--------------------------------------------------------------------------- TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION (EASTERN PACIFIC AREA) MESSAGES T1T2: AX A1A2: PZ Date: 2026-07-04 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Message File: T_AXPZ20KNHC040312_C_KWBC_20260704031309_9109880-7455-TWDEP.txt ****0000005584**** AXPZ20 KNHC 040312 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 0405 UTC Sat Jul 4 2026 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0300 UTC. ...TROPICAL WAVES... A tropical wave is along 94W, south of 16N, moving west at 15 to 20 kt. Associated convection is described below in the Intertropical Convergence Zone/Monsoon Trough section. A tropical wave is analyzed along 104W, south of 16N, moving west at 10 kt. Associated convection is also described below in the Intertropical Convergence Zone/Monsoon Trough section. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough extends from 11N85W to 09N95W to 08N105W. The ITCZ extends from 08N105W to 10N120W to 06N130W to beyond 09N140W. Scattered to locally numerous to strong convection is noted from 01.5N to 10.5N east of 92W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted from 10N to 14.5N between 92W and 101W and from 03N to 12.5N between 105W and 128W. ...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... A broad ridge extends from the NE Pacific across the Baja California waters to near the Revillagigedo Islands, and is maintaining gentle to moderate NW to N winds, with 5-7 ft seas in merging NW and SW swell, per earlier satellite altimeter data. Gentle breezes and slight seas are noted elsewhere to Puerto Angel. Fresh NW to N gap winds with locally rough seas to 8 ft continue in a narrow plume across the Gulf of Tehuantepec and downstream to near 14.5N this afternoon. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are offshore the coasts from Chiapas and Guerrero, S of 14.5N, and continue to shift westward. For the forecast, the ridge extending into the Baja California will maintain gentle to moderate breezes through Sat, becoming moderate to occasionally fresh near the coast of Baja California starting Sat evening through Tue, as the high pressure builds modestly into the area. Moderate to fresh gap winds across the Tehuantepec region will pulse again to strong tonight through Sat morning, then diminish through early next week. Looking ahead, large SW swell is expected to reach the waters off southern Mexico early next week. ....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Reports from Liberia, Costa Rica show E to SE winds to 20 kt, hinting there are fresh to strong gap winds across the nearby Gulf of Papagayo and off the coast of Nicaragua. Associated seas are likely 6-7 ft so far this evening, with a component of SW swell. Clusters of showers and thunderstorms remain active along the monsoon trough as far west as 95W. Gentle to moderate breezes are noted elsewhere with 5-7 ft seas. For the forecast, scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to continue to shift westward across the area waters through early Sun before activity begin to shift northward into the Caribbean. Fresh to strong NE to E gap winds will pulse at night across the Papagayo region into early next week, leading to occasional rough seas. Cross- equatorial southerly swell will dominate area seas through the weekend and keep seas moderate to the N of 04N through Sun morning, before increasing to near 8 ft off Ecuador and the Galapagos Sun evening through Tue. The combination of the southerly swell with shorter period seas associated with gap winds will allow combined seas to 8 ft off northern Central America by Tue. ...REMAINDER OF THE AREA... A 1005 mb low pressure area, the remnant low of Douglas, is centered near 21N129W. A recent scatterometer satellite pass indicated fresh to strong winds are still active within 240 nm of the center of Douglas, mainly on the northern side between the low the subtropical ridge to the north of the area. Concurrent altimeter satellite data showed wave heights to 13 ft just to the east of the center, indicated maximum seas to 14 ft in the area of strongest winds to the north of the center. The presence of this low pressure is disrupting the subtropical ridge north of 20N. This pattern is supporting mostly gentle to moderate breezes elsewhere west of 120W, with 5-7 ft seas in a mix of swell. East of 120W, a long plume of fresh E winds and 7-8 ft seas emerging from the Papagayo gap area is reaching as far west as 105W, from 08N to 11N. Gentle breezes are noted elsewhere east of 120W. Wave heights are 6-8 ft with SW swell. For the forecast, winds and seas near the remnants of Douglas will gradually diminish through Sun night as the remnant low weakens and opens into a trough. The ridge will drift southwestward and generally persist across the region through early next week, supporting moderate to fresh trade winds farther south into the tropics. Looking ahead, weak low pressure may form south of the Revillagigedo Islands by the early to middle part of the coming week. Environmental conditions could support some gradual development of this system while it moves generally westward at 10-15 kt, although chances of development at this time are low. $$ Christensen ########################### END OF MESSAGE SET ############################ --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Message File: T_AXPZ20KNHC040836_C_KWBC_20260704083711_9109880-7470-TWDEP.txt ****0000005727**** AXPZ20 KNHC 040836 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1005 UTC Sat Jul 4 2026 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0830 UTC. ...TROPICAL WAVES... A tropical wave is along 96W, south of 16N, moving west at 15 to 20 kt. Associated convection is described below in the Intertropical Convergence Zone/Monsoon Trough section. A tropical wave is analyzed along 105W, south of 16N, moving west at 10 kt. Associated convection is also described below in the Intertropical Convergence Zone/Monsoon Trough section. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough extends from 08N83W to 08N95W to 06N105W. The ITCZ extends from 06N105W to 08N120W to 05N130W to beyond 07N140W. Numerous moderate to isolated strong convection is from 04N to 11N between 77W and 90W. Scattered moderate convection is from 12N to 14N between 98W and 101W, and from 07N to 11N between 110W and 120W. ...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... A broad ridge extends from the NE Pacific across the Baja California waters to near the Revillagigedo Islands, and is maintaining gentle to moderate NW to N winds, with 5-7 ft seas in merging NW and SW swell, per recent satellite altimeter data. Gentle breezes and slight seas are noted elsewhere to Puerto Angel. A recent scatterometer satellite pass indicated fresh to strong NW to N gap winds across the Gulf of Tehuantepec, where seas are up to 6 ft in this area. Low level convergent flow is supporting clusters of showers and thunderstorms off western Oaxaca and eastern Guerrero beyond 90 nm offshore. For the forecast, the ridge extending into the Baja California waters will continue to maintain gentle to moderate breezes through Sat, becoming moderate to occasionally fresh near the coast of Baja California starting Sat evening through Tue, as the high pressure strengthens modestly across the area. Fresh to strong gap winds will pulse across the Gulf of Tehuantepec this morning, and to a lesser extent tonight, then diminish. Looking ahead, SW swell to 7 ft is expected to reach the waters off southern Mexico early next week. Expect fresh southerly winds across the northern Gulf of California Tue and Wed. ....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... A recent scatterometer satellite pass confirmed fresh to strong NE to E gap winds across the Gulf of Papagayo, and concurrent altimeter satellite passes showed 5-7 ft seas within this plume. Mostly gentle to moderate breezes are noted elsewhere with 4-6 ft seas. Clusters of showers and thunderstorms extend across the Gulf of Panama, along much of the Pacific coast of Colombia, and off the Nicoya peninsula of Costa Rica. This activity is firing along the monsoon trough, and is aided by divergent flow aloft. For the forecast, the scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to continue to shift westward across the area waters off Panama and Costa Rica through early Sun before activity begin to shift northward into the Caribbean. Fresh to strong NE to E gap winds will pulse tonight and again Mon night across the Papagayo region into early next week, leading to occasional rough seas. Large cross- equatorial southerly swell to 8 ft will move into the waters off Ecuador and the Galapagos Islands Sun through Tue. Farther north, the combination of the southerly swell with shorter period seas associated with gap winds will allow combined seas to 8 ft off northern Central America by Tue into Wed. ...REMAINDER OF THE AREA... A 1006 mb low pressure area, the remnant low of Douglas, is centered near 22N129W. An earlier scatterometer satellite pass indicated fresh to strong winds were still active within 240 nm of the center of Douglas, mainly on the northern side between the low the subtropical ridge to the north of the area. Concurrent altimeter satellite data showed wave heights to 13 ft just to the east of the center, indicated maximum seas to 14 ft in the area of strongest winds to the north of the center. The presence of this low pressure is disrupting the subtropical ridge north of 20N. This pattern is supporting mostly gentle to moderate breezes elsewhere west of 120W, with 5-7 ft seas in a mix of swell. East of 120W, a long plume of fresh E winds and 7-8 ft seas emerging from the Papagayo gap area is reaching as far west as 105W, from 08N to 11N. Gentle breezes are noted elsewhere east of 120W. Wave heights are 6-8 ft with SW swell. For the forecast, winds and seas near the remnants of Douglas will gradually diminish through Sun night as the remnant low weakens and opens into a trough. The ridge will drift southwestward and generally persist across the region through early next week, supporting moderate to fresh trade winds farther south into the tropics. Looking ahead, weak low pressure may form south of the Revillagigedo Islands by the early to middle part of the coming week. Environmental conditions could support some gradual development of this system while it moves generally westward at 10-15 kt, although chances of development at this time are low. $$ Christensen ########################### END OF MESSAGE SET ############################ --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Message File: T_AXPZ20KNHC041520_C_KWBC_20260704152113_9109880-7495-TWDEP.txt ****0000006099**** AXPZ20 KNHC 041520 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1605 UTC Sat Jul 4 2026 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1500 UTC. ...TROPICAL WAVES... A tropical wave previously analyzed along 96W is now being detected in the vicinity of 102W. This wave is gradually merging with the tropical wave just ahead of it, and is being analyzed on the 1200 UTC surface map as one large, merged, tropical wave along 106W. See the description below. A tropical wave is analyzed along 106W, south of 16N, moving west around 10 kt. The associated moisture field with this merged wave extends between 97W and 114W. Overnight satellite scatterometer data showed fresh easterly winds from 04N to 12N accompanying this wave. Associated convection is described below in the Intertropical Convergence Zone/Monsoon Trough section. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough extends from 10N74W to 08N79W to 09N86W to 06N106W. The ITCZ extends from 06N106W to 08N119W to 05.5N130W to beyond 09N140W. Numerous moderate isolated strong convection is from 03N to 11N E of 91W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted from 04.5N to 12N between 98W and 117W, and from 02.5N to 10N between 117W and 134W. ...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... A broad ridge extends from the NE Pacific across the Baja California waters to the Revillagigedo Islands, and is maintaining gentle to moderate NW to N winds, with 5-6 ft seas in merging NW and SW swell, per recent satellite altimeter data. Gentle breezes and slight seas are noted elsewhere to Puerto Angel. Overnight satellite scatterometer data showed fresh N gap winds across the Gulf of Tehuantepec extending southward to 14.5N, where seas are 5 to 7 ft. Low level convergent flow is supporting clusters of showers and thunderstorms across the near and offshore waters of Guerrero and extending well offshore to 13.5N. Gusty winds and locally rough seas accompany this activity. For the forecast, the ridge extending into the Baja California waters will continue to maintain gentle to moderate breezes through today, becoming moderate to occasionally fresh near the coast of Baja California starting this evening through Tue, as the high pressure strengthens modestly across the area. Fresh to strong gap winds will pulse across the Gulf of Tehuantepec this morning, and to a lesser extent tonight, then diminish. Looking ahead, SW swell to 7 ft is expected to reach the waters off southern Mexico early next week. Expect fresh southerly winds across the northern Gulf of California Tue and Wed. ....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Large clusters of strong thunderstorms are shifting slowly westward across the waters of Colombia, Panama and eastern Costa Rica this morning, and extend northward into the SW Caribbean. Overnight satellite scatterometer data showed fresh to locally strong E gap winds across the Papagayo region extending offshore to 89W, where seas are 5-7 ft. Mostly gentle to moderate SW to W winds are noted elsewhere S of 10N, with 4-6 ft seas in cross- equatorial SW swell. For the forecast, the scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to continue to shift westward across the area waters off Panama and Costa Rica through early Sun before activity begin to shift northward into the Caribbean. Fresh to strong NE to E gap winds will pulse tonight and again Mon night across the Papagayo region into early next week, leading to occasional rough seas. Large cross-equatorial southerly swell to 8 ft will move into the waters off Ecuador and the Galapagos Islands Sun through Tue. Farther north, the combination of the southerly swell with shorter period seas associated with gap winds will allow combined seas to 8 ft off northern Central America by Tue into Wed. ...REMAINDER OF THE AREA... A 1006 mb low pressure area, the remnant low of Douglas, is centered near 22N129W. Overnight satellite scatterometer data indicated fresh to strong winds were still occurring within 240 nm of the center of this low, mainly on the northern side between the low the subtropical ridge to the north of the area. Concurrent altimeter satellite data showed wave heights to 13 ft just to the east of the center, indicated maximum seas to 14 ft in the area of strongest winds to the north of the center. The presence of this low pressure is disrupting the subtropical ridge north of 20N. This pattern is supporting mostly gentle to moderate NE winds elsewhere west of 120W, with 5-8 ft seas in a mix of swell. East of 120W, a long plume of fresh E winds and 7-8 ft seas emerging from the Papagayo gap area is reaching as far west as 115W, from 06N to 12N. Gentle breezes are noted elsewhere east of 120W. Wave heights are 6-8 ft with SW swell. For the forecast, winds and seas near the remnants of Douglas will gradually diminish through Sun night as the remnant low weakens and opens into a trough. The ridge will drift southwestward and generally persist across the region through early next week, supporting moderate to fresh trade winds farther south into the tropics. Looking ahead, weak low pressure may form south of the Revillagigedo Islands by the early to middle part of the coming week. Environmental conditions could support some gradual development of this system while it moves generally westward at 10-15 kt, although chances of development at this time are low. $$ Stripling ########################### END OF MESSAGE SET ############################ --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Message File: T_AXPZ20KNHC042105_C_KWBC_20260704210615_9109880-7516-TWDEP.txt ****0000005746**** AXPZ20 KNHC 042105 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 2205 UTC Sat Jul 4 2026 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 2000 UTC. ...TROPICAL WAVES... A tropical wave is analyzed along 107W, south of 17N, moving west around 10 kt. Associated convection is described below in the Intertropical Convergence Zone/Monsoon Trough section. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough extends from 10N74W to 11N80W to 06N87W to 07N94W. The ITCZ extends from 07N94W to 08.5N105W, then resumes from 07.5N109W to 06.5N128W to 04.5N132W to beyond 08N140W. Scattered to numerous moderate to strong convection is N of 03N and into the SW Caribbean E of 85W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted from 06N to 11.5N between 88W and 102W, from 05.5N to 12.5N between 102W and 123W, and from 01.5N to 08.5N between 123W and 136W. ...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... A broad ridge extends from the NE Pacific across the Baja California waters to the Revillagigedo Islands, and is maintaining the recent pattern of gentle to moderate NW to N winds, with 5-6 ft seas in merging NW and SW swell. Gentle breezes and slight seas are noted elsewhere to Puerto Angel. Fresh N to NE gap winds across the Gulf of Tehuantepec extend southward to near 14N, where seas are 5 to 7 ft. Scattered showers and thunderstorms occurring well N of a passing tropical wave along 107W have diminished in coverage across the offshore waters of Guerrero and Colima. For the forecast, the ridge extending into the Baja California waters will strengthens modestly across the area this evening through Tue night, leading to moderate to occasionally fresh across the Baja California waters. Fresh gap winds across the Gulf of Tehuantepec will continue through tonight, then diminish through Mon. Looking ahead, cross-equatorial SW swell will reach the waters off southern Mexico on Mon, building seas to around 7 ft. Expect fresh southerly winds across the northern Gulf of California Tue and Wed becoming strong on Thu. ....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Large clusters of moderate to strong thunderstorms have developed again across the waters N of 04N and across Panama, Costa Rica, and southeastern Nicaragua, and extend northward into the SW Caribbean. Midday satellite scatterometer data showed fresh to strong NE gap winds continuing across the Papagayo region and into the central Nicaragua waters, extending offshore to 90W, where seas are 5-8 ft. Moderate NE gap winds extend offshore from the Gulf of Fonseca and NW Nicaragua. Mostly gentle to moderate S to SW winds are noted elsewhere S of 10N, where recent satellite altimeter data shows seas of 4-6 ft in cross- equatorial SW swell. For the forecast, the active thunderstorms across the eastern waters are expected to generally shift northward tonight into Sun and into the SW Caribbean. Fresh NE to E gap winds across the Papagayo region will pulse to strong tonight, and then again Mon night and Tue night, leading to rough seas. Large cross- equatorial southerly swell will move into the waters off Ecuador and the Galapagos Islands late Sun through Tue, building seas to 8 to 9 ft, and 6 to 7 ft across much of the remaining waters farther N. The combination of the southerly swell with shorter period seas associated with gap winds will allow combined seas to build to 8 ft offshore of northern Central America Tue through Wed. ...REMAINDER OF THE AREA... A broad ridge continues across the NE Pacific and north of the area waters this afternoon, extending southeastward through 30N126W and to the Revillagigedo Islands. The pressure gradient between this ridge and the remnant low of Douglas, now a 1010 mb low near 22.5N129.5W, is producing fresh to strong winds around the low, from 22.5N to 28N between 127W and 134W. Peak seas are still to 12 ft across the NW quadrant of this low. The ridge draping over this low pressure area continues to support mostly gentle to moderate NE to E winds elsewhere north of 20N and west of 120W, with 5-8 ft seas in a mix of swell. East of 120W, a long plume of fresh E winds and 7-8 ft seas emerging from the Papagayo gap area is reaching as far west as 125W, from 06N to 13N. Gentle breezes are noted elsewhere east of 120W. Wave heights are 6-8 ft there in SW swell. Active thunderstorms continue about the tropical wave along 107W, between 100W and 118W. For the forecast, winds and seas near the remnants of Douglas will gradually diminish through Sun night as the remnant low moves NW, weakens and opens into a trough. The ridge will drift southwestward and generally persist across the region through early next week, supporting moderate to fresh trade winds farther south into the tropics. Looking ahead, weak low pressure may form south or southwest of the Revillagigedo Islands by the early to middle part of the coming week. Environmental conditions could support some gradual development of this system while it moves generally westward at 10-15 kt, although chances of development at this time are low. $$ Stripling ########################### END OF MESSAGE SET ############################ --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Message File: T_AXPZ20KNHC042112CCA_C_KWBC_20260704211316_9109880-7517-TWDEP.txt ****0000005772**** AXPZ20 KNHC 042112 CCA TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 2205 UTC Sat Jul 4 2026 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 2000 UTC. ...TROPICAL WAVES... A tropical wave is analyzed along 107W, south of 17N, moving west around 10 kt. Associated convection is described below in the Intertropical Convergence Zone/Monsoon Trough section. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough extends from 10N74W to 11N80W to 06N87W to 07N94W. The ITCZ extends from 07N94W to 08.5N105W, then resumes from 07.5N109W to 06.5N128W to 04.5N132W to beyond 08N140W. Scattered to numerous moderate to strong convection is N of 03N and into the SW Caribbean E of 85W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted from 06N to 11.5N between 88W and 102W, from 05.5N to 12.5N between 102W and 123W, and from 01.5N to 08.5N between 123W and 136W. ...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... A broad ridge extends from the NE Pacific across the Baja California waters to the Revillagigedo Islands, and is maintaining the recent pattern of gentle to moderate NW to N winds, with 5-6 ft seas in merging NW and SW swell. Gentle breezes and slight seas are noted elsewhere to Puerto Angel. Fresh N to NE gap winds across the Gulf of Tehuantepec extend southward to near 14N, where seas are 5 to 7 ft. Scattered showers and thunderstorms occurring well N of a passing tropical wave along 107W have diminished in coverage across the offshore waters of Guerrero and Colima. For the forecast, the ridge extending into the Baja California waters will strengthens modestly across the area this evening through Tue night, leading to moderate to occasionally fresh winds across the Baja California waters. Fresh to strong gap winds across the Gulf of Tehuantepec will continue through tonight, then diminish through Mon. Looking ahead, cross-equatorial SW swell will reach the waters off southern Mexico on Mon, building seas to around 7 ft. Expect fresh southerly winds across the northern Gulf of California Tue and Wed becoming strong on Thu. ....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Large clusters of moderate to strong thunderstorms have developed again across the waters N of 04N and across Panama, Costa Rica, and southeastern Nicaragua, and extend northward into the SW Caribbean. Midday satellite scatterometer data showed fresh to strong NE gap winds continuing across the Papagayo region and into the central Nicaragua waters, extending offshore to 90W, where seas are 5-8 ft. Moderate NE gap winds extend offshore from the Gulf of Fonseca and NW Nicaragua. Mostly gentle to moderate S to SW winds are noted elsewhere S of 10N, where recent satellite altimeter data shows seas of 4-6 ft in cross- equatorial SW swell. For the forecast, the active thunderstorms across the eastern waters are expected to generally shift northward tonight into Sun and into the SW Caribbean. Fresh NE to E gap winds across the Papagayo region will pulse to strong tonight, and then again Mon night and Tue night, leading to rough seas. Large cross- equatorial southerly swell will move into the waters off Ecuador and the Galapagos Islands late Sun through Tue, building seas to 8 to 9 ft, and 6 to 7 ft across much of the remaining waters farther N. The combination of the southerly swell with shorter period seas associated with gap winds will allow combined seas to build to 8 ft offshore of northern Central America Tue through Wed. ...REMAINDER OF THE AREA... A broad ridge continues across the NE Pacific and north of the area waters this afternoon, extending southeastward through 30N126W and to the Revillagigedo Islands. The pressure gradient between this ridge and the remnant low of Douglas, now a 1010 mb low near 22.5N129.5W, is producing fresh to strong winds around the low, from 22.5N to 28N between 127W and 134W. Peak seas are still to 12 ft across the NW quadrant of this low. The ridge draping over this low pressure area continues to support mostly gentle to moderate NE to E winds elsewhere north of 20N and west of 120W, with 5-8 ft seas in a mix of swell. East of 120W, a long plume of fresh E winds and 7-8 ft seas emerging from the Papagayo gap area is reaching as far west as 125W, from 06N to 13N. Gentle breezes are noted elsewhere east of 120W. Wave heights are 6-8 ft there in SW swell. Active thunderstorms continue about the tropical wave along 107W, between 100W and 118W. For the forecast, winds and seas near the remnants of Douglas will gradually diminish through Sun night as the remnant low moves NW, weakens and opens into a trough. The ridge will drift southwestward and generally persist across the region through early next week, supporting moderate to fresh trade winds farther south into the tropics. Looking ahead, weak low pressure may form south or southwest of the Revillagigedo Islands by the early to middle part of the coming week. Environmental conditions could support some gradual development of this system while it moves generally westward at 10-15 kt, although chances of development at this time are low. $$ Stripling ########################### END OF MESSAGE SET ############################