--------------------------------------------------------------------------- TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION (NORTH ATLANTIC AREA) MESSAGES T1T2: AX A1A2: NT Date: 2024-07-26 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Message File: T_AXNT20KNHC260435_C_KWBC_20240726043608_8192018-3373-TWDAT.txt ****0000005365**** AXNT20 KNHC 260435 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 0605 UTC Fri Jul 26 2024 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0425 UTC. ...TROPICAL WAVES... An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 31W, south of 21N, moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is observed from 03N to 13N and between 25W and 37W. A central Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 72W, south of 21N, moving westward at 25 kt. No significant convection is noted over water. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Mauritania near 17N17W and continues southwestward to 11N31W and to 08N49W. The ITCZ extends from 08N49W to 06N55W. Scattered moderate convection is present from 06N to 11N and between 37W and 54W. GULF OF MEXICO... A weak surface trough in the central Gulf waters continues to produce isolated showers in the vicinity. Scattered showers are also noted in the western Gulf, off Tamaulipas. A 1021 mb high pressure system over the Mississippi Valley supports moderate or weaker winds across the basin. Seas of 2-4 ft are occurring south of 26N and 1-2 ft north of 26N. For the forecast, high pressure will persist across the basin through the forecast period allowing for gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas. Winds will freshen up at night off NW Yucatan over the next several days. Scattered showers and thunderstorms over the northwestern Gulf associated with troughing and low pressure, both at the surface and aloft, are expected through continue through at least Sat. CARIBBEAN SEA... Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is seen on latest satellite imagery in the SW Caribbean and off NE Honduras. Generally dry conditions are noted elsewhere. A 1025 mb high pressure system centered east of Bermuda extends southward into the basin. The pressure gradient between this ridge and lower pressures in the deep tropics support fresh to locally near gale- force easterly trade winds in the central, SW and eastern Caribbean. A recent scatterometer satellite pass captured the strongest winds occurring off northern Colombia. Seas in these waters are 6-9 ft. Moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate are prevalent in the remainder of the Caribbean. For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge will build over the eastern Caribbean through Sun, following a tropical wave that will move through the western Caribbean. This pattern will support fresh to strong trade winds and rough seas across the central Caribbean into the middle of next week. Expect fresh E to SE winds and building seas over the northwest Caribbean early in the week following the tropical wave, with locally strong winds and rough seas across the Gulf of Honduras Sun night. Looking ahead, a surface low in the SW Caribbean will meander through the weekend, drifting to near the coast of Nicaragua late Sat into Sun. The low will pull moisture from the monsoon trough, and will enhance convergence over portions of western Panama and Costa Rica Fri onward. Additional atmospheric ingredients will lead to the potential for periods of moderate to heavy rain Fri into Sun from western Panama to eastern Nicaragua into northern Honduras. This rain could be significant, causing flooding and possible mudslides. Please refer to your local and national meteorological agency for details. ATLANTIC OCEAN... An broad upper level low located off the central Bahamas is inducing a few showers between Bermuda and Hispaniola. The rest of the basin is under the influence of an expansive subtropical ridge positioned east of Bermuda. Moderate to locally fresh easterly trade winds are found south of 27N and between 60W and 75W, with the strongest winds occurring off northern Hispaniola. Seas in these waters are 4-7 ft. The ridge is also forcing moderate to fresh easterly winds south of 22N and west of 45W, supporting seas of 5-8 ft. In the far northeast Atlantic, moderate to locally strong northerly winds and seas of 4-6 ft are noted north of 26N and east of 20W. A recent scatterometer satellite pass indicate that the strongest winds are affecting the water passages of the Canary Islands. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas prevail. For the forecast W of 55W, the subtropical ridge over the central Atlantic will dominate the forecast waters into the weekend. The associated pressure gradient will generally maintain gentle to moderate winds north 22N through the period. Mostly fresh E winds will pulse over the waters between Hispaniola and the Turks and Caicos into the middle of next week. Looking ahead, winds and seas may increase northeast of the Leeward islands by late Tue associated with an approaching tropical wave.. $$ Delgado ########################### END OF MESSAGE SET ############################ --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Message File: T_AXNT20KNHC260902_C_KWBC_20240726090323_25165836-3677-TWDAT.txt ****0000004458**** AXNT20 KNHC 260902 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1205 UTC Fri Jul 26 2024 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0900 UTC. ...TROPICAL WAVES... An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 19N, south of 20N, moving west 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is evident from 11N to 14N between 17W and 20W. An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 32W, south of 21N, moving westward 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is observed from 09N to 12N and between 29W and 31W. A central Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 73W, south of 21N, moving westward at 15-20 kt. No significant convection is noted near the wave axis. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Mauritania near 18N16W and continues southwestward to 13N50W. The ITCZ extends from 13N50W to 06N57W. Scattered moderate convection is present from 08N to 10N and between 40W and 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... A weak surface trough in the central Gulf waters continues to produce isolated showers in the vicinity. Scattered showers are also noted in the western Gulf, off Tamaulipas. A 1021 mb high pressure system over the Mississippi Valley supports moderate or weaker winds across the basin. Seas of 2-4 ft are occurring south of 26N and 1-2 ft north of 26N. For the forecast, high pressure will persist across the basin through late Tue allowing for gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas. Winds will freshen up at night off NW Yucatan over the next several days. CARIBBEAN SEA... A recent scatterometer satellite pass along with buoy data confirmed fresh to strong trade winds across all but the northwest Caribbean, supporting 8 to 10 ft seas. The convergence of the trade winds along with divergent flow aloft and rich deep layer moisture is supporting a line of thunderstorms over the southwest Caribbean from central Panama to southeast Nicaragua. Gentle to moderate E winds and 4 to 6 ft seas are noted over the northwest Caribbean. For the forecast, conditions will remain in place for the potential for heavy rainfall over the southwest Caribbean, including western Panama and Costa Rica today through Sat, and over eastern Nicaragua and northeast Honduras Sat into Sun. This rain could be significant, causing flooding and possible mudslides. Please refer to your local and national meteorological agency for details. Elsewhere, the Atlantic ridge will build over the eastern Caribbean through Sun, following a tropical wave that will move through the western Caribbean. This pattern will support fresh to strong trade winds and rough seas across the central Caribbean into the middle of next week. Expect fresh E to SE winds and building seas over the northwest Caribbean early in the week following the tropical wave, with locally strong winds and rough seas across the Gulf of Honduras Sun night. ATLANTIC OCEAN... An broad upper level low located off the central Bahamas is supporting clusters of thunderstorms from 22N to 28N between 65W and 78W. A broad ridge centered on 1024 mb high pressure centered east of Bermuda near 32N60W. This is supporting E to SE winds south of 22N and west of 55W, with 6 to 8 ft seas. Gentle to moderate breezes and 4 to 6 ft seas are noted elsewhere, except for fresh to strong NE winds through the Canary Islands. For the forecast west of 55W, the Atlantic high pressure will dominate the forecast waters through Sat, then will shift eastward ahead of a weak cold front moving off the Carolina coast. The front will stall of northeast Florida Sun, then dissipate Mon. The pattern will support fresh to strong E winds off Hispaniola through Sun, and gentle to moderate breezes elsewhere into Tue. Looking ahead, winds and seas may increase northeast of the Leeward Islands by late Tue associated with an approaching tropical wave. $$ Christensen ########################### END OF MESSAGE SET ############################ --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Message File: T_AXNT20KNHC260921_C_KWBC_20240726092209_8192018-3387-TWDAT.txt ****0000004458**** AXNT20 KNHC 260921 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1205 UTC Fri Jul 26 2024 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0900 UTC. ...TROPICAL WAVES... An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 19N, south of 20N, moving west 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is evident from 11N to 14N between 17W and 20W. An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 32W, south of 21N, moving westward 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is observed from 09N to 12N and between 29W and 31W. A central Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 73W, south of 21N, moving westward at 15-20 kt. No significant convection is noted near the wave axis. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Mauritania near 18N16W and continues southwestward to 13N50W. The ITCZ extends from 13N50W to 06N57W. Scattered moderate convection is present from 08N to 10N and between 40W and 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... A weak surface trough in the central Gulf waters continues to produce isolated showers in the vicinity. Scattered showers are also noted in the western Gulf, off Tamaulipas. A 1021 mb high pressure system over the Mississippi Valley supports moderate or weaker winds across the basin. Seas of 2-4 ft are occurring south of 26N and 1-2 ft north of 26N. For the forecast, high pressure will persist across the basin through late Tue allowing for gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas. Winds will freshen up at night off NW Yucatan over the next several days. CARIBBEAN SEA... A recent scatterometer satellite pass along with buoy data confirmed fresh to strong trade winds across all but the northwest Caribbean, supporting 8 to 10 ft seas. The convergence of the trade winds along with divergent flow aloft and rich deep layer moisture is supporting a line of thunderstorms over the southwest Caribbean from central Panama to southeast Nicaragua. Gentle to moderate E winds and 4 to 6 ft seas are noted over the northwest Caribbean. For the forecast, conditions will remain in place for the potential for heavy rainfall over the southwest Caribbean, including western Panama and Costa Rica today through Sat, and over eastern Nicaragua and northeast Honduras Sat into Sun. This rain could be significant, causing flooding and possible mudslides. Please refer to your local and national meteorological agency for details. Elsewhere, the Atlantic ridge will build over the eastern Caribbean through Sun, following a tropical wave that will move through the western Caribbean. This pattern will support fresh to strong trade winds and rough seas across the central Caribbean into the middle of next week. Expect fresh E to SE winds and building seas over the northwest Caribbean early in the week following the tropical wave, with locally strong winds and rough seas across the Gulf of Honduras Sun night. ATLANTIC OCEAN... An broad upper level low located off the central Bahamas is supporting clusters of thunderstorms from 22N to 28N between 65W and 78W. A broad ridge centered on 1024 mb high pressure centered east of Bermuda near 32N60W. This is supporting E to SE winds south of 22N and west of 55W, with 6 to 8 ft seas. Gentle to moderate breezes and 4 to 6 ft seas are noted elsewhere, except for fresh to strong NE winds through the Canary Islands. For the forecast west of 55W, the Atlantic high pressure will dominate the forecast waters through Sat, then will shift eastward ahead of a weak cold front moving off the Carolina coast. The front will stall of northeast Florida Sun, then dissipate Mon. The pattern will support fresh to strong E winds off Hispaniola through Sun, and gentle to moderate breezes elsewhere into Tue. Looking ahead, winds and seas may increase northeast of the Leeward Islands by late Tue associated with an approaching tropical wave. $$ Christensen ########################### END OF MESSAGE SET ############################ --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Message File: T_AXNT20KNHC261710_C_KWBC_20240726171026_25165836-3699-TWDAT.txt ****0000004367**** AXNT20 KNHC 261710 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1805 UTC Fri Jul 26 2024 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1700 UTC. ...TROPICAL WAVES... An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 21W, south of 22N, moving west 10-15 kt. Convection described in the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section. An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 34W, south of 21N, moving westward 10-15 kt. Convection described in the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section. A central Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 78W, south of 21N, moving westward at 20-25 kt. Scattered moderate convection, likely enhanced by the Colombian/Panamanian Low and the East Pacific Monsoon Trough, is noted in the SW Caribbean from the coast of Panama north to 12N west of 77W. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near Dakar, Senegal and continues southwestward to 09N47W. The ITCZ extends from 09N47W to the coast of Guyana near 06N58W. Scattered moderate convection is present from 07N to 13N and between 22W and 41W. GULF OF MEXICO... A surface trough located inland over Texas and Louisiana continues to support scattered moderate convection across the NW Gulf, north of 27N and west of 88W. Elsewhere, weak surface troughs are in the NE Gulf and Bay of Campeche. Surface ridging prevails, providing light to gentle E Winds and seas of 2-4 ft. For the forecast, the high pressure ridge will remain in place across the basin through Tue night allowing for gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas. Winds will freshen up at night off NW Yucatan over the next several days. CARIBBEAN SEA... Please see the TROPICAL WAVES section above. Recent scatterometer data depicts ongoing fresh to strong trades in the central Caribbean. Seas have built to 6-8 ft in this area of wind. Elsewhere, trades are gentle to moderate with 3-6 ft seas. Weather conditions continue to support the potential for heavy rainfall over the southwest Caribbean, including western Panama and Costa Rica today through Sat, and over eastern Nicaragua and northeast Honduras Sat into Sun. This rain could be significant, causing flooding and possible mudslides. Please refer to your local and national meteorological agency for details. For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge will build over the eastern Caribbean through Sun, following a tropical wave that will move through the western Caribbean. This pattern will support fresh to strong trade winds and rough seas across the central Caribbean into the middle of next week. Expect fresh E to SE winds and building seas over the northwest Caribbean early in the week following the tropical wave, with locally strong winds and rough seas across the Gulf of Honduras Sun night. ATLANTIC OCEAN... A surface trough located beneath a broad upper level low near the central Bahamas is supporting clusters of showers and thunderstorms from 24N to 29N between 68W and 78W. The remainder of the tropical Atlantic is dominated by a classic summer Bermuda-Azores high centered along 31N. This morning's satellite scatterometer data shows light to gentle trades. Seas are 4-6 ft across the open Atlantic, and less than 4 ft west of the Bahamas and in the Straits of Florida. For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge over the central Atlantic will dominate the forecast waters through Sat, then will shift eastward ahead of a weak cold front moving off the Carolina coast. The front will stall of northeast Florida Sun, then dissipate Mon. The pattern will support fresh to strong E winds off Hispaniola through Sun, and gentle to moderate breezes elsewhere into Tue. Looking ahead, winds and seas may increase northeast of the Leeward Islands by late Tue associated with an approaching tropical wave. $$ Mahoney ########################### END OF MESSAGE SET ############################ --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Message File: T_AXNT20KNHC262034_C_KWBC_20240726203512_8192018-3410-TWDAT.txt ****0000005637**** AXNT20 KNHC 262034 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 0005 UTC Sat Jul 27 2024 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 2010 UTC. ...TROPICAL WAVES... An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 22.5W, south of 22.5N to across the eastern Cabo Verde Islands, moving west at 15-20 kt. Convection is described in the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section. An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 34.5W, south of 22N, moving slowly west at 5-10 kt. Convection is described in the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section. A central Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 78.5W, south of 20N, moving quickly westward at 20-25 kt. Scattered moderate convection, likely enhanced by the Colombian/Panamanian Low and the East Pacific Monsoon Trough, is noted in the SW Caribbean from the coast of Panama north to 12N west of 75W, and from 14N to 17N between 70W and 75W. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near Dakar, Senegal and continues southwestward to 09N47W. The ITCZ extends from 09N47W to the coast of Guyana near 06N58W. Scattered moderate convection is present from 06N to 13N and between 23W and 50W. GULF OF MEXICO... A surface trough located offshore Texas and Louisiana continues to support scattered moderate convection across the NW Gulf, north of 27N and west of 86W. Elsewhere, weak surface troughs are in the NE Gulf and Bay of Campeche. Surface ridging prevails, providing light to gentle E Winds and seas of 1-3 ft. For the forecast, a ridge will remain in place across the Gulf waters through Wed allowing for gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas. Winds will freshen up at night off NW Yucatan over the next several days. A weak high pressure cell will develop over the eastern Gulf by Sun. CARIBBEAN SEA... Please see the TROPICAL WAVES section above. Earlier scatterometer data depicted ongoing fresh to strong trades in the central Caribbean with resultant seas of 6-8 ft in this area of wind. Elsewhere, trades are gentle to moderate with 3-6 ft seas. Weather conditions continue to support the potential for heavy rainfall over the southwest Caribbean, including western Panama and Costa Rica through Sat, and over eastern Nicaragua and northeast Honduras Sat into Sun. This rain could be significant, causing flooding and possible mudslides. Please refer to your local and national meteorological agency for details. For the forecast, a tropical wave will move across the western Caribbean on Sat, reaching the Yucatan Peninsula on Sun. The Atlantic ridge will build over the east and central Caribbean in the wake of the wave. This pattern will support fresh to strong trade winds and rough seas across the central Caribbean into the middle of next week. Expect moderate to fresh E to SE winds and building seas over the northwest Caribbean behind the wave axis through Sun with locally strong winds and rough seas across the Gulf of Honduras Sun night. Looking ahead, an area of disturbed weather over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean is expected to interact with an approaching tropical wave during the next several days. Some development of this system will be possible while it approaches the Lesser Antilles during the early to middle part of next week and moves generally west-northwestward near the Greater Antilles toward the latter part of the week. ATLANTIC OCEAN... A surface trough located beneath a broad upper level low near the central Bahamas is supporting clusters of showers and thunderstorms from 22N to 29N between 67W and 79W. The remainder of the tropical Atlantic is dominated by a classic summer Bermuda-Azores high centered along 31N. Gentle to moderate trades prevail across the basin, except moderate to fresh south of the monsoon trough between 25W and 35W. Seas are 4-6 ft across the open Atlantic, except to 7 ft in the moderate to fresh monsoonal winds, and also to 7 ft east of the northern Leeward Islands. Seas are less than 4 ft west of the Bahamas and in the Straits of Florida. For the forecast west of 55W, the Bermuda-Azores high will dominate the Atlantic forecast waters through the next several days. It will shift eastward ahead of a weak cold front moving off the Carolina coast on Sat. The front will stall over the N waters W of 70W on Mon while dissipating. The pattern will support fresh to strong E winds off Hispaniola through Sun, and gentle to moderate breezes elsewhere into Tue. Looking ahead, winds and seas may increase northeast of the Leeward Islands by late Tue associated with an approaching tropical wave. Looking ahead, an area of disturbed weather over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean is expected to interact with an approaching tropical wave during the next several days. Some development of this system will be possible while it approaches the Lesser Antilles during the early to middle part of next week and moves generally west-northwestward near the Greater Antilles toward the latter part of the week. $$ Lewitsky ########################### END OF MESSAGE SET ############################ --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Message File: T_AXNT20KNHC262111_C_KWBC_20240726211127_25165836-3714-TWDAT.txt ****0000005637**** AXNT20 KNHC 262111 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 0005 UTC Sat Jul 27 2024 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 2010 UTC. ...TROPICAL WAVES... An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 22.5W, south of 22.5N to across the eastern Cabo Verde Islands, moving west at 15-20 kt. Convection is described in the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section. An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 34.5W, south of 22N, moving slowly west at 5-10 kt. Convection is described in the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section. A central Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 78.5W, south of 20N, moving quickly westward at 20-25 kt. Scattered moderate convection, likely enhanced by the Colombian/Panamanian Low and the East Pacific Monsoon Trough, is noted in the SW Caribbean from the coast of Panama north to 12N west of 75W, and from 14N to 17N between 70W and 75W. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near Dakar, Senegal and continues southwestward to 09N47W. The ITCZ extends from 09N47W to the coast of Guyana near 06N58W. Scattered moderate convection is present from 06N to 13N and between 23W and 50W. GULF OF MEXICO... A surface trough located offshore Texas and Louisiana continues to support scattered moderate convection across the NW Gulf, north of 27N and west of 86W. Elsewhere, weak surface troughs are in the NE Gulf and Bay of Campeche. Surface ridging prevails, providing light to gentle E Winds and seas of 1-3 ft. For the forecast, a ridge will remain in place across the Gulf waters through Wed allowing for gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas. Winds will freshen up at night off NW Yucatan over the next several days. A weak high pressure cell will develop over the eastern Gulf by Sun. CARIBBEAN SEA... Please see the TROPICAL WAVES section above. Earlier scatterometer data depicted ongoing fresh to strong trades in the central Caribbean with resultant seas of 6-8 ft in this area of wind. Elsewhere, trades are gentle to moderate with 3-6 ft seas. Weather conditions continue to support the potential for heavy rainfall over the southwest Caribbean, including western Panama and Costa Rica through Sat, and over eastern Nicaragua and northeast Honduras Sat into Sun. This rain could be significant, causing flooding and possible mudslides. Please refer to your local and national meteorological agency for details. For the forecast, a tropical wave will move across the western Caribbean on Sat, reaching the Yucatan Peninsula on Sun. The Atlantic ridge will build over the east and central Caribbean in the wake of the wave. This pattern will support fresh to strong trade winds and rough seas across the central Caribbean into the middle of next week. Expect moderate to fresh E to SE winds and building seas over the northwest Caribbean behind the wave axis through Sun with locally strong winds and rough seas across the Gulf of Honduras Sun night. Looking ahead, an area of disturbed weather over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean is expected to interact with an approaching tropical wave during the next several days. Some development of this system will be possible while it approaches the Lesser Antilles during the early to middle part of next week and moves generally west-northwestward near the Greater Antilles toward the latter part of the week. ATLANTIC OCEAN... A surface trough located beneath a broad upper level low near the central Bahamas is supporting clusters of showers and thunderstorms from 22N to 29N between 67W and 79W. The remainder of the tropical Atlantic is dominated by a classic summer Bermuda-Azores high centered along 31N. Gentle to moderate trades prevail across the basin, except moderate to fresh south of the monsoon trough between 25W and 35W. Seas are 4-6 ft across the open Atlantic, except to 7 ft in the moderate to fresh monsoonal winds, and also to 7 ft east of the northern Leeward Islands. Seas are less than 4 ft west of the Bahamas and in the Straits of Florida. For the forecast west of 55W, the Bermuda-Azores high will dominate the Atlantic forecast waters through the next several days. It will shift eastward ahead of a weak cold front moving off the Carolina coast on Sat. The front will stall over the N waters W of 70W on Mon while dissipating. The pattern will support fresh to strong E winds off Hispaniola through Sun, and gentle to moderate breezes elsewhere into Tue. Looking ahead, winds and seas may increase northeast of the Leeward Islands by late Tue associated with an approaching tropical wave. Looking ahead, an area of disturbed weather over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean is expected to interact with an approaching tropical wave during the next several days. Some development of this system will be possible while it approaches the Lesser Antilles during the early to middle part of next week and moves generally west-northwestward near the Greater Antilles toward the latter part of the week. $$ Lewitsky ########################### END OF MESSAGE SET ############################