--------------------------------------------------------------------------- TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION (NORTH ATLANTIC AREA) MESSAGES T1T2: AX A1A2: NT Date: 2026-02-16 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Message File: T_AXNT20KNHC160452_C_KWBC_20260216045402_29294990-8032-TWDAT.txt ****0000005910**** AXNT20 KNHC 160452 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 0615 UTC Mon Feb 16 2026 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0430 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURE... W Atlantic Gale Warning: A cold front is expected to enter the W Atlantic tonight. Ahead of the front, SW winds to gale force are expected to develop by 16/03Z as the pressure gradient tightens in the area, mainly N of 30N. Rough seas are expected with these winds. These winds/seas will spread E ahead of the front through 16/18Z. Please refer to the latest NWS High Seas Forecast at website: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 09N13W to 04N21W. The ITCZ continues from 04N21W to the coast of Brazil at 03S39W. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is noted E of 33W and S of 07N. ...GULF OF AMERICA... A cold front continues to move eastward across the NE Gulf, analyzed from near 30N85W to 19N96W. A pre-frontal squall line occurring just ahead of the front and into the Florida Big Bend. Latest scatterometer data depicts fresh to strong winds in the vicinity of the front mainly E of 90W, while moderate winds are W of 90W. Rough seas prevail with the strongest winds, and moderate seas are noted elsewhere. For the forecast, the cold front will exit to the southeast of the basin Monday afternoon. Fresh to strong winds over the eastern Gulf north of 25N will become moderate to fresh north winds early on Mon as high pressure in the wake of the front begins to slide eastward across the area. Winds will become gentle to moderate along with slight to moderate seas beginning Mon afternoon and continuing into early Tue before southerly moderate to fresh winds develop in the western Gulf. These winds will expand eastward in coverage through Fri as low pressure, with an attendant cold front move through central Texas. ...CARIBBEAN SEA... A frontal remnant trough extends across Puerto Rico southwestward into the east-central Caribbean along 68W. Fresh NE to E winds prevail N of 15N, where seas are 5-7 ft. Fresh to strong winds continue to pulse near the coast of Colombia to 15N, with seas of 6 to 8 ft. Elsewhere across the basin, 1024 mb high pressure centered between Bermuda and the Bahamas is supporting moderate to fresh E trades and moderate seas, E of 80W, and gentle to moderate SE winds across the NW basin. For the forecast, pulsing strong northeast winds will prevail near the coast of Colombia through the forecast period. Moderate to rough seas are expected with these winds. Light to gentle winds over the NW Caribbean will strengthen by the end of the week. Elsewhere, moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail. ...ATLANTIC OCEAN... A Gale Warning has been issued for portions of the northwest waters for tonight and into early Mon. Please refer to the Special Feature section above for more details. A cold front curves southwestward from the north-central Atlantic through 31N42W to 23N52W, then become stationary to the Virgin Islands and eastern Puerto Rico. Moderate to fresh N to NE winds follow the front to 70W. Anticyclonic winds then become fresh easterly winds N of Hispaniola, then fresh to near gale SE to S winds through the Bahamas and across the waters E of Florida to 72W. This is outside of the Gale Warning area described above. Seas are 6 to 8 ft within these winds, except 4 ft or less in the lee of the central Bahamas. Light to gentle winds and 3-5 ft seas prevail north of the trough due to high pressure in the region. E of the cold front to 35W and N of 26N, fresh S to SW winds prevail, with seas of 7 to 9 ft. E of 35W and N of 10N, fresh to strong trades and rough seas prevail due to an enhanced pressure difference between a 1034 mb high near 36N16W and lower pressures in the deep tropics. Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas prevail elsewhere S of 20N to the Lesser Antilles. For the forecast west of 55W outside of the Gale Warning area, high pressure over the area will slide eastward through Mon night in response to intensifying low pressure that will track northeastward over southeastern United States. The low will pull a cold front across the waters offshore northern Florida late tonight into Mon. A squall line will precede the front. The front will reach from near 31N75W to the NW Bahamas and to west- central Cuba by early Mon, from near 31N69W to the central Bahamas and to central Cuba Mon night, from near 31N57W to 24N65W and stationary to South Florida Tue. The cold front portion will move E of 55W late Tue while the stationary portion weakens, with frontal remnants lifting back N as a warm front Wed. An expanding areas of fresh to strong southerly winds and building seas will precede the front through Mon. Fresh to strong winds northerly winds and building seas will follow the front into Mon night. Seas are expected to build to around 12 ft in the far northern forecast waters Tue, but shift to the far northeast part of the area Wed before moving E of 55W Wed night. The fresh to strong winds will diminish on Tue. Rough seas will linger elsewhere E of 60W through Thu. Mariners are urged to stay up to date with the latest forecasts. $$ ERA ########################### END OF MESSAGE SET ############################ --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Message File: T_AXNT20KNHC161044_C_KWBC_20260216104503_29294990-8043-TWDAT.txt ****0000006697**** AXNT20 KNHC 161044 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1215 UTC Mon Feb 16 2026 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1030 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURE... Western Atlantic Gale Warning: A cold front is just inland the southeastern coast of the U.S. Ahead of it, southerly winds have increased to 25 to 35 kt in a tightening pressure gradient over a a portion of the waters east of northern Florida along with seas of 8 to 11 ft. These winds are primarily north of 29N and between 75W and 77W. They will spread eastward during the morning. The cold front will reach from near 31N74W to the NW Bahamas and to west-central Cuba by early this afternoon, at which time these winds are expected to shift north of 31N. Please refer to the latest NWS High Seas Forecast at website: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic near 09N13W and extends southwestward to 03N22W, where latest scatterometer data indicates that it transitions to the ITCZ to inland Brazil at 02S47W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is within 120 nm south of the trough between 16W-20W and within 60 nm north of the trough between 17W-20W. ...GULF OF AMERICA... A cold front extends from is analyzed from north-central Florida southwestward to 25N88W to the central Bay of Campeche. Overnight scatterometer satellite data shows fresh west to northwest winds behind the front to near 90W, and gentle to moderate north to northeast winds are west of 90W. Seas are 5 to 7 ft with the winds behind the front and 4 to 6 ft elsewhere north of 25N east of 94W, and 3 to 5 ft elsewhere, except for lower seas of 2 to 4 ft in the far northwest Gulf and in the Bay of Campeche. For the forecast, the cold front will exit the basin this afternoon. Winds over the NE Gulf will gradually diminish this morning as high pressure in the wake of the front begins to slide eastward across the area. Winds will become gentle to moderate along with slight to moderate seas beginning this afternoon and continuing into early Tue before southerly moderate to fresh winds develop in the western Gulf. These winds will expand eastward in coverage through Fri as low pressure, with an attendant cold front move through central Texas. ...CARIBBEAN SEA... A frontal remnant trough extends across Puerto Rico southwestward into the east-central Caribbean along 68W. Fresh northeast to east winds prevail north of about 15N, where seas are 5 to 7 ft. Fresh to strong winds continue to pulse near the coast of Colombia to 15N, with seas of 6 to 8 ft. Elsewhere across the basin, 1034 mb high pressure centered between Bermuda and the Bahamas is supporting moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas east of 80W, and gentle to moderate southeast winds in the the northwestern part of the basin. For the forecast, pulsing strong northeast winds will prevail near the coast of Colombia through the forecast period. Moderate to rough seas are expected with these winds. Light to gentle winds over the NW Caribbean will strengthen by the end of the week. Elsewhere, moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail. ...ATLANTIC OCEAN... A Gale Warning is in effect for portions of the northwest waters for this morning. Please refer to the Special Feature section above for more details. A cold front is anaylzed from the north-central Atlantic through 31N41W to 23N49W, then becomes stationary to 19N63W and a frontal remnant trough to Puerto Rico. Moderate to fresh north to northeast winds as seen in overnight scatterometer satellite data passes are north and northwest of the front to near 72W. Anticyclonic light to gentle winds are north of 24N between of 51W and 57W in response to a 1023 mb high center near 32N61W and a 1024 mb high center that is near 33N53W. North of 25N and west of 72W, southerly winds are fresh to near gale outside the gale-force as described above under Special Features. Seas are 6 to 8 ft within these winds, except 3 ft or less in the lee of the central Bahamas. Light to gentle winds and 3 to 5 ft seas are elsewhere, except for higher seas of 5 to 7 ft north of 18N between 46W and 52W, and seas of 7 to 9 ft north of 27N between 37W and 46W, with fresh to strong south winds ahead of a cold front. East of the cold front to 35W and north f 26N, fresh south to southwest winds prevail along with seas of 7 to 9 ft. East of 35W and N of 10N, fresh to strong trades and rough seas prevail due to an enhanced pressure difference between a 1034 mb high near 36N14W and lower pressures in the deep tropics. Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas are elsewhere south of 20N to the Lesser Antilles. For the forecast west of 55W outside of the Gale Warning area, low pressure intensifying offshore the Carolinas will pull a cold front across the offshore waters of northern Florida today. Scattered showers and thunderstorms ahead of the front, with a squall line are north of 28N between 74W and 77W. This activity will continue eastward into the afternoon. The cold front will reach from near 31N74W to the NW Bahamas and to west-central Cuba by early this afternoon, from near 31N69W to the central Bahamas and to central Cuba tonight, then from near 31N58W to 24N65W and stationary to South Florida Tue. The cold front portion will move E of 55W late Tue while the stationary portion weakens, with frontal remnants lifting back N as a warm front Wed. An expanding areas of fresh to strong southerly winds and building seas will precede the front today. Fresh to strong winds northerly winds and building seas will follow the front through late tonight. Seas may possibly reach 14 ft in the far northern forecast waters Tue, then shift to the far northeast part of the area Wed before moving E of 55W Wed night. The fresh to strong winds will diminish on Tue. Rough seas will linger elsewhere E of 60W through Thu. Mariners are urged to stay up to date with the latest forecasts. $$ Aguirre ########################### END OF MESSAGE SET ############################ --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Message File: T_AXNT20KNHC161110RRA_C_KWBC_20260216111055_16515500-7670-TWDAT.txt ****0000006731**** AXNT20 KNHC 161110 RRA TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1215 UTC Mon Feb 16 2026 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1045 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURE... Western Atlantic Gale Warning: A cold front is just inland the southeastern coast of the U.S. Ahead of it, southerly winds have increased to 25 to 35 kt in a tightening pressure gradient over a a portion of the waters east of northern Florida along with seas of 8 to 11 ft. These winds are primarily north of 29N and between 75W and 77W. They will spread eastward during the morning. The cold front will reach from near 31N74W to the NW Bahamas and to west-central Cuba by early this afternoon, at which time these winds are expected to shift north of 31N. Please refer to the latest NWS High Seas Forecast at website: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic near 09N13W and extends southwestward to 03N22W, where latest scatterometer data indicates that it transitions to the ITCZ to inland Brazil at 02S47W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is within 120 nm south of the trough between 16W-20W and within 60 nm north of the trough between 17W-20W. ...GULF OF AMERICA... A cold front extends from is analyzed from north-central Florida southwestward to 25N88W to the central Bay of Campeche. Overnight scatterometer satellite data shows fresh west to northwest winds behind the front to near 90W, and gentle to moderate north to northeast winds are west of 90W. Seas are 5 to 7 ft with the winds behind the front, and 4 to 6 ft elsewhere north of 25N east of 94W and 3 to 5 ft elsewhere, except for lower seas of 2 to 4 ft in the far northwest Gulf and in the Bay of Campeche. For the forecast, the cold front will exit the basin this afternoon. Winds over the NE Gulf will gradually diminish this morning as high pressure in the wake of the front begins to slide eastward across the area. Winds will become gentle to moderate along with slight to moderate seas beginning this afternoon and continuing into early Tue before southerly moderate to fresh winds develop in the western Gulf. These winds will expand eastward in coverage through Fri as low pressure, with an attendant cold front move through central Texas. ...CARIBBEAN SEA... A frontal remnant trough extends across Puerto Rico southwestward into the east-central Caribbean along 68W. Fresh northeast to east winds prevail north of about 15N, where seas are 5 to 7 ft. Fresh to strong winds continue to pulse near the coast of Colombia to 15N, with seas of 6 to 8 ft. Elsewhere across the basin, a 1034 mb high pressure centered between Bermuda and the Bahamas is supporting moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas east of 80W, and gentle to moderate southeast winds in the the northwestern part of the basin. For the forecast, pulsing strong northeast winds will prevail near the coast of Colombia through the forecast period. Moderate to rough seas are expected with these winds. Light to gentle winds over the NW Caribbean will strengthen by the end of the week. Elsewhere, moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail. ...ATLANTIC OCEAN... A Gale Warning is in effect for portions of the northwest waters for this morning. Please refer to the Special Feature section above for more details. A cold front is analyzed from the north-central Atlantic through 31N41W to 23N49W, then becomes stationary to 19N63W and a frontal remnant trough to Puerto Rico. Moderate to fresh north to northeast winds as seen in overnight scatterometer satellite data passes are north and northwest of the front to near 72W. Anticyclonic light to gentle winds are north of 24N between of 51W and 57W in response to a 1023 mb high center near 32N61W and a 1024 mb high center that is near 33N53W. North of 25N and west of 72W, southerly winds are fresh to near gale outside the gale-force winds as described above under Special Features. Seas are 6 to 8 ft within these winds, except 3 ft or less in the lee of the central Bahamas. Light to gentle winds and 3 to 5 ft seas are elsewhere, except for higher seas of 5 to 7 ft north of 18N between 46W and 52W, and seas of 7 to 9 ft north of 27N between 37W and 46W with fresh to strong south winds ahead of a cold front. East of the cold front to 35W and north f 26N, fresh south to southwest winds prevail along with seas of 7 to 9 ft. East of 35W and N of 10N, fresh to strong trades and rough seas prevail due to an enhanced pressure difference between a 1034 mb high near 36N14W and lower pressures in the deep tropics. Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas are elsewhere south of 20N to the Lesser Antilles. For the forecast west of 55W outside of the Gale Warning area, low pressure intensifying offshore the Carolinas will pull a cold front across the offshore waters of northern Florida today. Scattered showers and thunderstorms ahead of the front, with a squall line are north of 28N between 74W and 77W. This activity will continue eastward into the afternoon. The cold front will reach from near 31N74W to the NW Bahamas and to west-central Cuba by early this afternoon, from near 31N69W to the central Bahamas and to central Cuba tonight, then from near 31N58W to 24N65W and stationary to South Florida Tue. The cold front portion will move east of 55W late Tue while the stationary portion weakens, with frontal remnants lifting back N as a warm front Wed. An expanding areas of fresh to strong southerly winds and building seas will precede the front today. Fresh to strong winds northerly winds and building seas will follow the front through late tonight. Seas may possibly reach 14 ft in the far northern forecast waters Tue, then shift to the far northeast part of the area Wed before moving east of 55W Wed night. The fresh to strong winds will diminish on Tue. Rough seas will linger elsewhere east of 60W through Thu. Mariners are urged to stay up to date with the latest forecasts. $$ Aguirre --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Message File: T_AXNT20KNHC161110_C_KWBC_20260216111055_16515500-7669-TWDAT.txt ****0000006727**** AXNT20 KNHC 161110 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1215 UTC Mon Feb 16 2026 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1030 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURE... Western Atlantic Gale Warning: A cold front is just inland the southeastern coast of the U.S. Ahead of it, southerly winds have increased to 25 to 35 kt in a tightening pressure gradient over a a portion of the waters east of northern Florida along with seas of 8 to 11 ft. These winds are primarily north of 29N and between 75W and 77W. They will spread eastward during the morning. The cold front will reach from near 31N74W to the NW Bahamas and to west-central Cuba by early this afternoon, at which time these winds are expected to shift north of 31N. Please refer to the latest NWS High Seas Forecast at website: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic near 09N13W and extends southwestward to 03N22W, where latest scatterometer data indicates that it transitions to the ITCZ to inland Brazil at 02S47W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is within 120 nm south of the trough between 16W-20W and within 60 nm north of the trough between 17W-20W. ...GULF OF AMERICA... A cold front extends from is analyzed from north-central Florida southwestward to 25N88W to the central Bay of Campeche. Overnight scatterometer satellite data shows fresh west to northwest winds behind the front to near 90W, and gentle to moderate north to northeast winds are west of 90W. Seas are 5 to 7 ft with the winds behind the front, and 4 to 6 ft elsewhere north of 25N east of 94W and 3 to 5 ft elsewhere, except for lower seas of 2 to 4 ft in the far northwest Gulf and in the Bay of Campeche. For the forecast, the cold front will exit the basin this afternoon. Winds over the NE Gulf will gradually diminish this morning as high pressure in the wake of the front begins to slide eastward across the area. Winds will become gentle to moderate along with slight to moderate seas beginning this afternoon and continuing into early Tue before southerly moderate to fresh winds develop in the western Gulf. These winds will expand eastward in coverage through Fri as low pressure, with an attendant cold front move through central Texas. ...CARIBBEAN SEA... A frontal remnant trough extends across Puerto Rico southwestward into the east-central Caribbean along 68W. Fresh northeast to east winds prevail north of about 15N, where seas are 5 to 7 ft. Fresh to strong winds continue to pulse near the coast of Colombia to 15N, with seas of 6 to 8 ft. Elsewhere across the basin, a 1034 mb high pressure centered between Bermuda and the Bahamas is supporting moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas east of 80W, and gentle to moderate southeast winds in the the northwestern part of the basin. For the forecast, pulsing strong northeast winds will prevail near the coast of Colombia through the forecast period. Moderate to rough seas are expected with these winds. Light to gentle winds over the NW Caribbean will strengthen by the end of the week. Elsewhere, moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail. ...ATLANTIC OCEAN... A Gale Warning is in effect for portions of the northwest waters for this morning. Please refer to the Special Feature section above for more details. A cold front is analyzed from the north-central Atlantic through 31N41W to 23N49W, then becomes stationary to 19N63W and a frontal remnant trough to Puerto Rico. Moderate to fresh north to northeast winds as seen in overnight scatterometer satellite data passes are north and northwest of the front to near 72W. Anticyclonic light to gentle winds are north of 24N between of 51W and 57W in response to a 1023 mb high center near 32N61W and a 1024 mb high center that is near 33N53W. North of 25N and west of 72W, southerly winds are fresh to near gale outside the gale-force winds as described above under Special Features. Seas are 6 to 8 ft within these winds, except 3 ft or less in the lee of the central Bahamas. Light to gentle winds and 3 to 5 ft seas are elsewhere, except for higher seas of 5 to 7 ft north of 18N between 46W and 52W, and seas of 7 to 9 ft north of 27N between 37W and 46W with fresh to strong south winds ahead of a cold front. East of the cold front to 35W and north f 26N, fresh south to southwest winds prevail along with seas of 7 to 9 ft. East of 35W and N of 10N, fresh to strong trades and rough seas prevail due to an enhanced pressure difference between a 1034 mb high near 36N14W and lower pressures in the deep tropics. Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas are elsewhere south of 20N to the Lesser Antilles. For the forecast west of 55W outside of the Gale Warning area, low pressure intensifying offshore the Carolinas will pull a cold front across the offshore waters of northern Florida today. Scattered showers and thunderstorms ahead of the front, with a squall line are north of 28N between 74W and 77W. This activity will continue eastward into the afternoon. The cold front will reach from near 31N74W to the NW Bahamas and to west-central Cuba by early this afternoon, from near 31N69W to the central Bahamas and to central Cuba tonight, then from near 31N58W to 24N65W and stationary to South Florida Tue. The cold front portion will move east of 55W late Tue while the stationary portion weakens, with frontal remnants lifting back N as a warm front Wed. An expanding areas of fresh to strong southerly winds and building seas will precede the front today. Fresh to strong winds northerly winds and building seas will follow the front through late tonight. Seas may possibly reach 14 ft in the far northern forecast waters Tue, then shift to the far northeast part of the area Wed before moving east of 55W Wed night. The fresh to strong winds will diminish on Tue. Rough seas will linger elsewhere east of 60W through Thu. Mariners are urged to stay up to date with the latest forecasts. $$ Aguirre ########################### END OF MESSAGE SET ############################ --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Message File: T_AXNT20KNHC161621_C_KWBC_20260216162204_29294990-8057-TWDAT.txt ****0000004913**** AXNT20 KNHC 161621 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1815 UTC Mon Feb 16 2026 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1600 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURE... Western Atlantic Gale Warning: A cold front extends from 31N78W to near Pompano Beach, Florida. A recent scatterometer satellite pass confirmed S to SW winds to 40 kt ahead of the front, with strong to near-gale force winds within 300 nm ahead of the front, north of 27N. Rough seas are also ongoing in the same area, and following the front west of 78W. The cold front will reach from near 31N74W to the NW Bahamas and to west-central Cuba by early this afternoon, at which time these winds are expected to shift north of 31N. Please refer to the latest NWS High Seas Forecast at website: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough axis remains over the African continent at this time. The ITCZ extends from 03N20W to 02S30W to 03S43W. Scattered moderate convection is active from 03N to 07N between 13W and 18W. ...GULF OF AMERICA... A cold front extends from southwest Florida near Chokoloskee to 24N87W. Moderate N winds, 4 to 6 ft seas, and cloudy skies follow the front over the northeast and north-central Gulf. Gentle breezes, slight seas and fair skies prevail elsewhere. For the forecast, the cold front will exit the basin this afternoon. Moderate northerly winds over the NE Gulf behind the front will diminish by Tue morning as a surface ridge begins to slide eastward across the area. However, the pressure gradient will tighten over the western half of the Gulf on Tue as a very broad area of low pressure deepens over the NW CONUS. This will result on the development of southerly moderate to fresh winds that will expand to the eastern half of the basin Thu morning ahead of the next cold front forecast to enter the NW Gulf on Sat. ...CARIBBEAN SEA... A few thunderstorms are active near a weak 1016 mb low pressure area east of Grand Cayman Island. Farther south, scattered showers and thunderstorms are active off eastern Panama. This is due in part to convergence of fresh trade winds off Colombia, where seas to 8 ft are possible. Moderate winds and seas are evident elsewhere over the eastern and central Caribbean, with gentle breezes and slight seas over the northeast Caribbean. For the forecast, pulsing strong northeast winds will prevail offshore Colombia, the Gulf of Venezuela and southern Panama through Fri night. Moderate to rough seas are expected with these winds. Fresh NE winds will develop in the Windward Passage and in the lee side of Cuba Tue through Wed evening as high pressure come off the Carolinas and then moves eastward towards the central Atlantic. Fresh to strong E to SE winds will pulse in the Gulf of Honduras Wed evening and will continue through Fri night. Otherwise, trade winds will reach moderate to fresh speeds over the E Caribbean Thu and Fri as high pressure builds over the central subtropical Atlantic waters. ...ATLANTIC OCEAN... A Gale Warning is in effect northeast of the northern Bahamas for this morning. Please refer to the Special Feature section above for more details. In addition the situation described in the Special Features section about conditions near the cold front, a second front is evident farther east from 31N40W to 23N50W, then is a stationary front to the northern Leeward Islands. 1025 mb high pressure is centered between the fronts near 30N55W. Moderate to fresh NE to E winds and 5 to 7 ft seas are noted along and within 90 nm of the easternmost front, with gentle breezes and 4 to 5 ft seas elsewhere west of the front. Elsewhere moderate to fresh NE to E winds and 6 to 8 ft seas with a component of NE to E swell persists. For the forecast west of 55W outside of the Gale Warning area, the front will reach from near 31N69W to the central Bahamas and to central Cuba tonight, then from near 31N58W to 24N65W and stationary to South Florida Tue. The cold front portion will move E of 55W late Tue while the stationary portion weakens, with frontal remnants lifting back N as a warm front Wed. Fresh to strong northerly winds and building seas will follow the front through late tonight. Rough seas will linger elsewhere E of 60W through Thu. $$ Christensen ########################### END OF MESSAGE SET ############################