N30W. Scattered moderate convection is from 02N to 04N between 18W-24W. ...GULF OF AMERICA... As the trough over the SE basin as dissipated overnight, convection has ended, leaving the basin dominated by high pressure building southward toward the region from the NE U.S. Fresh to strong NE to E winds are over the NE Gulf, along with rough seas. Elsewhere, mainly gentle NE to E winds and moderate seas dominate. For the forecast, high pressure building over the eastern U.S. will support strong NE winds and rough seas across the northeast Gulf through tonight. This pattern will maintain moderate to fresh E to SE winds and moderate seas elsewhere across basin through early next week, except for occasional strong E winds off western Cuba. ...CARIBBEAN SEA... Earlier convection offshore the Yucatan Peninsula dissipated early this morning, leaving the Caribbean void of any showers and thunderstorms. Trade winds dominate due to the pressure gradient between subtropical ridging to the northern and lower pressure along the Equator. Fresh to strong E winds dominate the SE and south-central basin, with moderate to fresh E winds impacting the remaining waters, except for the NW where light to gentle winds prevail. Seas are 6 to 8 ft in the south-central basin, moderate elsewhere, except slight in the northwest Caribbean. For the forecast, strong high pressure building southward from the western Atlantic will tighten the pressure gradient and increase winds over the basin, leading to strong winds over the south- central Caribbean through the weekend. By the start of next week, fresh to strong NE winds and building seas will commence S of Cuba and in the Windward Passage. ...ATLANTIC OCEAN... Refer to the Special Features section above for information on Significant northerly swell leading to very rough seas over portions of the eastern Atlantic as well as Significant Swell generated by earlier gales offshore Florida in the western Atlantic. Gale-force winds W of a stalling cold front in the western Atlantic have ended early this morning, but strong NE winds up to 30 kt continue to the W of the boundary that extends from about 31N67W to a 1015 mb low pressure center near 29N70W to just E of the Bahamas. The front then devolves into a surface trough that continues into the Florida Straits. This trough is inducing scattered moderate convection over the Bahamas. Very rough seas prevail where the strong winds are ongoing, with seas of up to 15 ft offshore NE Florida. Ahead of this feature, a mid-level trough oriented along 65W N of 22N is producing scattered moderate convection within 90 nm on either side of its axis. For most of the rest of the basin, strong surface high pressure of 1029 mb centered SW of the Azores near 37N36W dominates. Its associated broad ridging reaches southward encompassing the area north of about 10N and between 16W and 68W. This is leading to widespread fresh east winds, with a zone of strong winds from 17N to 25N between 25W and 45W. Much of the waters are being impacted by northerly swell, as discussed in the Special Features section above, but areas W of 50W, and E of the impacts of the aforementioned frontal boundary, have generally moderate seas. In the far eastern Atlantic, low pressure NE of Madeira is no longer inducing gales, but is producing strong N winds N of the Canary Islands and E of 25W, along with very rough seas. For the forecast west of 55W, strong NE to E winds and very rough seas will prevail into tonight N and W of the nearly stationary front. Conditions will gradually improve Fri as the front drifts eastward and weakens, but large NE swell will maintain rough seas between Bermuda and the Bahamas into the start of next week. Looking ahead, a cold front will move south of Bermuda, mainly east of 70W, Sun night, and stall along roughly 27N through Mon. $$ Konarik ########################### END OF MESSAGE SET ############################ --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Message File: T_AXNT20KNHC091749_C_KWBC_20260409174939_9109880-871-TWDAT.txt ****0000004942**** AXNT20 KNHC 091749 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1815 UTC Thu Apr 9 2026 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1700 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURE... West Atlantic Significant Swell: A long fetch of NE fresh to near gale NE winds are generating very rough seas in the Atlantic offshore of Florida and and north of the Bahamas. A SOFAR buoy reported seas of up to 14 ft near 29N73W as of 17 UTC. Gradually diminishing winds will continue to cause seas in excess of 12 ft tonight north and west of a frontal boundary that will reside from roughly 31N65W to 25N75W. Seas should fall below 12 ft by late tonight, with rough seas continuing into the weekend as fresh to strong NE winds continue. Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center at website: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details on both areas of significant swell. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic along the coast of Guinea near 10N14W and extends southwestward to 03N18W, where it transitions to the ITCZ and continues to 00N23W. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is located south of 08N east of 18W. Scattered convection is also occurring south of 30N between 18W-35W. ...GULF OF AMERICA... Strong high pressure over the SE United States is forcing fresh to strong NE to E winds across the NE Gulf today with seas 6-10 ft. Elsewhere, winds are moderate or weaker and seas are 3-6 ft. No deep convection is occurring over the Gulf currently. For the forecast, high pressure building over the eastern U.S. will support strong NE winds and rough seas across the northeast Gulf through tonight. This pattern will maintain moderate to fresh E to SE winds and moderate seas elsewhere across basin through early next week, except for occasional strong E winds off western Cuba and off the northwest Yucatan. Locally rough seas will be in the Straits of Florida through the next several days. ...CARIBBEAN SEA... Only a weak north-south pressure gradient is present across the Caribbean today, as a stationary front is located just north of the Caribbean. As a result, fresh to locally strong E trades are restricted to only over the S central Caribbean today with seas 6-8 ft. Elsewhere across the Caribbean winds are moderate or weaker with seas 2-5 ft. No significant deep convection is noted across the basin today. For the forecast, strong high pressure building southward from the western Atlantic will tighten the pressure gradient and increase winds over the basin, leading to strong winds over the south- central Caribbean through the weekend and into early next week. Fresh to strong NE winds and building seas will commence S of Cuba, in the Windward Passage, and S of Hispaniola starting Sat night. ...ATLANTIC OCEAN... Refer to the Special Features section above for information on a Significant Swell offshore Florida in the western Atlantic. A stationary front extends from just east of Bermuda near 31N64W to the central Bahamas near 24N79W. Scattered moderate convection is occurring within 120 NM of the front. Winds west of the front continue at NE fresh to strong over our waters with seas 10-14 ft. Up to around 200 NM east of the stationary front, winds are gentle to moderate, but with a N swell of 8-10 ft. Elsewhere, a strong 1038 mb Azores High is centered north of our waters at 37N36W with surface ridging extending to 25N65W on the west and to 23N17W on the east. The large pressure gradient between the ridging and lower pressure over the ITCZ is forcing NE trades from fresh to strong north of 12N and east of 50W. Seas are 10-14 ft over the E Atlantic from 15N-31N east of 40W. Elsewhere, winds are moderate with seas 5-10 ft in mainly N swell. For the forecast west of 55W, a stalling front extends from near Bermuda to the Central Bahamas. The boundary then becomes a trough that extends to central Cuba. Strong NE to E winds and very rough seas will prevail behind the front into tonight. Conditions will gradually improve Fri as the front drifts eastward and weakens, but large NE swell will maintain rough seas between Bermuda and the Bahamas into the start of next week. Looking ahead, a cold front will move south of Bermuda, mainly east of 70W, Sun night, and stall along roughly 27N through Mon. $$ Landsea ########################### END OF MESSAGE SET ############################ --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Message File: T_AXNT20KNHC092315_C_KWBC_20260409231546_38666572-869-TWDAT.txt ****0000004822**** AXNT20 KNHC 092315 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 0015 UTC Thu Apr 9 2026 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 2300 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURE... West Atlantic Significant Swell: A long fetch of strong NE winds are generating very rough seas in the Atlantic offshore of Florida and north of the Bahamas. A SOFAR buoy located near 29N73W is reporting seas up to 13 ft. These marine conditions are occurring in the wake of a stationary front that extends from just E of Bermuda to the central Bahamas. Strong winds and very rough seas will prevail behind the front into tonight. Winds will gradually improve Fri as the front drifts eastward and weakens, but large NE swell will maintain rough seas between Bermuda and the Bahamas into the start of next week. Fresh to strong winds are forecast to return Sat night into early next week as the pressured gradient tightens. Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center at website: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details on both areas of significant swell. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic along the coast of Guinea near 10N14W and extends southwestward to 04N17W, where it transitions to the ITCZ and continues to NE Brazil near 02S47W. Scattered moderate convection is noted south of 07N b between 10W and 20W, and S of 04N between 20W and 40W. ...GULF OF AMERICA... A ridge extends across the SE of the United States into the Gulf region. The associated pressure gradient is forcing fresh to strong NE to E winds across the NE Gulf with seas 6 to 9 ft. Elsewhere, winds are moderate or weaker and seas are 3 to 5ft. A few showers are over the NW Gulf. For the forecast, high pressure building over the eastern U.S. will support strong NE winds and rough seas across the northeast Gulf through tonight. This pattern will maintain moderate to fresh E to SE winds and moderate seas elsewhere across basin through early next week, except for occasional strong E winds off western Cuba and off the northwest Yucatan. Locally rough seas will be in the Straits of Florida late in the weekend into early next week. ...CARIBBEAN SEA... Only a weak north-south pressure gradient is present across the Caribbean, as a stationary front reaches the central Bahamas. As a result, fresh to locally strong E trades are restricted to only over the south-central Caribbean with seas of 6 to 8 ft. Elsewhere across the Caribbean winds are moderate or weaker with seas of 3 to 5 ft, except 1 to 3 ft in the NW part of the basin. Some shower and thunderstorm activity is over the Greater Antilles. Elsewhere, shallow moisture embedded in the trade wind flow is moving across the basin producing brief showers. For the forecast, strong high pressure building southward from the western Atlantic will tighten the pressure gradient and increase winds over the basin, leading to strong winds over the south-central Caribbean through the weekend and into early next week. Fresh to strong NE winds and building seas will commence south of Cuba, in the Windward Passage, and south of Hispaniola starting Sat night. ...ATLANTIC OCEAN... Refer to the Special Features section above for information on a Significant Swell Event offshore Florida in the western Atlantic. A stationary front extends from just east of Bermuda near 31N64W to the central Bahamas. Scattered moderate showers and thunderstorms are occurring mainly ahead of the front. Fresh to strong NE winds and rough to very rough seas are behind the front while gentle to moderate winds and rough seas in N swell are up to around 200 NM ahead of the front. Elsewhere, a strong 1036 mb Azores High is centered north of the forecast waters at 36N35W with surface ridging extending toward the NE Caribbean. The large pressure gradient between the ridging and lower pressure in the vicinity of the ITCZ is supporting fresh to strong NE trades north of 14N and east of 50W. Seas are 8 to 12 ft E of 50W, and 5 to 8 ft E of the front to 50W. Elsewhere, winds are moderate with seas 6 to 10 ft in mainly N swell. For the forecast west of 55W, please, see the Special Features section for details. $$ GR ########################### END OF MESSAGE SET ############################