--------------------------------------------------------------------------- TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION (EASTERN PACIFIC AREA) MESSAGES T1T2: AX A1A2: PZ Date: 2026-07-06 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Message File: T_AXPZ20KNHC060405_C_KWBC_20260706040628_9109880-7612-TWDEP.txt ****0000005679**** AXPZ20 KNHC 060405 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 0405 UTC Mon Jul 06 2026 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0345 UTC. ...TROPICAL WAVES... A tropical wave is analyzed along a position from 17.5N110W to 05N115W. It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is west of the wave to 119W from 08N to 13N, and within 120 nm east of the wave from 08N to 12N. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough extends from northwest Colombia southwestward through southern Costa Rica, then northwestward to 10N88W, where it transitions to the ITCZ to 06N100W to 08N113W, then resumes at 09N115W to 08N130W and to beyond 06N140W. Numerous moderate to strong convection is from the Equator to 08N west of 132W. Numerous moderate to isolated strong convection is seen from 02N to 08N between 115W-126W. SCattered moderate convection is within 60 nm south of the ITCZ between 87W-90W. ...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... A broad surface ridge extends from the northeast Pacific across the Baja California waters to near 19N115W. The pressure gradient between this ridge and relatively lower pressures over NW Mexico is generally supporting moderate to fresh northwest winds offshore Baja California. Seas are 5 to 7 ft over these waters. Moderate north winds are along the Gulf of Tehuantepec coast and offshore for about 60 nm. Seas are also 5 to 7 ft with these winds. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate northwest to north winds are present per latest scatterometer satellite data along with seas of 4 to 6 ft in long-period south to southwest swell. Inside the Gulf, light to variable winds are over the northern Gulf of California, and southeast to south moderate winds over the rest of the Gulf. Seas are 3 to 4 ft over the Gulf. For the forecast, the surface ridge will continue to strengthen modestly across the area through Tue night, leading to moderate to fresh winds across the Baja California waters. Moderate to fresh gap winds across the Gulf of Tehuantepec will continue to pulse at night through Tue night, then increase to strong speeds Wed through early Thu, then at fresh speeds through Fri night. Cross-equatorial southwest swell will reach the waters off southern Mexico on Mon. Expect fresh to strong southerly winds in the northern Gulf of California Thu through Fri. ....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Scattered moderate convection prevails N of 06N and across Panama, and Costa Rica, and extend northward into the SW Caribbean in the vicinity of the monsoon trough. Fresh to strong NE gap winds continuing across the Papagayo region and extends offshore to 92W, where seas are 5-7 ft. Mostly gentle to moderate S to SW winds are noted elsewhere S of 10N, along with seas seas of 4-6 ft in cross-equatorial SW swell. For the forecast, fresh northeast to east gap winds across the Papagayo region will pulse to strong each night through midweek leading to rough seas. Large cross-equatorial southerly swell will move into the waters off Ecuador and the Galapagos Islands late Sun through Tue, building seas to a peak 9 ft, and 6 to 7 ft across much of the remaining waters farther north. The combination of the southerly swell with shorter period seas associated with gap winds will allow combined seas to a peak of 8 ft offshore of northern Central America Tue through Wed. ...REMAINDER OF THE AREA... A broad ridge continues across the northeast Pacific and north of the area waters tonight, extending southeastward to the Revillagigedo Islands. The pressure gradient between this ridge and the remnants of Douglas that is now a trough analyzed from near 28N130W to 25N131W to near 20N130.5W. Latest scatterometer satellite data shows fresh northeast winds within 180 nm west of the trough from 25N to 28N, and within 120 nm east of the trough from 25N to 28N. Seas are to 8 ft in mixed NE and SE swell over these waters. The gradient associated to the ridge generally supports gentle to moderate trades from 09N to 16N west of about 118W, and from 09N to 13N between 110W and 118W. Seas are 5 to 7 ft over these waters in mixed swell. Farther east, moderate to fresh northeast to east winds downstream from the Papagayo region are from 08N to 12N between 91W and 105W. Seas are 5 to 6 ft with these winds as noted in the most recent altimeter satellite data over this part of the area. Light to gentle easterly winds are elsewhere east of 110W. Seas of 4 to 6 ft primarily in long- period southwest swell are over this part of the area. Convection is noted with the tropical wave that extends from near 17.5N110W to 05N115W. For the forecast, the remnant trough of Douglas will continue drifting westward for the next few days. The ridge will drift southwestward and persist across the region through early week, supporting moderate to fresh trades well into the tropics. The aforementioned tropical wave will continue moving westward with scattered moderate convection. $$ Aguirre ########################### END OF MESSAGE SET ############################ --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Message File: T_AXPZ20KNHC060859CCA_C_KWBC_20260706090030_9109880-7631-TWDEP.txt ****0000005781**** AXPZ20 KNHC 060859 CCA TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion...Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 0405 UTC Mon Jul 06 2026 Corrected ITCZ/Monsoon Trough section Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0345 UTC. ...TROPICAL WAVES... A tropical wave is analyzed along a position from 17.5N110W to 05N115W. It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is west of the wave to 119W from 08N to 13N, and within 120 nm east of the wave from 08N to 12N. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...Corrected The monsoon trough extends from northwest Colombia southwestward through southern Costa Rica, then northwestward to 10N88W, where it transitions to the ITCZ to 06N100W to 08N113W, then resumes at 09N115W to 08N130W and to beyond 06N140W. Numerous moderate to strong convection is from the Equator to 08N west of 132W. Numerous moderate to isolated strong convection is seen from 02N to 08N between 115W-126W. Scattered moderate convection is within 60 nm south of the ITCZ between 87W-90W. ...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... A broad surface ridge extends from the northeast Pacific across the Baja California waters to near 19N115W. The pressure gradient between this ridge and relatively lower pressures over NW Mexico is generally supporting moderate to fresh northwest winds offshore Baja California. Seas are 5 to 7 ft over these waters. Moderate north winds are along the Gulf of Tehuantepec coast and offshore for about 60 nm. Seas are also 5 to 7 ft with these winds. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate northwest to north winds are present per latest scatterometer satellite data along with seas of 4 to 6 ft in long-period south to southwest swell. Inside the Gulf, light to variable winds are over the northern Gulf of California, and southeast to south moderate winds over the rest of the Gulf. Seas are 3 to 4 ft over the Gulf. For the forecast, the surface ridge will continue to strengthen modestly across the area through Tue night, leading to moderate to fresh winds across the Baja California waters. Moderate to fresh gap winds across the Gulf of Tehuantepec will continue to pulse at night through Tue night, then increase to strong speeds Wed through early Thu, then at fresh speeds through Fri night. Cross-equatorial southwest swell will reach the waters off southern Mexico on Mon. Expect fresh to strong southerly winds in the northern Gulf of California Thu through Fri. ....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Scattered moderate convection prevails north f 06N and across Panama, and Costa Rica, and extend northward into the SW Caribbean in the vicinity of the monsoon trough. Fresh to strong northeast winds continuing across the Papagayo region and extends offshore to 92W, where seas are 5 to 7 ft. Mostly gentle to moderate S to SW winds are noted elsewhere south of 10N along with seas seas of 4 to 6 ft in cross-equatorial long-period southwest swell. For the forecast, fresh northeast to east gap winds across the Papagayo region will pulse to strong each night through midweek leading to rough seas. Large cross-equatorial southerly swell will move into the waters off Ecuador and the Galapagos Islands late Sun through Tue, building seas to a peak 9 ft, and 6 to 7 ft across much of the remaining waters farther north. The combination of the southerly swell with shorter period seas associated with gap winds will allow combined seas to a peak of 8 ft offshore of northern Central America Tue through Wed. ...REMAINDER OF THE AREA... A broad ridge continues across the northeast Pacific and north of the area waters tonight, extending southeastward to the Revillagigedo Islands. The pressure gradient between this ridge and the remnants of Douglas that is now a trough analyzed from near 28N130W to 25N131W to near 20N130.5W. Latest scatterometer satellite data shows fresh northeast winds within 180 nm west of the trough from 25N to 28N, and within 120 nm east of the trough from 25N to 28N. Seas are to 8 ft in mixed NE and SE swell over these waters. The gradient associated to the ridge generally supports gentle to moderate trades from 09N to 16N west of about 118W, and from 09N to 13N between 110W and 118W. Seas are 5 to 7 ft over these waters in mixed swell. Farther east, moderate to fresh northeast to east winds downstream from the Papagayo region are from 08N to 12N between 91W and 105W. Seas are 5 to 6 ft with these winds as noted in the most recent altimeter satellite data over this part of the area. Light to gentle easterly winds are elsewhere east of 110W. Seas of 4 to 6 ft primarily in long- period southwest swell are over this part of the area. Convection is noted with the tropical wave that extends from near 17.5N110W to 05N115W. For the forecast, the remnant trough of Douglas will continue drifting westward for the next few days. The ridge will drift southwestward and persist across the region through early week, supporting moderate to fresh trades well into the tropics. The aforementioned tropical wave will continue moving westward with scattered moderate convection. $$ Aguirre ########################### END OF MESSAGE SET ############################ --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Message File: T_AXPZ20KNHC060914CCA_C_KWBC_20260706091430_9109880-7633-TWDEP.txt ****0000005743**** AXPZ20 KNHC 060914 CCA TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion...Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 0405 UTC Mon Jul 06 2026 Corrected ITCZ/Monsoon Trough section Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0345 UTC. ...TROPICAL WAVES... A tropical wave is analyzed along a position from 17.5N110W to 05N115W. It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is west of the wave to 119W from 08N to 13N, and within 120 nm east of the wave from 08N to 12N. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...Corrected The monsoon trough extends from northwest Colombia southwestward through southern Costa Rica, then northwestward to 10N88W, where it transitions to the ITCZ to 06N100W to 08N113W, then resumes at 09N115W to 08N130W and to beyond 06N140W. Numerous moderate to strong convection is from the Equator to 08N west of 132W. Numerous moderate to isolated strong convection is seen from 02N to 08N between 115W-126W. Scattered moderate convection is within 60 nm south of the ITCZ between 87W-90W. ...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... A broad surface ridge extends from the northeast Pacific across the Baja California waters to near 19N115W. The pressure gradient between this ridge and relatively lower pressures over NW Mexico is generally supporting moderate to fresh northwest winds offshore Baja California. Seas are 5 to 7 ft over these waters. Moderate north winds are along the Gulf of Tehuantepec coast and offshore for about 60 nm. Seas are also 5 to 7 ft with these winds. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate northwest to north winds are present per latest scatterometer satellite data along with seas of 4 to 6 ft in long-period south to southwest swell. Inside the Gulf, light to variable winds are over the northern Gulf of California, and southeast to south moderate winds over the rest of the Gulf. Seas are 3 to 4 ft over the Gulf. For the forecast, the surface ridge will continue to strengthen modestly across the area through Tue night, leading to moderate to fresh winds across the Baja California waters. Moderate to fresh gap winds across the Gulf of Tehuantepec will continue to pulse at night through Tue night, then increase to strong speeds Wed through early Thu, then at fresh speeds through Fri night. Cross-equatorial southwest swell will reach the waters off southern Mexico on Mon. Expect fresh to strong southerly winds in the northern Gulf of California Thu through Fri. ....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Scattered moderate convection prevails north f 06N and across Panama, and Costa Rica, and extend northward into the SW Caribbean in the vicinity of the monsoon trough. Fresh to strong northeast winds continuing across the Papagayo region and extends offshore to 92W, where seas are 5 to 7 ft. Mostly gentle to moderate S to SW winds are noted elsewhere south of 10N along with seas seas of 4 to 6 ft in cross-equatorial long-period southwest swell. For the forecast, fresh northeast to east gap winds across the Papagayo region will pulse to strong each night through midweek leading to rough seas. Large cross-equatorial southerly swell will move into the waters off Ecuador and the Galapagos Islands late Sun through Tue, building seas to a peak 9 ft, and 6 to 7 ft across much of the remaining waters farther north. The combination of the southerly swell with shorter period seas associated with gap winds will allow combined seas to a peak of 8 ft offshore of northern Central America Tue through Wed. ...REMAINDER OF THE AREA... A broad ridge continues across the northeast Pacific and north of the area waters tonight, extending southeastward to the Revillagigedo Islands. The pressure gradient between this ridge and the remnants of Douglas that is now a trough analyzed from near 28N130W to 25N131W to near 20N130.5W is cuasing fresh northeast winds within 180 nm west of the trough from 25N to 28N, and within 120 nm east of the trough from 25N to 28N. Seas are to 8 ft in mixed NE and SE swell over these waters. The gradient associated to the ridge generally supports gentle to moderate trades from 09N to 16N west of about 118W, and from 09N to 13N between 110W and 118W. Seas are 5 to 7 ft over these waters in mixed swell. Farther east, moderate to fresh northeast to east winds downstream from the Papagayo region are from 08N to 12N between 91W and 105W. Seas are 5 to 6 ft with these winds as noted in the most recent altimeter satellite data over this part of the area. Light to gentle easterly winds are elsewhere east of 110W. Seas of 4 to 6 ft primarily in long- period southwest swell are over this part of the area. Convection is noted with the tropical wave that extends from near 17.5N110W to 05N115W. For the forecast, the remnant trough of Douglas will continue drifting westward for the next few days. The ridge will drift southwestward and persist across the region through early week, supporting moderate to fresh trades well into the tropics. The aforementioned tropical wave will continue moving westward with scattered moderate convection. $$ Aguirre ########################### END OF MESSAGE SET ############################ --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Message File: T_AXPZ20KNHC060917CCA_C_KWBC_20260706091708_32440682-4589-TWDEP.txt ****0000005761**** AXPZ20 KNHC 060917 CCA TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion...Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 0405 UTC Mon Jul 06 2026 Corrected ITCZ/Monsoon Trough section Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0345 UTC. ...TROPICAL WAVES... A tropical wave is analyzed along a position from 17.5N110W to 05N115W. It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is west of the wave to 119W from 08N to 13N, and within 120 nm east of the wave from 08N to 12N. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...Corrected The monsoon trough extends from northwest Colombia southwestward through southern Costa Rica, then northwestward to 10N88W, where it transitions to the ITCZ to 06N100W to 08N113W, then resumes at 09N115W to 08N130W and to beyond 06N140W. Numerous moderate to strong convection is from the Equator to 08N west of 132W. Numerous moderate to isolated strong convection is seen from 02N to 08N between 115W-126W. Scattered moderate convection is within 60 nm south of the ITCZ between 87W-90W. ...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... A broad surface ridge extends from the northeast Pacific across the Baja California waters to near 19N115W. The pressure gradient between this ridge and relatively lower pressures over NW Mexico is generally supporting moderate to fresh northwest winds offshore Baja California. Seas are 5 to 7 ft over these waters. Moderate north winds are along the Gulf of Tehuantepec coast and offshore for about 60 nm. Seas are also 5 to 7 ft with these winds. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate northwest to north winds are present per latest scatterometer satellite data along with seas of 4 to 6 ft in long-period south to southwest swell. Inside the Gulf, light to variable winds are over the northern Gulf of California, and southeast to south moderate winds over the rest of the Gulf. Seas are 3 to 4 ft over the Gulf. For the forecast, the surface ridge will continue to strengthen modestly across the area through Tue night, leading to moderate to fresh winds across the Baja California waters. Moderate to fresh gap winds across the Gulf of Tehuantepec will continue to pulse at night through Tue night, then increase to strong speeds Wed through early Thu, then at fresh speeds through Fri night. Cross-equatorial southwest swell will reach the waters off southern Mexico on Mon. Expect fresh to strong southerly winds in the northern Gulf of California Thu through Fri. ....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Scattered moderate convection prevails north f 06N and across Panama, and Costa Rica, and extend northward into the SW Caribbean in the vicinity of the monsoon trough. Fresh to strong northeast winds continuing across the Papagayo region and extends offshore to 92W, where seas are 5 to 7 ft. Mostly gentle to moderate S to SW winds are noted elsewhere south of 10N along with seas seas of 4 to 6 ft in cross-equatorial long-period southwest swell. For the forecast, fresh northeast to east gap winds across the Papagayo region will pulse to strong each night through midweek leading to rough seas. Large cross-equatorial southerly swell will move into the waters off Ecuador and the Galapagos Islands late Sun through Tue, building seas to a peak 9 ft, and 6 to 7 ft across much of the remaining waters farther north. The combination of the southerly swell with shorter period seas associated with gap winds will allow combined seas to a peak of 8 ft offshore of northern Central America Tue through Wed. ...REMAINDER OF THE AREA... A broad ridge continues across the northeast Pacific and north of the area waters tonight, extending southeastward to the Revillagigedo Islands. The pressure gradient between this ridge and the remnants of Douglas that is now a trough analyzed from near 28N130W to 25N131W to near 20N130.5W is bringing fresh northeast winds within 180 nm west of the trough from 25N to 28N, and within 120 nm east of the trough from 25N to 28N. Seas are to 8 ft in mixed northeast and southeast swell over these waters. The gradient associated to the ridge generally supports gentle to moderate trades from 09N to 16N west of about 118W, and from 09N to 13N between 110W and 118W. Seas are 5 to 7 ft over these waters in mixed swell. Farther east, moderate to fresh northeast to east winds downstream from the Papagayo region are from 08N to 12N between 91W and 105W. Seas are 5 to 6 ft with these winds as noted in the most recent altimeter satellite data over this part of the area. Light to gentle easterly winds are elsewhere east of 110W. Seas of 4 to 6 ft primarily in long- period southwest swell are over this part of the area. Convection is noted with the tropical wave that extends from near 17.5N110W to 05N115W. For the forecast, the remnant trough of Douglas will continue drifting westward for the next few days. The ridge will drift southwestward and persist across the region through early week, supporting moderate to fresh trades well into the tropics. The aforementioned tropical wave will continue moving westward with scattered moderate convection. $$ Aguirre ########################### END OF MESSAGE SET ############################ --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Message File: T_AXPZ20KNHC060951_C_KWBC_20260706095130_9109880-7639-TWDEP.txt ****0000005837**** AXPZ20 KNHC 060951 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1005 UTC Mon Jul 06 2026 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0945 UTC. ...TROPICAL WAVES... A tropical wave is analyzed along a position from 16N114W to 05N116W. It is moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is west of the wave to 120W from 08N to 12N, and within 60 nm east of the wave from 08N to 12N. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough axis extends from northwest Colombia southwestward through southern Costa Rica, then northwestward to 09N87W, where it transitions to the ITCZ to 10N95W to 07N104W to 09N114W, then resumes at 08N122W to 07N132W and to beyond 08N140W. Numerous moderate to strong convection is from the Equator to 08N west of 132W. Numerous moderate to isolated strong convection is seen from 02N to 08N between 115W-130W. Scattered moderate convection is within 60 nm south of the ITCZ between 88W-90W. ...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... A broad surface ridge extends from the northeast Pacific across the Baja California waters to near 19N115W. The pressure gradient between this ridge and relatively lower pressures over northwest Mexico is generally supporting moderate to fresh northwest winds offshore Baja California. Seas are 4 to 6 ft over these waters. Fresh north winds are along the Gulf of Tehuantepec coast and offshore for about 60 nm. Seas are 6 to 8 ft in long-period southwest swell. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate northwest to north winds are present per latest scatterometer satellite data along with seas of 4 to 6 ft in long-period south to southwest swell. Inside the Gulf, light to variable winds are over the northern Gulf of California, and southeast to south moderate winds over the rest of the Gulf. Seas are 3 to 4 ft over the Gulf. Numerous moderate to strong convection is seen from 13N to 16N between 91W and 95.5W, including the eastern portion of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. For the forecast, the surface ridge will build east-southeasward across the offshore waters of Baja California through Wed night, with the resultant gradient leading to moderate to fresh northwest winds over these same waters. Moderate to fresh gap winds in the Gulf of Tehuantepec will pulse tonight before increasing to fresh to strong speeds at night and into the mornings beginning Tue. Southern Hemispheric cross-equatorial swell moving through the waters off southern Mexico tonight is producing peak seas of 8 ft. These seas should continue through Wed. Expect fresh to strong southerly winds in the northern Gulf of California Thu through Fri. ....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Fresh to strong northeast winds continuing across the Papagayo region and extends offshore to near 92W, where seas are 6 to 8 ft in long-period south to southwest swell. Mostly gentle to moderate S to SW winds are noted elsewhere south of 10N along with seas seas of 4 to 6 ft in cross-equatorial long-period southwest swell. For the forecast, the fresh to strong northeast to east gap winds in the Gulf of Papagayo region will continue into early Thu. Large cross-equatorial southerly swell will move through the waters off Ecuador and the Galapagos Islands through early Wed, building seas to a peak of 9 ft. The combination of the southerly swell with shorter period seas associated with gap winds will allow combined seas to build to a peak of about 8 ft offshore of northern Central America Tue through Wed. ...REMAINDER OF THE AREA... A broad ridge continues across the northeast Pacific and north of the discussion area. It extends southeastward to near the Revillagigedo Islands. The pressure gradient between this ridge and the remnant trough of Douglas analyzed from near 27N128W to 21N132W is producing fresh northeast winds within 180 nm west of the trough from 25N to 28N, and within 120 nm east of the trough from 25N to 28N. Seas are to 8 ft in a mix of northeast and southeast swell over these waters. The gradient associated to the ridge generally supports gentle to moderate trades from 09N to 16N west of about 118W, and from 09N to 13N between 110W and 118W. Seas are 5 to 7 ft over these waters in mixed swell. Farther east, moderate to fresh northeast to east winds downstream from the Papagayo region are from 08N to 12N between 91W and 105W. Seas are 5 to 6 ft with these winds as noted in the latest altimeter satellite data over this part of the area. Light to gentle easterly winds are elsewhere east of 110W. Seas of 4 to 6 ft primarily in long-period southwest swell are over this part of the area. Convection is noted with the aforementioned tropical wave that extends from near 16N114W to 05N116W. For the forecast, the remnant trough of Douglas will continue drifting westward through the rest of the week. The ridge will build east-southeastward through Wed night, with the gradient between it and the remnant Douglas trough leading to a solid area of fresh trades over the western half of the area along with seas of 7 to 8 ft. The tropical wave will continue moving westward with scattered moderate convection. $$ Aguirre ########################### END OF MESSAGE SET ############################ --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Message File: T_AXPZ20KNHC061001_C_KWBC_20260706100208_32440682-4591-TWDEP.txt ****0000005847**** AXPZ20 KNHC 061001 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1005 UTC Mon Jul 06 2026 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0945 UTC. ...TROPICAL WAVES... A tropical wave is analyzed along a position from 16N114W to 05N116W. It is moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is west of the wave to 120W from 08N to 12N, and within 60 nm east of the wave from 08N to 12N. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough axis extends from northwest Colombia southwestward through southern Costa Rica, then northwestward to 09N87W, where it transitions to the ITCZ to 10N95W to 07N104W to 09N114W, then resumes at 08N122W to 07N132W and to beyond 08N140W. Numerous moderate to strong convection is from the Equator to 08N west of 132W. Numerous moderate to isolated strong convection is seen from 02N to 08N between 115W-130W. Scattered moderate convection is within 60 nm south of the ITCZ between 88W-90W. ...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... A broad surface ridge extends from the northeast Pacific across the Baja California waters to near 19N115W. The pressure gradient between this ridge and relatively lower pressures over northwest Mexico is generally supporting moderate to fresh northwest winds offshore Baja California. Seas are 4 to 6 ft over these waters. Fresh north winds are along the Gulf of Tehuantepec coast and offshore for about 60 nm. Seas are 6 to 8 ft in long-period southwest swell. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate northwest to north winds are present per latest scatterometer satellite data along with seas of 4 to 6 ft in long-period south to southwest swell. Inside the Gulf, light to variable winds are over the northern Gulf of California, and southeast to south moderate winds over the rest of the Gulf. Seas are 3 to 4 ft over the Gulf. Numerous moderate to strong convection is seen from 13N to 16N between 91W and 95.5W, including the eastern portion of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. For the forecast, the surface ridge will build east-southeastward across the offshore waters of Baja California through Wed night, with the resultant gradient leading to moderate to fresh northwest winds over these same waters. Moderate to fresh gap winds in the Gulf of Tehuantepec will pulse tonight before increasing to fresh to strong speeds at night and into the mornings beginning Tue. Southern Hemispheric cross-equatorial swell moving through the waters off southern Mexico tonight is producing peak seas of 8 ft. These seas should continue through Wed. Expect fresh to strong southerly winds in the northern Gulf of California Thu through Fri. ....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Fresh to strong northeast winds are continuing across the Papagayo region and extend offshore to near 92W, where seas are 6 to 8 ft in long-period south to southwest swell. Mostly gentle to moderate south to southwest winds are noted elsewhere south of 10N along with seas seas of 4 to 6 ft in cross-equatorial long-period southwest swell. For the forecast, the fresh to strong northeast to east gap winds in the Gulf of Papagayo region will continue into early Thu. Large cross-equatorial southerly swell will move through the waters off Ecuador and the Galapagos Islands through early Wed, building seas to a peak of 9 ft. The combination of the southerly swell with shorter period seas associated with gap winds will allow combined seas to build to a peak of about 8 ft offshore of northern Central America Tue through Wed. ...REMAINDER OF THE AREA... A broad ridge continues across the northeast Pacific and north of the discussion area. It extends southeastward to near the Revillagigedo Islands. The pressure gradient between this ridge and the remnant trough of Douglas analyzed from near 27N128W to 21N132W is producing fresh northeast winds within 180 nm west of the trough from 25N to 28N, and within 120 nm east of the trough from 25N to 28N. Seas are to 8 ft in a mix of northeast and southeast swell over these waters. The gradient associated to the ridge generally supports gentle to moderate trades from 09N to 16N west of about 118W, and from 09N to 13N between 110W and 118W. Seas are 5 to 7 ft over these waters in mixed swell. Farther east, moderate to fresh northeast to east winds downstream from the Papagayo region are from 08N to 12N between 91W and 105W. Seas are 5 to 6 ft with these winds as noted in the latest altimeter satellite data over this part of the area. Light to gentle easterly winds are elsewhere east of 110W. Seas of 4 to 6 ft primarily in long-period southwest swell are over this part of the area. Convection is noted with the aforementioned tropical wave that extends from near 16N114W to 05N116W. For the forecast, the remnant trough of Douglas will continue drifting westward through the rest of the week. The ridge will build east-southeastward through Wed night, with the gradient between it and the remnant Douglas trough leading to a solid area of fresh trades over the western half of the area along with seas of 7 to 8 ft. The tropical wave will continue moving westward with scattered moderate convection. $$ Aguirre ########################### END OF MESSAGE SET ############################ --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Message File: T_AXPZ20KNHC061023CCA_C_KWBC_20260706102408_32440682-4592-TWDEP.txt ****0000006015**** AXPZ20 KNHC 061023 CCA TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion...Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1005 UTC Mon Jul 06 2026 Corrected forecast under Offshore Waters Within 250 nm of Mexico Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0945 UTC. ...TROPICAL WAVES... A tropical wave is analyzed along a position from 16N114W to 05N116W. It is moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is west of the wave to 120W from 08N to 12N, and within 60 nm east of the wave from 08N to 12N. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough axis extends from northwest Colombia southwestward through southern Costa Rica, then northwestward to 09N87W, where it transitions to the ITCZ to 10N95W to 07N104W to 09N114W, then resumes at 08N122W to 07N132W and to beyond 08N140W. Numerous moderate to strong convection is from the Equator to 08N west of 132W. Numerous moderate to isolated strong convection is seen from 02N to 08N between 115W-130W. Scattered moderate convection is within 60 nm south of the ITCZ between 88W-90W. ...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...Corrected A broad surface ridge extends from the northeast Pacific across the Baja California waters to near 19N115W. The pressure gradient between this ridge and relatively lower pressures over northwest Mexico is generally supporting moderate to fresh northwest winds offshore Baja California. Seas are 4 to 6 ft over these waters. Fresh north winds are along the Gulf of Tehuantepec coast and offshore for about 60 nm. Seas are 6 to 8 ft in long-period southwest swell. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate northwest to north winds are present per latest scatterometer satellite data along with seas of 4 to 6 ft in long-period south to southwest swell. Inside the Gulf, light to variable winds are over the northern Gulf of California, and southeast to south moderate winds over the rest of the Gulf. Seas are 3 to 4 ft over the Gulf. Numerous moderate to strong convection is seen from 13N to 16N between 91W and 95.5W, including the eastern portion of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. For the forecast, the surface ridge will build east-southeastward across the offshore waters of Baja California through Wed night, with the resultant gradient leading to moderate to fresh northwest winds over these same waters. Moderate to fresh gap winds in the Gulf of Tehuantepec will begin to pulse at fresh to strong speeds starting Tue morning, and pulse at night into the mornings afterward through Wed, then at fresh speeds through the rest of the week. Southern Hemispheric cross-equatorial swell moving through the waters off southern Mexico tonight is producing peak seas of 8 ft. These seas should continue through Wed. Expect fresh to strong southerly winds in the northern Gulf of California Thu through Fri. ....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Fresh to strong northeast winds are continuing across the Papagayo region and extend offshore to near 92W, where seas are 6 to 8 ft in long-period south to southwest swell. Mostly gentle to moderate south to southwest winds are noted elsewhere south of 10N along with seas seas of 4 to 6 ft in cross-equatorial long-period southwest swell. For the forecast, the fresh to strong northeast to east gap winds in the Gulf of Papagayo region will continue into early Thu. Large cross-equatorial southerly swell will move through the waters off Ecuador and the Galapagos Islands through early Wed, building seas to a peak of 9 ft. The combination of the southerly swell with shorter period seas associated with gap winds will allow combined seas to build to a peak of about 8 ft offshore of northern Central America Tue through Wed. ...REMAINDER OF THE AREA... A broad ridge continues across the northeast Pacific and north of the discussion area. It extends southeastward to near the Revillagigedo Islands. The pressure gradient between this ridge and the remnant trough of Douglas analyzed from near 27N128W to 21N132W is producing fresh northeast winds within 180 nm west of the trough from 25N to 28N, and within 120 nm east of the trough from 25N to 28N. Seas are to 8 ft in a mix of northeast and southeast swell over these waters. The gradient associated to the ridge generally supports gentle to moderate trades from 09N to 16N west of about 118W, and from 09N to 13N between 110W and 118W. Seas are 5 to 7 ft over these waters in mixed swell. Farther east, moderate to fresh northeast to east winds downstream from the Papagayo region are from 08N to 12N between 91W and 105W. Seas are 5 to 6 ft with these winds as noted in the latest altimeter satellite data over this part of the area. Light to gentle easterly winds are elsewhere east of 110W. Seas of 4 to 6 ft primarily in long-period southwest swell are over this part of the area. Convection is noted with the aforementioned tropical wave that extends from near 16N114W to 05N116W. For the forecast, the remnant trough of Douglas will continue drifting westward through the rest of the week. The ridge will build east-southeastward through Wed night, with the gradient between it and the remnant Douglas trough leading to a solid area of fresh trades over the western half of the area along with seas of 7 to 8 ft. The tropical wave will continue moving westward with scattered moderate convection. $$ Aguirre ########################### END OF MESSAGE SET ############################ --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Message File: T_AXPZ20KNHC061546_C_KWBC_20260706154733_9109880-7654-TWDEP.txt ****0000006414**** AXPZ20 KNHC 061546 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1605 UTC Mon Jul 6 2026 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1500 UTC. ...TROPICAL WAVES... A tropical wave is analyzed along 82W north of 06N to across western Panama and continuing into the western Caribbean Sea, moving westward around 20 kt. Any nearby convection is described in the monsoon trough/ITCZ section below. A tropical wave is analyzed along 119W from 02N to 17N, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Any nearby convection is described in the monsoon trough/ITCZ section below. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough axis extends from western Colombia from 08N77W to near the southern coast of Panama to 09N90W. The ITCZ extends from 09N92W to 07N105W to 09N116W, then resumes west of a tropical wave from 07N123W to beyond 08N140W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted from 05.5N to 08.5N between 77W and 82W, from 06N to 08N between 100W and 106W, from 06N to 15N between 109W and 122W, and from 00N to 12N between 122W and 140W. Similar convection is noted within 210 nm of the coast between 89W and 102W. ...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... A broad surface ridge extends from the northeast Pacific across the Baja California waters to near 18N112W. The pressure gradient between this ridge and relatively lower pressures over northwest Mexico is generally supporting moderate to fresh NW winds offshore Baja California to the west of 114W. Seas are 4 to 6 ft over these waters in mixed long period SW swell and NW swell. Fresh to strong N-NE winds are in the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Seas are 6 to 8 ft in long period SW swell. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate mainly NW-N winds are present, with seas of 4 to 6 ft in long period SW swell. Inside the of California, moderate to locally fresh SE winds are in the central and northern Gulf, and gentle to moderate in the southern Gulf. Seas are 1 to 3 ft in the Gulf except higher near the entrance. Active convection is present within 210 nm of the coast of SW and southern Mexico to the east of 102W. For the forecast, the surface ridge will build east-southeastward across the offshore waters of Baja California through Wed night, with the resultant gradient leading to moderate to fresh NW winds over these same waters, locally strong to the north of Punta Eugenia through Tue night. Moderate to fresh gap winds in the Gulf of Tehuantepec will pulse at fresh to strong speeds at night into the mornings through the rest of the week with seas to rough at times. Little change in winds is forecast elsewhere, except increasing and pulsing to fresh to strong in the central and northern Gulf of California by the end of the week as the gradient tightens there. Fresh NW swell off California will push southward off Baja California Norte late Tue night into early Wed, continuing through early Fri. Moderate seas are forecast elsewhere. ....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Fresh to strong northeast winds are continuing across the Papagayo region and extend offshore to near 90W, where seas are 6 to 8 ft. Moderate to locally fresh winds are elsewhere to the north of 10N. Moderate northerly winds are in the Gulf of Panama, while moderate SE winds are offshore Ecuador to the Galapagos Islands, where seas are 5 to 8 ft in SW swell. Light to gentle winds are across the remainder of the waters, along with 4 to 7 ft mainly in SW swell. For the forecast, fresh to strong NE-E gap winds in the Gulf of Papagayo region will continue into early Thu, then moderate to fresh thereafter. Moderate to fresh N-NE winds will pulse in the Gulf of Panama through Tue night. Little change in winds is forecast elsewhere through the week. Cross equatorial SW swell will move through the waters off Ecuador and the Galapagos Islands through early Wed, building seas to a peak of 9 ft. The combination of the southerly swell with shorter period seas associated with gap winds will allow combined seas to build to a peak of about 8 ft offshore of northern Central America Tue through Wed with mainly moderate seas otherwise. ...REMAINDER OF THE AREA... A broad ridge continues across the northeast Pacific and north of the discussion area. It extends southeastward to near the Revillagigedo Islands. The pressure gradient between this ridge and the remnant trough of Douglas analyzed from near 28N131W to 21N132W is producing fresh northeast winds within 180 nm west of the trough from 25N to 29N. Seas are to 8 ft in a mix of easterly swells over these waters. Winds are mainly gentle to moderate across the remainder of the waters to the north of the ITCZ, except moderate to locally fresh to the north of the ITCZ to 18N and to the west of 115W. Mainly moderate to locally fresh winds are south of the ITCZ. Seas are 6 to 9 ft in S to SW swell across the waters mainly south of 14N, and 5 to 7 ft in mixed swell across the remainder of the waters. Very active convection is present over the waters near a tropical wave at 119W as described above. For the forecast, the remnant trough of Douglas will continue drifting westward through the rest of the week. The ridge will build east-southeastward through Wed night, with the gradient between it and the remnant Douglas trough leading to a solid area of fresh trades over the western half of the area along with seas of 7 to 8 ft. Large southerly swell with seas up to 9 ft will continue impacting the waters south of 06N through at least mid-week. Large northerly swells off California will build seas to around 9 ft offshore Baja California Norte by mid-week. Meanwhile, the tropical wave will continue moving westward with scattered moderate convection. $$ Lewitsky ########################### END OF MESSAGE SET ############################