--------------------------------------------------------------------------- TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION (EASTERN PACIFIC AREA) MESSAGES T1T2: AX A1A2: PZ Date: 2026-06-02 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Message File: T_AXPZ20KNHC020350_C_KWBC_20260602035047_47448518-4626-TWDEP.txt ****0000006681**** AXPZ20 KNHC 020350 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 0405 UTC Tue Jun 02 2026 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0330 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... An area of low pressure is well to the SW of the southern tip of Baja California along the monsoon trough. Low pressure of 1006 mb, Invest-EP90, is along the trough near 09.5N127W. Satellite imagery shows numerous strong convection within 90 nm of low in the SW quadrant and within 60 nm of the low in the NW quadrant. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is noted elsewhere from 06.5N to 12.5N between 124W and 132W. This area of low pressure has become slightly better defined during the day and evening as noted in more cyclonic turning of the clouds in this area. Environmental conditions appear conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression is expected to form during the next couple of days while the system moves westward or west-northwestward across the western portion of the eastern Pacific. The low has a medium chance of tropical cyclone formation within the next 48 hours. Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at wwww.hurricanes.gov for more details. ...TROPICAL WAVES... The southern portion of a tropical wave axis is along 82W N of 04N, moving westward at around 5 kt. Scattered showers are within 30 to 60 nm east of the wave from 07N to 09N and within 30 nm west of the wave from 06N to 08N. A tropical wave has its axis along 108W from 04N to 16N, moving westward near 05 kt. Scattered moderate within 60 nm west of the wave from 06N to 10N. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough axis extends from northwest Colombia southwestward to 10N85W to 12N98W to 11N110W to low pressure near 09N127.5W 1006 mb to low pressure near 06N137W 1008 mb to beyond 05N140W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is from 05N to 09N between 115W-120W, also within 180 nm N of the trough between 133W-137W, within 60 nm S of the trough between 136W-138W and within 30 nm of the trough between 102W-107W. Scattered moderate convection is within 180 nm N of the trough between 118W-124W, also from 06N to 10N between 110W-114W, and within 60 nm S of the trough between 138W-140W. ...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... A broad surface ridge extends into the region to just NW of the Revillagigedo Islands. The pressure gradient between the ridge and a surface trough along the Gulf of California is producing moderate NW to N winds across the Baja California offshore waters. NW swell is producing seas to 8 ft over the waters N of Cabo San Lazaro. Inside the Gulf of California, light to gentle winds and slight seas prevail, except for 3 to 6 ft seas in SW swell near the entrance. For the remainder of the offshore waters, light to gentle winds dominate along with 5 to 7 ft seas primarily in long-period S to SW swell, including the Gulf of Tehuantepec. For the forecast, the NW swell will propagate through the offshore waters of Baja California Norte through Fri night, bringing rough seas. Looking ahead, an area of low pressure is likely to form offshore of Central America and southern Mexico late this week or over the weekend. Environmental conditions appear favorable for some development of this system thereafter, and a tropical depression could form by early next week while it moves westward to northwestward. ....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Mainly light and variable winds are over the Central American offshore waters under a weak pressure pattern along with moderate seas of 5 to 7 ft in long-period S to SW swell. The exception is moderate gap winds in the Papagayo region. Gentle south to southeast winds along with seas of 5 to 7 ft in long- period SW swell are over the waters S of the monsoon trough over the waters between the Galapagos Islands and Ecuador. For the forecast, the weak pressure pattern in place will provide for generally light to gentle winds through the period, except for nocturnal pulses of moderate to fresh gap winds across the Papagayo region. Long period SW swell is forecast to enter the southern Galapagos adjacent waters Tue night and begin to subside Thu afternoon. Looking ahead, an area of low pressure is likely to form offshore of Central America and southern Mexico late this week or over the weekend. Environmental conditions appear favorable for some development of this system thereafter, and a tropical depression could form by early next week while it moves westward to northwestward. ...REMAINDER OF THE AREA... Please see the Special Features section for information on low pressure in the western basin along the monsoon trough that is expected to become a tropical depression during the next couple of days. High pressure dominates waters N of the monsoon trough, with the pressure gradient between the high pressure and lower pressure within the monsoon trough supporting moderate to locally fresh trade winds N of the monsoon trough. Seas over these waters are in the 7 to 9 ft range in a mix of trade wind waves and NW to N swell. Gentle to locally moderate winds are S of the monsoon trough. Seas over these waters are generally 7 to 8 ft in S to SW swell as indicated by recent altimeter satellite data passes over these waters. Aside from the possible tropical cyclone as mentioned above, the high pressure will weaken some toward the end of the week as the Special Features low pressure tracks to the NW over the western portion of the area resulting in a weakening of the trade winds E of about 130W, becoming light and variable from 04N to 12N between 120W and 130W. Seas over these waters are forecast to subside to around 5 to 7 ft by early Thu. Mostly fresh trade winds are expected elsewhere outside the potential tropical cyclone low, namely W of 125W and N of about 08N along with seas of 7 to 9 ft in merging NE and SW long-period swell Wed through Fri. $$ Aguirre --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Message File: T_AXPZ20KNHC020938_C_KWBC_20260602093849_47448518-4653-TWDEP.txt ****0000007311**** AXPZ20 KNHC 020938 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1005 UTC Tue Jun 02 2026 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0915 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... An area of low pressure is well to the SW of the southern tip of Baja California along the monsoon trough. Low pressure of 1006 mb, Invest-EP90, is along the trough near 09.5N127W. Satellite imagery shows numerous strong convection from 06N to 10N between 125W and 128W, and from 08N to 10N between 128W and 131W. This area of low pressure has become slightly better defined since yesterday as noted in more pronounced cyclonic turning of the clouds within this area. Environmental conditions appear conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression is expected to form during the next day or two while the system moves westward or west-northwestward across the western portion of the eastern Pacific. The low now has a high chance of tropical cyclone formation within the next 48 hours. Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at wwww.hurricanes.gov for more details. ...TROPICAL WAVES... The southern portion of a tropical wave axis is along 83W N of 03N, moving westward at around 5 kt. Isolated showers and thunderstorms are within 60 nm east of the wave axis from 06N to 09N, and within 30 nm west of the wave axis from 06N to 08N. A tropical wave has its axis along 108W from 04N to 16N, moving westward near 05 kt. Scattered moderate within 60 nm west of the wave from 07N to 08N. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough axis extends from northwest Colombia southwestward to 10N85W to 11N100W to 12N110W to low pressure near 09N127.5W 1006 mb to 09N131W to low pressure near 06N137W 1009 mb and to beyond 05N140W. Numerous strong convection is within 180 nm N of the trough between 131W-134W. Scattered moderate to strong convection is within 30 nm S of the trough between 84W and 86W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is seen from 03N to 09N between 116W-122W, and within 60 nm N of the trough between 118W-120W. SCattered moderate convection is within 180 nm N of the trough between 134W-138W. ...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... A broad surface ridge that is anchored by a 1026 mb high center N of the area near 34N134W stretches southeastward to near 20N118W. The pressure gradient between the ridge and a surface trough along the Gulf of California is keeping mostly moderate NW to N winds over the Baja California offshore waters as noted in an overnight Ascat satellite data pass. NW swell is producing seas to 8 ft over the waters N of Cabo San Lazaro. Inside the Gulf of California, light to gentle winds and slight seas prevail across just about the entire Gulf, except for gentle to moderate S to SW winds N of 30N as seen in an overnight Ascat satellite data pass. Seas of 2 to 4 ft are in the Gulf, with the exception of higher seas of 4 to 6 ft in S to SW swell near the Gulf entrance. An overnight altimeter satellite data pass capture the seas in the central and southern sections of the Gulf. For the remainder of the offshore waters, light to gentle winds dominate along with 5 to 7 ft seas primarily in long-period S to SW swell, including the Gulf of Tehuantepec. For the forecast, the NW swell will subside today. Another NW swell set will move through these same waters from Thu through early on Sat, decaying afterward. Looking ahead, an area of low pressure is likely to form offshore of Central America and southern Mexico late this week or over the weekend. Environmental conditions appear favorable for some development of this system thereafter, and a tropical depression could form by early next week while it moves westward to northwestward. ....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Mainly light and variable winds are over the Central American offshore waters under a weak pressure pattern along with moderate seas of 5 to 7 ft in long-period S to SW swell. The exception is moderate gap winds in the Papagayo region. Gentle south to southeast winds along with seas of 5 to 7 ft in long- period SW swell are over the waters S of the monsoon trough over the waters between the Galapagos Islands and Ecuador. Latest altimeter satellite data passes show the 5 to 7 ft seas. For the forecast, the weak pressure pattern in place will provide for generally light to gentle winds through the period, except for nocturnal pulses of moderate to fresh gap winds across the Papagayo region. Long period SW swell is forecast to enter the southern Galapagos adjacent waters Tue night and begin to subside Thu afternoon. Looking ahead, an area of low pressure is likely to form offshore of Central America and southern Mexico late this week or over the weekend. Environmental conditions appear favorable for some development of this system thereafter, and a tropical depression could form by early next week while it moves westward to northwestward. ...REMAINDER OF THE AREA... Please see the Special Features section for information on low pressure in the western portion of basin along the monsoon trough that is expected to become a tropical depression during the next couple of days. High pressure dominates waters N of the monsoon trough, with the pressure gradient between the high pressure and lower pressure within the monsoon trough generally allowing for moderate to locally fresh trade winds N of the monsoon trough, except for gentle NE winds from about 24N to 29N between 120W and 128W, and from 20N to 30N between 117W and 120W. Seas over these waters are in the 7 to 9 ft range in a mix of trade wind waves and NW to N swell. Gentle to locally moderate winds are S of the monsoon trough. Seas over these waters are generally 5 to 7 ft primarily in N swell, except for slightly higher seas of 6 to 8 ft S of about 14N and W of 120W as indicated by recent altimeter satellite data passes over this part of the discussion domain. The aforementioned high pressure will weaken some toward the end of the week as the Special Features low pressure system tracks to the NW over the western portion of the area resulting in a weakening of the trade winds E of about 130W, becoming light and variable from 04N to 12N between 120W and 130W. Seas over these waters are forecast to subside to around 5 to 7 ft by early Thu. Mostly fresh trade winds are expected elsewhere outside the potential tropical cyclone low, namely W of 125W and N of about 08N along with seas of 7 to 9 ft in merging NE and SW long-period swell Wed through Fri. $$ Aguirre --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Message File: T_AXPZ20KNHC020946_C_KWBC_20260602094650_47448518-4654-TWDEP.txt ****0000007265**** AXPZ20 KNHC 020946 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1005 UTC Tue Jun 02 2026 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0930 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... An area of low pressure is well to the SW of the southern tip of Baja California along the monsoon trough. Low pressure of 1006 mb, Invest-EP90, is along the trough near 09.5N127W. Satellite imagery shows numerous strong convection from 06N to 10N between 125W and 128W, and from 08N to 10N between 128W and 131W. This area of low pressure has become slightly better defined since yesterday as noted in more pronounced cyclonic turning of the clouds within this area. Environmental conditions appear conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression is expected to form during the next day or two while the system moves westward or west-northwestward across the western portion of the eastern Pacific. The low now has a high chance of tropical cyclone formation within the next 48 hours. Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at wwww.hurricanes.gov for more details. ...TROPICAL WAVES... The southern portion of a tropical wave axis is along 83W N of 03N, moving westward at around 5 kt. Isolated showers and thunderstorms are within 60 nm east of the wave axis from 06N to 09N, and within 30 nm west of the wave axis from 06N to 08N. A tropical wave has its axis along 108W from 04N to 16N, moving westward near 05 kt. Scattered moderate within 60 nm west of the wave from 07N to 08N. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough axis extends from northwest Colombia southwestward to 10N85W to 11N100W to 12N110W to low pressure near 09N127.5W 1006 mb to 09N131W to low pressure near 06N137W 1009 mb and to beyond 05N140W. Numerous strong convection is within 180 nm N of the trough between 131W-134W. Scattered moderate to strong convection is within 30 nm S of the trough between 84W and 86W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is seen from 03N to 09N between 116W-122W, and within 60 nm N of the trough between 118W-120W. SCattered moderate convection is within 180 nm N of the trough between 134W-138W. ...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... A broad surface ridge that is anchored by a 1026 mb high center N of the area near 34N134W stretches southeastward to near 20N118W. The pressure gradient between the ridge and a surface trough along the Gulf of California is keeping mostly moderate NW to N winds over the Baja California offshore waters as noted in an overnight Ascat satellite data pass. NW swell is producing seas to 8 ft over the waters N of Cabo San Lazaro. Inside the Gulf of California, light to gentle winds remain across just about the entire Gulf, except for gentle to moderate S to SW winds N of 30N as seen in an overnight Ascat satellite data pass. Seas of 2 to 4 ft are in the Gulf, with the exception of higher seas of 4 to 6 ft in S to SW swell near the Gulf entrance. An overnight altimeter satellite data pass capture the seas in the central and southern sections of the Gulf. For the remainder of the offshore waters, light to gentle winds dominate along with 5 to 7 ft seas primarily in long-period S to SW swell, including the Gulf of Tehuantepec. For the forecast, the NW swell will subside today. Another NW swell set will move through these same waters from Thu through early on Sat, decaying afterward. Looking ahead, an area of low pressure is likely to form offshore of Central America and southern Mexico late this week or over the weekend. Environmental conditions appear favorable for some development of this system thereafter, and a tropical depression could form by early next week while it moves westward to northwestward. ....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Mainly light and variable winds are over the Central American offshore waters under a weak pressure pattern along with moderate seas of 5 to 7 ft in long-period S to SW swell. The exception is moderate gap winds in the Papagayo region. Gentle south to southeast winds along with seas of 5 to 7 ft in long- period SW swell are over the waters S of the monsoon trough between the Galapagos Islands and Ecuador. Latest altimeter satellite data passes show the 5 to 7 ft seas. For the forecast, the weak pressure pattern in place will provide for generally light to gentle winds through the period, except for nocturnal pulses of moderate to fresh gap winds across the Papagayo region. Long period SW swell is forecast to enter the southern Galapagos adjacent waters tonight and begin to subside Thu afternoon. Looking ahead, an area of low pressure is likely to form offshore of Central America and southern Mexico late this week or over the weekend. Environmental conditions appear favorable for some development of this system thereafter, and a tropical depression could form by early next week while it moves westward to northwestward. ...REMAINDER OF THE AREA... Please see the Special Features section for information on low pressure in the western portion of basin along the monsoon trough that is expected to become a tropical depression during the next couple of days. High pressure dominates waters N of the monsoon trough, with the pressure gradient between the high pressure and lower pressure within the monsoon trough generally allowing for moderate to locally fresh trade winds N of the monsoon trough, except for gentle NE winds from about 24N to 29N between 120W and 128W, and from 20N to 30N between 117W and 120W. Seas over these waters are in the 7 to 9 ft range in a mix of trade wind waves and NW to N swell. Gentle to locally moderate winds are S of the monsoon trough. Seas over these waters are generally 5 to 7 ft primarily in N swell, except for slightly higher seas of 6 to 8 ft S of about 14N and W of 120W as indicated by recent altimeter satellite data passes over this part of the discussion domain. The aforementioned high pressure will weaken some toward the end of the week as the Special Features low pressure system tracks to the NW over the western portion of the area resulting in a weakening of the trade winds E of about 130W, becoming light and variable from 04N to 12N between 120W and 130W. Seas over these waters are forecast to subside to around 5 to 7 ft by early Thu. Mostly fresh trade winds are expected elsewhere outside the Special Features low, namely W of 125W and N of about 08N along with seas of 7 to 9 ft in merging NE and SW long-period swell Wed through Fri. $$ Aguirre --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Message File: T_AXPZ20KNHC021541_C_KWBC_20260602154152_47448518-4677-TWDEP.txt ****0000006147**** AXPZ20 KNHC 021541 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1605 UTC Tue Jun 2 2026 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1500 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... Western East Pacific Low (Invest-90E): The 1006 mb low pressure located well SW of the southern tip of Baja California near 10N127W is beginning to show some signs of organization, with numerous strong convection from 07N to 10N between 125W and 131W, and fresh cyclonic winds surrounding the low's center, away from the thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for further organization, and a tropical depression is expected to form during the next day or two while the low moves westward or west-northwestward at 5 to 10 kt across the western portion of the East Pacific. There is a high chance of tropical formation within the next 48 hours. Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at wwww.hurricanes.gov for more details. ...TROPICAL WAVES... The southern portion of a tropical wave axis is along 85W N of 03N, moving westward at 5 to 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted within 90 nm of either side of the axis, N of 05N. A tropical wave has its axis along 110W, from 04N to 16N, moving westward at 5 to 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 07N to 12N between 103W and 113W. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough axis extends from 10N80W to 11N105W to 1006 mb low pressure near 10N127W to 08N134W to 05N140W. Numerous moderate convection is within 180 nm N of the trough between 131W and 134W. Scattered moderate convection is seen from 03N to 09N between 116W and 122W and within 180 nm N of the trough between 134W and 138W. ...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... A broad surface ridge that is anchored by a 1025 mb high center N of the area near 34N134W stretches southeastward to the Revillagigedo Islands. The pressure gradient between this ridge and a surface trough along the Gulf of California is maintaining mainly moderate NW to N winds over the Baja California offshore waters, with seas of 5 to 7 ft. Inside the Gulf of California, light to gentle winds remain. Seas of 2 to 4 ft are in the Gulf, with the exception of higher seas of 4 to 6 ft in S to SW swell near the Gulf entrance. For the remainder of the offshore waters, light to gentle winds dominate along with 5 to 7 ft seas primarily in long-period S to SW swell, including the Gulf of Tehuantepec. For the forecast, NW swell move through these waters offshore Baja California Norte from Thu through early on Sat, decaying afterward. Looking ahead, an area of low pressure is likely to form offshore of Central America and southern Mexico late this week or over the weekend. Environmental conditions appear favorable for some development of this system thereafter, and a tropical depression could form by early next week while it moves westward to northwestward. ....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Mainly light and variable winds are over the Central American offshore waters under a weak pressure pattern along with moderate seas of 5 to 7 ft in long-period S to SW swell. The exception is fresh gap winds in the Papagayo region. Gentle south winds along with seas of 5 to 7 ft in long- period SW swell are over the waters S of the monsoon trough between the Galapagos Islands and Ecuador. For the forecast, the weak pressure pattern will provide for generally light to gentle winds through the period, except for a pulse of moderate to fresh gap winds in the Papagayo region tonight and Wed night. Long period SW swell is forecast to enter the southern Galapagos adjacent waters tonight, then begin to subside Thu afternoon. Looking ahead, an area of low pressure is likely to form offshore of Central America and southern Mexico late this week or over the weekend. Environmental conditions appear favorable for some development of this system thereafter, and a tropical depression could form by early next week while it moves westward to northwestward. ...REMAINDER OF THE AREA... Please see the Special Features section for information on low pressure in the western portion of basin that is expected to become a tropical depression during the next couple of days. High pressure dominates waters N of the monsoon trough, with the pressure gradient between the high pressure and lower pressure within the monsoon trough generally allowing for moderate to locally fresh trade winds N of the monsoon trough to 25N, then gentle NE winds farther N. Seas over these waters are in the 7 to 9 ft range in a mix of trade wind waves and NW to N swell. Gentle to locally moderate winds are S of the monsoon trough. Seas over these waters are generally 5 to 7 ft primarily in N swell, except for S of the Equator, where long-period southerly swell is causing rough seas W of 100W. The aforementioned high pressure will weaken some toward the end of the week as the Special Features low pressure system tracks to the NW over the western portion of the area resulting in a weakening of the trade winds E of about 130W, becoming light and variable from 04N to 12N between 120W and 130W. Seas over these waters are forecast to subside to around 5 to 7 ft by early Thu. Mostly fresh trade winds are expected elsewhere outside the Special Features low, namely W of 125W and N of about 08N along with seas of 7 to 9 ft in merging NE and SW long-period swell Wed through Fri. $$ Konarik ########################### END OF MESSAGE SET ############################ --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Message File: T_AXPZ20KNHC022105_C_KWBC_20260602210636_49676782-4623-TWDEP.txt ****0000006110**** AXPZ20 KNHC 022105 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 2205 UTC Tue Jun 2 2026 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 2100 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... Tropical Depression One-E: The first tropical depression of the 2026 Eastern Pacific hurricane season has formed in the western portion of the basin this afternoon. Newly-formed Tropical Depression One-E is centered near 9.4N 126.7W at 02/2100 UTC, moving west at 3 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt. Peak seas are near 10 ft. Numerous strong convection is noted from 08N to 11N between 125W and 131W. One-E is forecast to move to 9.9N 127.1W Wed morning, then strengthen to a tropical storm near 10.6N 128.2W Wed afternoon. One-E is forecast to reach 11.5N 129.4W Thu morning, 12.6N 130.8W Thu afternoon, 13.3N 132.2W Fri morning, and 13.7N 133.3W Fri afternoon. One-E will change little in intensity as it moves westward across the far western portions of the basin Sat afternoon. Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center at website - https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml and the latest Tropical Depression One-E NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at www.hurricanes.gov for more details. ...TROPICAL WAVES... A tropical wave has now fully emerged into the eastern Pacific and now has an axis along 86W southward to 03N, moving westward at around 5 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is noted N of 04N between 81W and 91W. A tropical wave has its axis along 111W, from 04N to 16N, moving westward at around 5 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 07N to 13N between 103W and 113W. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough axis extends from 10N82W to newly formed Tropical Depression One-E at 09N127W to 05N140W. Scattered moderate convection is noted within 180 nm N of the trough between 131W and 138W and from 03N to 09N between 116W and 122W. Scattered moderate convection has also developed from 07N to 14N between 91W and 101W. ...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... A broad surface ridge that is anchored by a 1026 mb high center N of the area near 33N135W stretches southeastward to the Revillagigedo Islands. The pressure gradient between this ridge and a surface trough along the Gulf of California is maintaining mainly moderate NW winds over the Baja California offshore waters, with seas of 5 to 7 ft. Inside the Gulf of California, light to gentle winds prevail, with seas of 1 to 3 ft, except for 3 to 5 ft in S to SW swell near the entrance to the Gulf. For the remainder of the offshore waters, light to gentle winds dominate along with 5 to 7 ft seas primarily in long-period S to SW swell, including the Gulf of Tehuantepec. For the forecast, NW swell will move through the waters offshore Baja California Norte Wed night through early on Sat, decaying afterward. An area of low pressure is forecast to form offshore Central America and southern Mexico late this week or this weekend. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some development of this system thereafter, and a tropical depression could form early next week while it moves slowly north- northwestward. ....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Mainly light and variable winds are over the Central American offshore waters under a weak pressure pattern along with moderate seas of 5 to 7 ft in long-period S to SW swell. The exception is fresh gap winds in the Papagayo region. Gentle south winds along with seas of 5 to 7 ft in long- period SW swell are over the waters S of the monsoon trough between the Galapagos Islands and Ecuador. For the forecast, pulses of moderate to fresh gap winds will occur the the Papagayo region tonight and Wed night. Long period SW swell is forecast to enter the southern Galapagos adjacent waters tonight, then begin to subside Thu afternoon. Looking ahead, an area of low pressure is forecast to form offshore Central America and southern Mexico late this week or this weekend. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some development of this system thereafter, and a tropical depression could form early next week while it moves slowly north- northwestward. ...REMAINDER OF THE AREA... Please see the Special Features section for information newly developed Tropical Depression One-E, that is forecast to become a tropical storm this week over the far western portions of the basin. Otherwise, high pressure dominates waters N of the monsoon trough, with the pressure gradient between the high pressure and lower pressure within the monsoon trough generally allowing for moderate to locally fresh trade winds N of the monsoon trough to 25N. Seas over these waters are in the 7 to 9 ft range in a mix of trade wind waves and NW to N swell. Mainly gentle winds are S of the monsoon trough. Seas over these waters are generally 5 to 7 ft, except for S of the Equator, where long- period southerly swell is causing rough seas W of 100W. The aforementioned high pressure will weaken some toward the end of the week as Tropical Depression One-E tracks NW over the western portion of the area, resulting a a lessening of the trade winds E of 130W. These winds will become light from 04N to 12N between 120W to 130W, with seas subsiding to moderate. Little change is expected elsewhere. $$ Konarik ########################### END OF MESSAGE SET ############################