--------------------------------------------------------------------------- TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION (NORTH ATLANTIC AREA) MESSAGES T1T2: AX A1A2: NT Date: 2026-02-17 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Message File: T_AXNT20KNHC170003_C_KWBC_20260217000406_29294990-8074-TWDAT.txt ****0000006684**** AXNT20 KNHC 170003 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 0015 UTC Tue Feb 17 2026 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 2200 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURE... Western Atlantic Gale Warning: A cold front moving across the western Atlantic extends through 31N73W southwestward across the far NW Bahamas and across the Florida Keys into the SE Gulf of America. Midday satellite scatterometer data showed S to SW winds to 40 kt occurring within a broken band of convection, along and within 90 nm ahead of the front, with strong to near-gale force winds within 300 nm ahead of the front, north of 27N. Rough seas of 8 to 12 ft are also ongoing in the same area, and following the front west to 78W. The cold front will reach from near 31N79W to the NW Bahamas and to west-central Cuba this evening, at which time these gale-force winds are expected to shift north of 31N. Please refer to the latest NWS High Seas Forecast at website: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough axis remains over the African continent at this time. The ITCZ extends from 05N14W to 02.5S33W to the coast of Brazil near 02.5S44W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is active from 01N to 07.5N between 10W and 28W, and also S of 02N between 45W and 50W. ...GULF OF AMERICA... A cold front extends from the western Atlantic southwestward across the Florida Keys Florida near Chokoloskee to near 23.5N87W, then continues as a frontal trough to the central Bay of Campeche near 18.5N94W. 1021 mb high pressure is behind the front, centered over NE Louisiana. The resulting pressure gradient is producing moderate N winds and 3 to 5 ft seas behind the front and E of 87W. Light to gentle NE breezes prevail elsewhere across the basin, becoming E to SE across the NW part and into the Texas coast. Slight seas of 3 ft and less, with generally fair skies prevail elsewhere. For the forecast, the cold front will move SE and exit the basin this evening. Moderate N to NE winds over the E Gulf behind the front will briefly diminish by Tue morning as a surface ridge begins to slide eastward across the northern Gulf. However, the pressure gradient will tighten over the western half of the Gulf on Tue as a very broad area of low pressure deepens over the NW CONUS. This will result in moderate to fresh southerly winds that will expand to the eastern half of the basin by Thu morning ahead of the next cold front, forecast to enter the NW Gulf on Sat. ...CARIBBEAN SEA... Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms are active near surface trough extending from central Cuba to W of Grand Cayman Island near 19N83W. Farther south, scattered showers and thunderstorms are active over coastal portions of Colombia. High pressure is centered over the central Atlantic and extends a ridge southwestward to the SE Bahamas and E Cuba. To the south of the ridge, moderate to fresh trade winds prevail across the south central Caribbean S of 14N, where seas are 5 to 7 ft, except to near 8 ft off NW Colombia. Elsewhere E of the surface trough, moderate trades and seas of 4 to 5 ft prevail. To the NW of the surface trough, light and variable winds prevail with slight seas. For the forecast, fresh to strong NE winds will pulse offshore Colombia, the Gulf of Venezuela and southern Panama offshore waters through the rest of the week, possibly reaching near gale- force speed Sat and Sat night. Moderate to rough seas are expected with these winds. Fresh NE winds will develop in the Windward Passage and in the lee side of Cuba Tue through Wed evening as high pressure moves eastward off the coasts of the Carolinas and then towards the central Atlantic. Fresh to strong E to SE winds will pulse in the Gulf of Honduras Wed evening and will continue through Sat night. Otherwise, trade winds will remain moderate to fresh speeds over the E Caribbean through the forecast period. ...ATLANTIC OCEAN... A Gale Warning is in effect N of 29N, along a cold front that extends from 31N73W to the NW Bahamas. These gale-force SW winds are expected to shift N of 31N and out of the area this evening. Please refer to the Special Feature section above for more details. The aforementioned cold front spirals into a rapidly deepening 992 mb low pressure center near 37N70W. Gale-force to strong N winds occurring southwest of the low center extend to near 31N and are producing large N swell moving into the waters W of the front. Seas behind the front and N of 29N are 8 to 11 ft, diminishing to 4 ft along the central coast of Florida. East of the front, a 1024 mb high is centered over the central Atlantic near 32.5N52W and extends a ridge to the SE Bahamas. S through SE of the high, a second front extends from 31N37W to 22N50W, then is a stationary front to 21N65W. Moderate to locally fresh NE to E winds and 6 to 8 ft seas are noted along and within 180 nm north of this front, with gentle breezes and 4 to 5 ft seas elsewhere west of the front to 65W. Elsewhere moderate to fresh NE to E trade winds and 6 to 8 ft seas with a component of NE to E swell prevail across the Tropical Atlantic S of 20N. For the forecast west of 55W, gale-force SW winds occurring N of 29N along the cold front are forecast to move N of 31N this evening. However heavy showers and isolated thunderstorms will continue ahead of this front as it continues its eastward motion through Wed. The front will reach from near Bermuda to the central Bahamas to central Cuba tonight, from near 30N55W to just NE of the Puerto Rico offshores Tue evening, and will move E of 55W by Wed afternoon. Winds behind the front will become moderate or weaker early Tue night, however moderate to large NW to N swell will continue to support rough seas over great portions of the SW N Atlantic waters through Thu night. The tail of a cold front is forecast to enter the NE Florida offshore waters briefly on Thu. A third cold front is forecast to enter the same region Sat night. $$ Stripling ########################### END OF MESSAGE SET ############################ --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Message File: T_AXNT20KNHC170259_C_KWBC_20260217030007_29294990-8084-TWDAT.txt ****0000004720**** AXNT20 KNHC 170259 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 0615 UTC Tue Feb 17 2026 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0255 UTC. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Guinea-Bissau near 12N16W and continues southwestward to 03N21W. The ITCZ extends from 03N21W to 01S35W and to 00N50W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is present within 120 nm on both sides of the monsoon trough and ITCZ. ...GULF OF AMERICA... A 1020 mb high pressure system dominates the Gulf waters, supporting moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas. Generally dry conditions are found across the basin. For the forecast, high pressure is building across the area in the wake of the recent cold front maintaining rather tranquil conditions. Moderate north to northeast winds over the eastern Gulf south of 27N will diminish early on Tue. The high pressure will slide eastward through Wed night in response to a deepening low pressure system in the upper Midwest region that will be moving eastward. As this happens, the pressure gradient will tighten over the western half of the Gulf starting on Tue leading to moderate to fresh southerly winds in that part of the Gulf. These winds expand to the western part of E Gulf Thu through late Fri. The low pressure will pull a cold front into the NW Gulf on Sat. Light to gentle winds are expected behind the front initially before becoming fresh to strong northerly winds Sat night. ...CARIBBEAN SEA... A surface trough extends from central Cuba to 18N83W and isolated showers are noted near this boundary. The remainder of the Caribbean is dominated by a broad subtropical ridge positioned over the central Atlantic. This high pressure supports fresh to strong easterly trade winds and seas of 5-8 ft in the south-central Caribbean. Moderate to locally fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas are noted in the north-central and eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, light to gentle winds and slight seas prevail. For the forecast, pulsing fresh to strong northeast to east winds will continue offshore Colombia through the forecast period. These winds are expected to expand in coverage starting late on Thu, with the possibly of near gale-force speeds Fri and Sat night as Atlantic ridging noses westward tightening the pressure gradient. Fresh northeast winds will develop in the Windward Passage and in the lee side of Cuba from Tue through Wed evening. Fresh to strong east to southeast winds will begin to pulse in the Gulf of Honduras Wed evening and continue through the rest of the forecast period, and trades elsewhere will generally remain at moderate to fresh during this same time. ...ATLANTIC OCEAN... A cold front extends from just west of Bermuda to the central Bahamas and western Cuba. A surface trough is noted ahead of the front. Scattered showers to isolated thunderstorms are occurring ahead of the front to 64W and north of 23N. Fresh to strong winds are found north of 27N and west of 57W. Seas in these waters are 6-10 ft. A broad subtropical ridge dominates the rest of the tropical Atlantic, sustaining moderate to fresh easterly trade winds and moderate to rough seas south of 20N and west of 25W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas are prevalent. For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned front will reach from near 31N61W to 26N69W and stationary to South Florida early on Tue. The cold front portion will continue eastward across the northern and central offshore waters through Tue evening passing E of 55W by late Tue night. Fresh to strong south to southwest winds ahead of the front N of 28N will diminish to fresh speeds as the front crosses 55W. Fresh to strong north to northeast winds behind the front will become north to northeast fresh winds early on Tue. Elsewhere, long-period northerly swell will continue to support rough seas over the waters E and NE of the Bahamas through Thu night. Looking ahead, fresh southwest winds are expected to develop over the far NW part of the area beginning Sat in advance of the next cold front. $$ Delgado ########################### END OF MESSAGE SET ############################ --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Message File: T_AXNT20KNHC170957_C_KWBC_20260217095802_16515500-7738-TWDAT.txt ****0000006791**** AXNT20 KNHC 170957 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1215 UTC Tue Feb 17 2026 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0945 UTC. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Guinea-Bissau near 12N16W and continues southwestward to 03N21W. The ITCZ extends from 03N21W to 01S35W and to 00N50W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is within 120 nm north of the ITCZ between 23W-26.5W, also within 120 nm south of the ITCZ between 29W-31W, within 60 nm north of the ITCZ between 38.5W-41.5W and within 60 nm south of the ITCZ between 46W-48W. Similar activity is just west of the ITCZ from 01S to 02N between 50W-52W. ...GULF OF AMERICA... High pressure of 1020 mb centered over the NE Gulf at 29N85W basically dominates the weather pattern across the Gulf, generally providing for light to gentle winds in the basin, except for gentle to moderate north to northeast winds in the eastern Gulf south of 29N and east of 85W. Seas over the Gulf are in the range of 2 to 3 ft west of 89W and 3 to 4 ft east of 89W as seen overnight altimeter satellite data passes and as recorded in the latest buoy observations. For the forecast, high pressure is building across the area in the wake of the recent cold front maintaining rather tranquil conditions. The high pressure will slide eastward through Wed night in response to a deepening low pressure system in the upper U.S. Midwest region that will be moving eastward. As this happens, the pressure gradient will tighten over the western half of the Gulf leading to moderate to fresh return southerly flow over those waters. These winds will expand to the western part of E Gulf Thu through late Fri. The low pressure will pull a cold front into the NW Gulf on Sat and Sat night, followed by fresh to strong northerly winds expected behind it Sat night. ...CARIBBEAN SEA... A trough extends from central Cuba near 21N78.5W to 18N83W. Isolated showers and thunderstorms are seen from 20N to 21N between the trough and 81W. Isolated showers are possible elsewhere near the trough. High pressure across the central Atlantic is controlling trade wnd regime throughout. The associated gradient is allowing for fresh to strong trades to exist in the south-central sections of the basin, including offshore near the coast of Colombia, where an overnight scatterometer satellite data pass confirmed the presence of these winds. Seas with these winds are in the range of 6 to 9 ft. Overnight scatterometer satellite data passes indicate that moderate to locally fresh trades are elsewhere south of about 17N and east of 81W while light to gentle trades are north of 17N east of 81W, and light to gentle north to northeast winds are west of 81W. Seas elsewhere across the basin are in the range of 3 to 5 ft, except for higher seas of 6 to 9 ft in northeast swell south of 11N between the coast of Colombia and 80W. Lower seas of 3 to 4 ft are north of 18N and west of 76W. Seas of 2 to 3 ft are near the Windward Passage. For the forecast, pulsing fresh to strong northeast to east winds will continue offshore Colombia through the forecast period. These winds are expected to expand in coverage starting late on Thu, with the possibly of near gale-force speeds Fri and Sat night as Atlantic ridging noses westward tightening the pressure gradient. Fresh northeast winds will develop in the Windward Passage and in the lee side of Cuba today through Wed evening. Fresh to strong east to southeast winds will begin to pulse in the Gulf of Honduras Wed evening and continue through the rest of the forecast period, and trades elsewhere will generally remain at moderate to fresh during this same time. ...ATLANTIC OCEAN... A cold front has recently passed Bermuda, where northwest winds are gusting to 30 kt. It is analyzed from near 31N66W southwestward to 26N70W and to the coast of central Cuba at 22N78W. Fresh to strong south to southwest winds ahead of the front to near 56W and north of 27N as depicted in overnight scatterometer satellite data passes. Seas with these winds are in the range of 7 to 10 ft. Mostly fresh north to northeast winds are behind the front north of about 27N along with seas of 7 to 10 ft in a long-period north to northeast swell. A trough is out ahead of the front from 28N66W to 22.5N70W. In addition, a deep layer trough is shifting eastward between 57W and 73W. Latest satellite imagery shows very active convection in the form of scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms over the waters generally north of about 22N between 55W and the front/trough. This activity may be accompanied by strong gusty winds as it translates in a general eastward motion. A broad subtropical ridge dominates the rest of the tropical Atlantic, sustaining moderate to fresh easterly trade winds and moderate to rough seas south of about 20N and west of 25W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas are prevalent. For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned cold front will reach from near 31N59W to 26N66W and to the southeastern Bahamas this afternoon. It will cross 55W tonight into early Wed. Fresh to strong south to southwest winds ahead of the front N of 28N will diminish to fresh speeds as the front crosses 55W. Fresh to strong north to northeast winds behind the front will become north to northeast fresh winds this morning. Elsewhere, long- period northerly swell will continue to support rough seas over the waters E and NE of the Bahamas through Thu night. Looking ahead, fresh southwest winds are expected to develop over the far NW part of the area beginning Sat ahead of an approaching cold front, and as a high pressure ridge noses westward toward Florida roughly along 26N. Active convection is over a good portion of the eastern half of the offshore zones N of 22N due to an upper-level trough in the area, the approaching cold front and a surface trough, remnants of an old frontal boundary, that extends from 23N55W to 23N60W and to near 22N65W. Mariners are urged to stay up to date with the latest forecasts. $$ Aguirre ########################### END OF MESSAGE SET ############################ --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Message File: T_AXNT20KNHC171014_C_KWBC_20260217101509_29294990-8101-TWDAT.txt ****0000006802**** AXNT20 KNHC 171014 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1215 UTC Tue Feb 17 2026 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1000 UTC. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Guinea-Bissau near 12N16W and continues southwestward to 03N21W. The ITCZ extends from 03N21W to 01S35W and to 00N50W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is within 120 nm north of the ITCZ between 23W-26.5W, also within 120 nm south of the ITCZ between 29W-31W, within 60 nm north of the ITCZ between 38.5W-41.5W and within 60 nm south of the ITCZ between 46W-48W. Similar activity is just west of the ITCZ from 01S to 02N between 50W-52W. ...GULF OF AMERICA... High pressure of 1020 mb centered over the NE Gulf at 29N85W basically dominates the weather pattern across the area, providing for light to gentle winds in the basin, except for gentle to moderate north to northeast winds in the eastern Gulf south of 29N and east of 85W. Seas over the Gulf are in the range of 2 to 3 ft west of 89W and 3 to 4 ft east of 89W as seen in overnight altimeter satellite data passes and as recorded in the latest buoy observations. For the forecast, high pressure is building across the area in the wake of the recent cold front maintaining rather tranquil conditions. The high pressure will slide eastward through Wed night in response to a deepening low pressure system in the upper U.S. Midwest region that will be moving eastward. As this happens, the pressure gradient will tighten over the western half of the Gulf leading to moderate to fresh return southerly flow over those waters. These winds will expand to the western part of E Gulf Thu through late Fri. The low pressure will pull a cold front into the NW Gulf on Sat and Sat night, followed by fresh to strong northerly winds expected behind it Sat night. ...CARIBBEAN SEA... A trough extends from central Cuba near 21N78.5W to 18N83W. Isolated showers and thunderstorms are seen from 20N to 21N between the trough and 81W. Isolated showers are possible elsewhere near the trough. High pressure across the central Atlantic is controlling the trade wnd regime throughout. The associated gradient is allowing for fresh to strong trades to exist in the south-central sections of the basin, including offshore near the coast of Colombia, where an overnight scatterometer satellite data pass confirmed the presence of these winds. Seas with these winds are in the range of 6 to 9 ft. Overnight scatterometer satellite data passes indicate that moderate to locally fresh trades are elsewhere south of about 17N and east of 81W while light to gentle trades are north of 17N and east of 81W, and light to gentle north to northeast winds are west of 81W. Seas elsewhere across the basin are in the range of 3 to 5 ft, except for higher seas of 6 to 9 ft in northeast swell south of 11N between the coast of Colombia and 80W. Lower seas of 3 to 4 ft are north of 18N and west of 76W. Seas of 2 to 3 ft are near the Windward Passage. For the forecast, pulsing fresh to strong northeast to east winds will continue offshore Colombia through the forecast period. These winds are expected to expand in coverage starting late on Thu, with the possibly of near gale-force speeds Fri and Sat night as Atlantic ridging noses westward tightening the pressure gradient. Fresh northeast winds will develop in the Windward Passage and in the lee side of Cuba today through Wed evening. Fresh to strong east to southeast winds will begin to pulse in the Gulf of Honduras Wed evening and continue through the rest of the forecast period, and trades elsewhere will generally remain at moderate to fresh during this same time. ...ATLANTIC OCEAN... A cold front has recently passed Bermuda, where northwest winds are gusting to 30 kt. It is analyzed from near 31N66W southwestward to 26N70W and to the coast of central Cuba at 22N78W. Fresh to strong south to southwest winds are ahead of the front to near 56W and north of 27N as depicted in overnight scatterometer satellite data passes. Seas with these winds are in the range of 7 to 10 ft. Mostly fresh north to northeast winds are behind the front north of about 27N along with seas of 7 to 10 ft in a long-period north to northeast swell. A trough is out ahead of the front from 28N66W to 22.5N70W. In addition, a deep layer trough is shifting eastward between 57W and 73W. Latest satellite imagery shows very active convection in the form of scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms over the waters generally north of about 22N between 55W and the front/trough. This activity may be accompanied by strong gusty winds as it translates in a general eastward motion. A broad subtropical ridge dominates the rest of the tropical Atlantic, sustaining moderate to fresh easterly trade winds and moderate to rough seas south of about 20N and west of 25W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas are prevalent. For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned cold front will reach from near 31N59W to 26N66W and to the southeastern Bahamas this afternoon. It will cross 55W tonight into early Wed. Fresh to strong south to southwest winds ahead of the front N of 28N will diminish to fresh speeds as the front crosses 55W. Fresh to strong north to northeast winds behind the front will become north to northeast fresh winds this morning. Elsewhere, long-period northerly swell will continue to support rough seas over the waters E and NE of the Bahamas through Thu night. Looking ahead, fresh southwest winds are expected to develop over the far NW part of the area beginning Sat ahead of an approaching cold front, and as a high pressure ridge noses westward toward Florida roughly along 26N. Active convection is over a good portion of the eastern half of the offshore zones N of 22N due to an upper-level trough in the area, the approaching cold front and a surface trough, remnants of an old frontal boundary, that extends from 23N55W to 23N60W and to near 22N65W. Mariners are urged to stay up to date with the latest forecasts. $$ Aguirre ########################### END OF MESSAGE SET ############################ --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Message File: T_AXNT20KNHC171015_C_KWBC_20260217101602_16515500-7740-TWDAT.txt ****0000006800**** AXNT20 KNHC 171015 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1215 UTC Tue Feb 17 2026 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1000 UTC. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Guinea-Bissau near 12N16W and continues southwestward to 03N21W. The ITCZ extends from 03N21W to 01S35W and to 00N50W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is within 120 nm north of the ITCZ between 23W-26.5W, also within 120 nm south of the ITCZ between 29W-31W, within 60 nm north of the ITCZ between 38.5W-41.5W and within 60 nm south of the ITCZ between 46W-48W. Similar activity is just west of the ITCZ from 01S to 02N between 50W-52W. ...GULF OF AMERICA... High pressure of 1020 mb centered over the NE Gulf at 29N85W basically dominates the weather pattern across the area, providing for light to gentle winds in the basin, except for gentle to moderate north to northeast winds in the eastern Gulf south of 29N and east of 85W. Seas over the Gulf are in the range of 2 to 3 ft west of 89W and 3 to 4 ft east of 89W as seen in overnight altimeter satellite data passes and as recorded in the latest buoy observations. For the forecast, high pressure is building across the area in the wake of the recent cold front maintaining rather tranquil conditions. The high pressure will slide eastward through Wed night in response to a deepening low pressure system in the upper U.S. Midwest region that will be moving eastward. As this happens, the pressure gradient will tighten over the western half of the Gulf leading to moderate to fresh return southerly flow over those waters. These winds will expand to the western part of E Gulf Thu through late Fri. The low pressure will pull a cold front into the NW Gulf on Sat and Sat night, followed by fresh to strong northerly winds expected behind it Sat night. ...CARIBBEAN SEA... A trough extends from central Cuba near 21N78.5W to 18N83W. Isolated showers and thunderstorms are seen from 20N to 21N between the trough and 81W. Isolated showers are possible elsewhere near the trough. High pressure across the central Atlantic is controlling the trade wnd regime throughout. The associated gradient is allowing for fresh to strong trades to exist in the south-central sections of the basin, including offshore near the coast of Colombia, where an overnight scatterometer satellite data pass confirmed the presence of these winds. Seas with these winds are in the range of 6 to 9 ft. Overnight scatterometer satellite data passes indicate that moderate to locally fresh trades are elsewhere south of about 17N and east of 81W while light to gentle trades are north of 17N and east of 81W, and light to gentle north to northeast winds are west of 81W. Seas elsewhere across the basin are in the range of 3 to 5 ft, except for higher seas of 6 to 9 ft in northeast swell south of 11N between the coast of Colombia and 80W. Lower seas of 3 to 4 ft are north of 18N and west of 76W. Seas of 2 to 3 ft are near the Windward Passage. For the forecast, pulsing fresh to strong northeast to east winds will continue offshore Colombia through the forecast period. These winds are expected to expand in coverage starting late on Thu, with the possibly of near gale-force speeds Fri and Sat night as Atlantic ridging noses westward tightening the pressure gradient. Fresh northeast winds will develop in the Windward Passage and in the lee side of Cuba today through Wed evening. Fresh to strong east to southeast winds will begin to pulse in the Gulf of Honduras Wed evening and continue through the rest of the forecast period, and trades elsewhere will generally remain at moderate to fresh during this same time. ...ATLANTIC OCEAN... A cold front has recently passed Bermuda, where northwest winds are gusting to 30 kt. It is analyzed from near 31N66W southwestward to 26N70W and to the coast of central Cuba at 22N78W. Fresh to strong south to southwest winds are ahead of the front to near 56W and north of 27N as depicted in overnight scatterometer satellite data passes. Seas with these winds are in the range of 7 to 10 ft. Mostly fresh north to northeast winds are behind the front north of about 27N along with seas of 7 to 10 ft in a long-period north to northeast swell. A trough is out ahead of the front from 28N66W to 22.5N70W. In addition, a deep layer trough is shifting eastward between 57W and 73W. Latest satellite imagery shows very active convection in the form of scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms over the waters generally north of about 22N between 55W and the front/trough. This activity may be accompanied by strong gusty winds as it translates in a general eastward motion. A broad subtropical ridge dominates the rest of the tropical Atlantic, sustaining moderate to fresh easterly trade winds and moderate to rough seas south of about 20N and west of 25W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas are prevalent. For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned cold front will reach from near 31N59W to 26N66W and to the southeastern Bahamas this afternoon. It will cross 55W tonight into early Wed. Fresh to strong south to southwest winds ahead of the front N of 28N will diminish to fresh speeds as the front crosses 55W. Fresh to strong north to northeast winds behind the front will become north to northeast fresh winds this morning. Elsewhere, long-period northerly swell will continue to support rough seas over the waters E and NE of the Bahamas through Thu night. Looking ahead, fresh southwest winds are expected to develop over the far NW part of the area beginning Sat ahead of an approaching cold front, and as a high pressure ridge noses westward toward Florida roughly along 26N. Active convection is over a good portion of the eastern half of the offshore zones N of 22N due to an upper-level trough in the area, the approaching cold front and a surface trough, remnants of an old frontal boundary, that extends from 23N55W to 23N60W and to near 22N65W. Mariners are urged to stay up to date with the latest forecasts. $$ Aguirre ########################### END OF MESSAGE SET ############################ --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Message File: T_AXNT20KNHC171604_C_KWBC_20260217160511_29294990-8118-TWDAT.txt ****0000004452**** AXNT20 KNHC 171604 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1815 UTC Tue Feb 17 2026 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1550 UTC. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough remains over west Africa. The ITCZ extends from 06N18W to 02S45W along the coast of Brazil. Scattered moderate convection is active within 90 nm north of the ITCZ west of 30W. ...GULF OF AMERICA... A surface ridge extends from 1026 mb high pressure centered over the Carolina coast southwestward to the northern Gulf. This pattern is maintaining gentle E breezes across the basin, except for moderate SE off the coast of Texas and northern Tamaulipas. Seas are 2 to 4 ft across the basin. No significant showers or thunderstorms are noted at this time. For the forecast, a high pressure ridge east of Florida and a deepening low pressure system over the U.S. Midwest will tighten the pressure gradient over the W and central Gulf later this week. This will lead to moderate to fresh S return flow over those waters Wed night through Fri night. Looking ahead, that low pressure will pull a cold front over the NW Gulf on Sat afternoon, followed by fresh to strong N to NE winds expected behind it Sat night. ...CARIBBEAN SEA... Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active over the northwest Caribbean south of central Cuba. This activity is ahead of a mid/upper trough just north of the area, and along a surface trough reaching from the central Bahamas through central Cuba. A few showers are active between Honduras and Grand Cayman as well. Fresh to strong winds and rough seas are active off Colombia. The convergence of these winds is supporting a few showers off eastern Panama. Gentle to moderate breezes and moderate seas are noted elsewhere. For the forecast, ridging north of the area will force fresh to strong NE winds over the S central Caribbean for the next several days. Fresh NE winds will develop over the Windward Passage today through Wed evening. Fresh to strong E to SE winds will begin to pulse over the Gulf of Honduras Wed evening and continue through the rest of the forecast period, while trades elsewhere will generally remain at moderate to fresh. Looking ahead, large N swell should impact the tropical N Atlantic waters and the Anegada/Mona Passages beginning on Thu. ...ATLANTIC OCEAN... A cold front extends from 31N60W to 25N70W, then is stationary across the central Bahamas. Clusters of showers and thunderstorms are active within 240 nm east of the front, north of 27N. Additional showers and thunderstorms are active from 22N to 24N between 63W and 66W, and from 23N to 25N between 55W and 60W. Fresh to strong winds are noted both ahead of and following the front north of 29N between 50W and 65W. Moderate to fresh NW to N winds follow the front elsewhere. Seas are 8 to 11 ft following the front primarily in N to NE swell north of 29N, and 4 to 6 ft elsewhere north of 20N and west of 50W. Farther east, a dissipating stationary front reaches from 31N32W to 25N45W. Gentle to moderate winds persist east of 50W, north of 20N, with 4 to 6 ft seas. Moderate to fresh trade winds and 6 to 8 ft dominate the tropical Atlantic south of 20N. Of note, an area of Saharan dust is evident this morning north of 05N and east of 30W. For the forecast west of 55W, the cold front will move slowly eastward and dissipate through mid week. The fresh to strong winds north of 29N associated with the front will pull north of our waters by this evening. In the front's wake, large to very large NW to N swell will occur with 12 ft or greater seas sliding eastward north of 29N through Wed night. 8 ft seas will progress equatorward reaching 20N by Thu before diminishing on Fri. Winds will become quiescent over forecast waters from Wed through the end of the forecast period, as a high pressure ridge settles in along 27N. $$ Christensen ########################### END OF MESSAGE SET ############################ --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Message File: T_AXNT20KNHC172316_C_KWBC_20260217231613_29294990-8137-TWDAT.txt ****0000004232**** AXNT20 KNHC 172316 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 0015 UTC Wed Feb 18 2026 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 2315 UTC. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough remains over west Africa. The ITCZ extends from 04.5N15W to 02S43.5W. Scattered moderate convection is active within 90 nm north of the ITCZ west of 30W. ...GULF OF AMERICA... A surface ridge extends from 1024 mb high pressure centered east of the Carolina coast, southwestward to the northern Gulf. This pattern is maintaining gentle E breezes across the basin, except for moderate SE winds off the coast of Texas and northern Tamaulipas. Seas are 2 to 4 ft across the basin. No significant showers or thunderstorms are noted at this time. For the forecast, a high pressure ridge east of Florida and a deepening low pressure system over the U.S. Midwest will tighten the pressure gradient over the W and central Gulf later this week. This will lead to moderate to fresh S return flow over those waters Wed night through Fri night. Looking ahead, that low pressure will pull a cold front over the NW Gulf on Sat afternoon, followed by fresh to near gale N to NE winds expected behind it Sat night into Sun night. ...CARIBBEAN SEA... Fresh to strong winds and rough seas are active of off Colombia. The convergence of these winds is supporting a few showers off eastern Panama. Gentle to moderate breezes and moderate seas are noted elsewhere. For the forecast, ridging north of the area will force fresh to strong NE winds over the S central Caribbean for the next several days. Fresh NE winds will develop over the Windward Passage tonight through Wed evening. Fresh to strong E to SE winds will begin to pulse over the Gulf of Honduras Wed evening and continue through Sat night, while trades elsewhere will generally remain moderate to fresh. Additionally, large N swell should impact the tropical N Atlantic waters and the Anegada/Mona Passages beginning on Thu and likely diminishing on Sat. ...ATLANTIC OCEAN... A cold front extends from 31N59W to 25N71W, then is stationary across the western Bahamas. Clusters of showers and thunderstorms are active within 240 nm east of the front, north of 24N. Additional showers and thunderstorms are active from 22N to 24N between 62W and 66W. Fresh to strong SW winds are noted ahead of the front north of 28.5N between 50W and 59W. Moderate to locally fresh NW to N winds follow the front elsewhere. Behind the front, seas are 8 to 13 ft primarily in N to NE swell north of 28N, and 4 to 8 ft elsewhere north of 20N and east of 50W. Farther east, a dissipating stationary front reaches from 31N33W to 27N42W. Gentle to moderate winds persist east of 45W, and north of 20N, with 5 to 6 ft seas. Moderate to fresh trade winds and 6 to 9 ft dominate the tropical Atlantic south of 20N. Of note, an area of Saharan dust is evident this afternoon north of 05N and east of 30W. For the forecast west of 55W, the cold front will move from 28N55W to the central Bahamas Wed morning, then dissipate by Thu. Fresh to strong SW winds ahead of the cold front north of 29N will pull north of our waters by this evening. In the wake of the front, large to very large N swell will occur with 12 ft or greater seas sliding eastward north of 28N through Wed night. 8 ft seas will progress equatorward reaching 20N by Thu before diminishing on Fri. Winds will become quiescent over forecast waters from Wed through Sat, as a high pressure ridge settles in along 27N. Looking ahead, a strong cold front should emerge from the SE United States coast on Sun, followed by increasing NW winds and building seas. $$ KRV ########################### END OF MESSAGE SET ############################